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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

Result • Eredivisie·PEC Zwolle·Heracles

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
May 3, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
WINNER
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.50
X5.00
25.25
Stadium
IJsseldelta Stadion
high Confidence
Heracles

Heracles

Away
Odds
11.50
X5.00
25.25
Stadium
IJsseldelta Stadion
Win Probabilities
59%
PEC Zwolle
25%
Draw
16%
Heracles
Home1.5059%
Draw5.0025%
Away5.2516%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between PEC Zwolle and Heracles using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns PEC Zwolle a 59% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Heracles a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: A. Garcia MacNultyAssist: R. Thomas
    19'
    Goal: A. Garcia MacNultyPEC Zwolle · Assist: R. Thomas
  2. Yellow Card: R. Thomas
    21'
    Yellow Card: R. ThomasPEC Zwolle
  3. 31'
    Yellow Card: A. Van HoorenbeeckHeracles
    Yellow Card: A. Van Hoorenbeeck
  4. 38'
    Yellow Card: D. van der KustHeracles
    Yellow Card: D. van der Kust
  5. 46'
    Substitution: J. WieckhoffHeracles · Out: D. van der Kust
    Substitution: J. WieckhoffOut: D. van der Kust
  6. 59'
    Substitution: B. LimbombeHeracles · Out: W. Ould Chikh
    Substitution: B. LimbombeOut: W. Ould Chikh
  7. 59'
    Substitution: E. AhlstrandHeracles · Out: M. Engels
    Substitution: E. AhlstrandOut: M. Engels
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card: S. SchepermanHeracles
    Yellow Card: S. Scheperman
  9. 63'
    Yellow Card: S. SchepermanHeracles
    Yellow Card: S. Scheperman
  10. 63'
    Red Card: S. SchepermanHeracles
    Red Card: S. Scheperman
  11. Yellow Card: S. Floranus
    68'
    Yellow Card: S. FloranusPEC Zwolle
  12. 71'
    Substitution: S. CesticHeracles · Out: J. Zamburek
    Substitution: S. CesticOut: J. Zamburek
  13. Substitution: N. FichtingerOut: O. Velanas
    72'
    Substitution: N. FichtingerPEC Zwolle · Out: O. Velanas
  14. Substitution: J. MonteiroOut: R. Thomas
    73'
    Substitution: J. MonteiroPEC Zwolle · Out: R. Thomas
  15. Substitution: T. VelthuisOut: S. Floranus
    80'
    Substitution: T. VelthuisPEC Zwolle · Out: S. Floranus
  16. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Kostons
    84'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsidePEC Zwolle · K. Kostons
  17. 87'
    Substitution: T. HamamiogluHeracles · Out: M. Benita
    Substitution: T. HamamiogluOut: M. Benita
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
PEC Zwolle 1-0 Heracles
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 7.4 – 3.0Real 3 – 3PEC Zwolle more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 10.4Real 6chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 2.7Real 6Over 1.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.5 – 4.4Real 5 – 3PEC Zwolle more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 16.1 – 12.3Real 9 – 14chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Kostons vs Heracles defense: Kostons is Zwolle's top scorer with 6 goals and will test a depleted Heracles backline.
2J. Hornkamp vs Zwolle defense: Hornkamp (8 goals) is Heracles' main threat, but he faces a defense that has conceded heavily.
3Midfield battle: Zwolle's midfield, led by Monteiro, should dominate against a weakened Heracles midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

PEC Zwolle

  • Strong attack (75% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 3.0 avg last 5)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Heracles

  • J. Hornkamp as goal threat
  • Even H2H record
  • Poor form (3 consecutive losses)
  • 8 players out injured/ill

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
45%
52%
PEC Zwolle523513

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

PEC Zwolle is predicted to win against Heracles based on strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: PEC Zwolle has a mixed recent form (LDLWD) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Heracles is on a 3-match losing streak (LLLDL) and has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, averaging only 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Heracles has 8 players out due to injuries/illness, severely weakening their squad. Additionally, Heracles is in 18th place (relegation zone) with a -45 goal difference, while Zwolle is 13th with a -25 GD. Head-to-head is evenly split (5 wins each), but current form heavily favors Zwolle.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, a clear form advantage, and significant injury issues for Heracles, PEC Zwolle is the clear favorite to win.

Statistical ContextPEC Zwolle

Double chance : PEC Zwolle or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PEC ZwolleHeracles
60%Strength39%
75%Attacking Potential25%
48%Defensive Potential52%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
42%Goals H2H58%
60%Wins the Game39%

More information

Eredivisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 119/9Head-to-headPEC Zwolle – HeraclesInjuriesPEC ZwolleInjuriesHeraclesLive scores

Statistical Context

PEC Zwolle

DWLLL
  • DOct 24, 26A · Utrecht1-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · GO Ahead Eagles4-1
  • LOct 11, 26H · Cambuur0-1
  • LSep 18, 26A · Groningen3-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Feyenoord0-7

Heracles

DWWDW
  • DOct 23, 26A · NAC Breda1-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · MVV1-5
  • WOct 9, 26H · Waalwijk3-0
  • DOct 2, 26A · Helmond Sport2-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · Vitesse2-0

Head to Head

5
PEC Zwolle
0
Draws
5
Heracles
  • Nov 2, 25Heracles – PEC Zwolle8-2
  • Mar 2, 25Heracles – PEC Zwolle4-2
  • Sep 1, 24PEC Zwolle – Heracles3-0
  • Apr 28, 24PEC Zwolle – Heracles3-1
  • Oct 1, 23Heracles – PEC Zwolle2-1

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

PEC ZwolleHeracles
Played1033
Goals Scored1134
Goals Conceded2383
Avg Scored1.11.0
Avg Conceded2.32.5
Clean Sheets12

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

PEC Zwolle is predicted to win against Heracles based on strong odds and superior form.

Form Analysis: PEC Zwolle has a mixed recent form (LDLWD) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Heracles is on a 3-match losing streak (LLLDL) and has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, averaging only 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Heracles has 8 players out due to injuries/illness, severely weakening their squad. Additionally, Heracles is in 18th place (relegation zone) with a -45 goal difference, while Zwolle is 13th with a -25 GD. Head-to-head is evenly split (5 wins each), but current form heavily favors Zwolle.

Conclusion: With strong odds support, a clear form advantage, and significant injury issues for Heracles, PEC Zwolle is the clear favorite to win.

Win Probabilities: PEC Zwolle: 59% · Draw: 25% · Heracles: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: PEC Zwolle wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · Heracles wins: 5

Form (latest first): PEC Zwolle: DWLLL · Heracles: DWWDW

  • K. Kostons vs Heracles defense: Kostons is Zwolle's top scorer with 6 goals and will test a depleted Heracles backline.
  • J. Hornkamp vs Zwolle defense: Hornkamp (8 goals) is Heracles' main threat, but he faces a defense that has conceded heavily.
  • Midfield battle: Zwolle's midfield, led by Monteiro, should dominate against a weakened Heracles midfield.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 113:30
Twente
16.2516%
X4.0025%
21.6959%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Nov 113:30
Utrecht
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 115:45
Sparta Rotterdam
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Nov 619:00
PEC Zwolle
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Nov 715:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Nov 717:45
Sparta Rotterdam
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 720:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Nov 811:15
Feyenoord
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Nov 813:30
Ajax
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Nov 815:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Nov 815:45
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Nov 819:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.3523%
22.0848%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Nov 2115:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Nov 2117:45
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Nov 2117:45
Excelsior
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%

Betting Tips

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