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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Utrecht vs Heerenveen

Utrecht vs Heerenveen

Result • Eredivisie·Utrecht·Heerenveen

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
May 21, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.91
X3.70
23.80
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
high Confidence
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Away
Odds
11.91
X3.70
23.80
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
Win Probabilities
48%
Utrecht
31%
Draw
21%
Heerenveen
Home1.9148%
Draw3.7031%
Away3.8021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Utrecht's fire burning bright with three consecutive victories, while Heerenveen's path is clouded by injuries and a lack of goals. The home soil favors the hosts.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Utrecht and Heerenveen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Utrecht a 48% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Heerenveen a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: S. HoremansOut: A. Engwanda
    45'
    Substitution: S. HoremansUtrecht · Out: A. Engwanda
  2. Goal: A. Stepanov
    46'
    Goal: A. StepanovUtrecht
  3. 49'
    Yellow Card: M. LindayHeerenveen
    Yellow Card: M. Linday
  4. 54'
    Goal: D. VenteHeerenveen · Assist: J. van Overeem
    Goal: D. VenteAssist: J. van Overeem
  5. Goal: M. van der HoornAssist: S. El Karouani
    56'
    Goal: M. van der HoornUtrecht · Assist: S. El Karouani
  6. Goal: S. El KarouaniAssist: N. Vesterlund
    58'
    Goal: S. El KarouaniUtrecht · Assist: N. Vesterlund
  7. Substitution: S. HallerOut: A. Stepanov
    65'
    Substitution: S. HallerUtrecht · Out: A. Stepanov
  8. 69'
    Substitution: L. NordasHeerenveen · Out: L. Oyen
    Substitution: L. NordasOut: L. Oyen
  9. 77'
    Goal: J. TrenskowHeerenveen
    Goal: J. Trenskow
  10. 78'
    Substitution: L. BrouwersHeerenveen · Out: M. Linday
    Substitution: L. BrouwersOut: M. Linday
  11. Substitution: N. ViergeverOut: M. Eerdhuijzen
    80'
    Substitution: N. ViergeverUtrecht · Out: M. Eerdhuijzen
  12. Substitution: A. BlakeOut: J. Karlsson
    80'
    Substitution: A. BlakeUtrecht · Out: J. Karlsson
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. El Karouani vs Heerenveen defense: If fit, El Karouani's creativity could unlock a depleted Heerenveen backline.
2J. Trenskow vs Utrecht defense: Heerenveen's top scorer will be the main threat; Utrecht must contain him.
3Midfield battle: Utrecht's midfield control vs Heerenveen's van Overeem, who leads in assists.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Utrecht

  • Strong recent form (3 wins in a row)
  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.4 goals per game on average)
  • Key defender El Karouani doubtful

Heerenveen

  • Away team has decent goal difference (+4)
  • Key players like Trenskow (12 goals) and van Overeem (9 assists) provide attacking threat
  • Poor recent form (only 2 wins in last 5)
  • Multiple injury doubts (6 players)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Utrecht473816

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Utrecht is predicted to win against Heerenveen, based on superior form, strong head-to-head record, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Utrecht has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLW), including a current 3-game winning streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Heerenveen has only 2 wins in their last 5 (DLWWL) and failed to score in 3 of those matches, averaging just 0.8 goals per game.

Key Factors: Utrecht's attack (71% vs 29% in API comparison) and overall strength (64% vs 36%) heavily favor them. Head-to-head shows Utrecht with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, while Heerenveen has only 1. Heerenveen also has 6 injury doubts, disrupting their lineup.

Conclusion: With strong form, historical dominance, and a depleted opponent, Utrecht should secure a home victory.

Statistical ContextUtrecht

Double chance : Utrecht or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UtrechtHeerenveen
64%Strength36%
71%Attacking Potential29%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
75%H2H Strength25%
60%Goals H2H40%
64%Wins the Game36%
Head-to-head →Injuries · UtrechtInjuries · Heerenveen

Statistical Context

Utrecht

WDLDL
  • WSep 13, 26A · Excelsior1-2
  • DSep 8, 26H · GO Ahead Eagles3-3
  • LAug 30, 26H · PSV Eindhoven1-6
  • DAug 22, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam3-3
  • LAug 15, 26H · AZ Alkmaar1-4

Heerenveen

DLDLD
  • DSep 13, 26H · Telstar0-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · AZ Alkmaar2-3
  • DAug 30, 26A · Willem II2-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · PEC Zwolle0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Ajax2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10NEC Nijmegen6-17LDLWW
11Heerenveen6-26DLDLD
12Sparta Rotterdam6-35LDLDW
13Telstar6-65DLDLL
14Utrecht6-85WDLDL
15Cambuur6-94WDLLL

Head to Head

6
Utrecht
3
Draws
1
Heerenveen
  • Feb 1, 26Heerenveen – Utrecht1-1
  • Sep 28, 25Utrecht – Heerenveen2-2
  • Mar 30, 25Utrecht – Heerenveen2-0
  • Aug 17, 24Heerenveen – Utrecht1-1
  • Apr 7, 24Heerenveen – Utrecht2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

UtrechtHeerenveen
Played45
Goals Scored67
Goals Conceded159
Avg Scored1.51.4
Avg Conceded3.81.8
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

UtrechtHeerenveen
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Utrecht vs Heerenveen — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Utrecht's fire burning bright with three consecutive victories, while Heerenveen's path is clouded by injuries and a lack of goals. The home soil favors the hosts.

Utrecht is predicted to win against Heerenveen, based on superior form, strong head-to-head record, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Utrecht has won 4 of their last 5 matches (WWWLW), including a current 3-game winning streak, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Heerenveen has only 2 wins in their last 5 (DLWWL) and failed to score in 3 of those matches, averaging just 0.8 goals per game.

Key Factors: Utrecht's attack (71% vs 29% in API comparison) and overall strength (64% vs 36%) heavily favor them. Head-to-head shows Utrecht with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, while Heerenveen has only 1. Heerenveen also has 6 injury doubts, disrupting their lineup.

Conclusion: With strong form, historical dominance, and a depleted opponent, Utrecht should secure a home victory.

Win Probabilities: Utrecht: 48% · Draw: 31% · Heerenveen: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Utrecht wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Heerenveen wins: 1

Form (latest first): Utrecht: WDLDL · Heerenveen: DLDLD

  • S. El Karouani vs Heerenveen defense: If fit, El Karouani's creativity could unlock a depleted Heerenveen backline.
  • J. Trenskow vs Utrecht defense: Heerenveen's top scorer will be the main threat; Utrecht must contain him.
  • Midfield battle: Utrecht's midfield control vs Heerenveen's van Overeem, who leads in assists.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

Betting Tips

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