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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

Result • Eredivisie·PEC Zwolle·Heracles

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
May 3, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
WINNER
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.50
X5.00
25.25
Stadium
IJsseldelta Stadion
high Confidence
Heracles

Heracles

Away
Odds
11.50
X5.00
25.25
Stadium
IJsseldelta Stadion
Win Probabilities
59%
PEC Zwolle
25%
Draw
16%
Heracles
Home1.5059%
Draw5.0025%
Away5.2516%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between PEC Zwolle and Heracles using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns PEC Zwolle a 59% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Heracles a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Kostons vs Heracles defense: Kostons is Zwolle's top scorer with 6 goals and will test a depleted Heracles backline.
2J. Hornkamp vs Zwolle defense: Hornkamp (8 goals) is Heracles' main threat, but he faces a defense that has conceded heavily.
3Midfield battle: Zwolle's midfield, led by Monteiro, should dominate against a weakened Heracles midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

PEC Zwolle

  • Strong attack (75% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 3.0 avg last 5)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Heracles

  • J. Hornkamp as goal threat
  • Even H2H record
  • Poor form (3 consecutive losses)
  • 8 players out injured/ill

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
45%
52%
PEC Zwolle523513

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

PEC Zwolle is predicted to win against Heracles based on strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: PEC Zwolle has a mixed recent form (LDLWD) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Heracles is on a 3-match losing streak (LLLDL) and has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, averaging only 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Heracles has 8 players out due to injuries/illness, severely weakening their squad. Additionally, Heracles is in 18th place (relegation zone) with a -45 goal difference, while Zwolle is 13th with a -25 GD. Head-to-head is evenly split (5 wins each), but current form heavily favors Zwolle.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, a clear form advantage, and significant injury issues for Heracles, PEC Zwolle is the clear favorite to win.

Statistical ContextPEC Zwolle

Double chance : PEC Zwolle or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PEC ZwolleHeracles
60%Strength39%
75%Attacking Potential25%
48%Defensive Potential52%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
42%Goals H2H58%
60%Wins the Game39%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · PEC ZwolleInjuries · Heracles</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

PEC Zwolle

DLWLL
  • DSep 4, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam2-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · NEC Nijmegen1-3
  • WAug 22, 26A · Heerenveen0-2
  • LAug 16, 26A · Twente3-1
  • LAug 9, 26H · Ajax0-2

Heracles

LLLLL
  • LMay 17, 26H · Groningen1-2
  • LMay 10, 26A · Telstar3-0
  • LApr 26, 26H · FC Volendam0-2
  • LApr 11, 26H · Ajax0-3
  • LApr 5, 26A · Heerenveen4-1

Head to Head

5
PEC Zwolle
0
Draws
5
Heracles
  • Nov 2, 25Heracles – PEC Zwolle8-2
  • Mar 2, 25Heracles – PEC Zwolle4-2
  • Sep 1, 24PEC Zwolle – Heracles3-0
  • Apr 28, 24PEC Zwolle – Heracles3-1
  • Oct 1, 23Heracles – PEC Zwolle2-1

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

PEC ZwolleHeracles
Played433
Goals Scored434
Goals Conceded883
Avg Scored1.01.0
Avg Conceded2.02.5
Clean Sheets12

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

PEC Zwolle is predicted to win against Heracles based on strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: PEC Zwolle has a mixed recent form (LDLWD) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Heracles is on a 3-match losing streak (LLLDL) and has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, averaging only 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Heracles has 8 players out due to injuries/illness, severely weakening their squad. Additionally, Heracles is in 18th place (relegation zone) with a -45 goal difference, while Zwolle is 13th with a -25 GD. Head-to-head is evenly split (5 wins each), but current form heavily favors Zwolle.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, a clear form advantage, and significant injury issues for Heracles, PEC Zwolle is the clear favorite to win.

Win Probabilities: PEC Zwolle: 59% · Draw: 25% · Heracles: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: PEC Zwolle wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · Heracles wins: 5

Form (latest first): PEC Zwolle: DLWLL · Heracles: LLLLL

  • K. Kostons vs Heracles defense: Kostons is Zwolle's top scorer with 6 goals and will test a depleted Heracles backline.
  • J. Hornkamp vs Zwolle defense: Hornkamp (8 goals) is Heracles' main threat, but he faces a defense that has conceded heavily.
  • Midfield battle: Zwolle's midfield, led by Monteiro, should dominate against a weakened Heracles midfield.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 1118:00
Willem II
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 1214:30
ADO Den Haag
11.3077%
X5.8817%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Sep 1216:45
Groningen
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Sep 1218:00
Ajax
17.1414%
X4.3523%
21.5963%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Sep 1219:00
NEC Nijmegen
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Sep 1310:15
Utrecht
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Sep 1312:30
Telstar
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Sep 1314:45
Feyenoord
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Sep 1318:00
Sparta Rotterdam
11.2580%
X7.1414%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1818:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1916:45
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%

Betting Tips

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