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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven

Result • Eredivisie·Utrecht·PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 30, 2026
10:15
high Confidence
Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Final Score
1-6
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-6
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.35
X5.14
21.51
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
high Confidence
WINNER
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

Away
Odds
15.35
X5.14
21.51
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
Win Probabilities
15%
Utrecht
21%
Draw
64%
PSV Eindhoven
Home5.3515%
Draw5.1421%
Away1.5164%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant gap in the standings. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor recent results make an upset unlikely, though PSV's own absences could keep the scoreline closer than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Utrecht a 15% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and PSV Eindhoven a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Goal: A. StepanovAssist: N. Vesterlund
    6'
    Goal: A. StepanovUtrecht · Assist: N. Vesterlund
  2. 11'
    Goal: R. van BommelPSV Eindhoven
    Goal: R. van Bommel
  3. Yellow Card: G. Offerhaus
    15'
    Yellow Card: G. OfferhausUtrecht
  4. Yellow Card: D. de Wit
    34'
    Yellow Card: D. de WitUtrecht
  5. 45'
    Goal: G. TilPSV Eindhoven · Assist: S. Dest
    Goal: G. TilAssist: S. Dest
  6. Yellow Card: A. Zagre
    49'
    Yellow Card: A. ZagreUtrecht
  7. Substitution: P. KloosterboerOut: N. Vesterlund
    56'
    Substitution: P. KloosterboerUtrecht · Out: N. Vesterlund
  8. Substitution: A. BlakeOut: A. Alarcon
    61'
    Substitution: A. BlakeUtrecht · Out: A. Alarcon
  9. Substitution: Z. IqbalOut: D. van den Berg
    61'
    Substitution: Z. IqbalUtrecht · Out: D. van den Berg
  10. 65'
    Substitution: P. WannerPSV Eindhoven · Out: N. Fernandez
    Substitution: P. WannerOut: N. Fernandez
  11. 65'
    Substitution: E. BajraktarevicPSV Eindhoven · Out: I. Perisic
    Substitution: E. BajraktarevicOut: I. Perisic
  12. 72'
    Yellow Card: A. ObispoPSV Eindhoven
    Yellow Card: A. Obispo
  13. 76'
    Goal: Mauro JuniorPSV Eindhoven
    Goal: Mauro Junior
  14. 78'
    Substitution: A. BouhamdiPSV Eindhoven · Out: R. van Bommel
    Substitution: A. BouhamdiOut: R. van Bommel
  15. 78'
    Substitution: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Out: R. Pepi
    Substitution: S. MijnansOut: R. Pepi
  16. Substitution: S. van DuijnOut: Y. Cathline
    84'
    Substitution: S. van DuijnUtrecht · Out: Y. Cathline
  17. 84'
    Substitution: Y. GasiorowskiPSV Eindhoven · Out: A. Obispo
    Substitution: Y. GasiorowskiOut: A. Obispo
  18. Substitution: E. C. OwenOut: A. Zagre
    84'
    Substitution: E. C. OwenUtrecht · Out: A. Zagre
  19. Yellow Card: V. Barkas
    85'
    Yellow Card: V. BarkasUtrecht
  20. 86'
    Missed penalty: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: S. MijnansMissed penalty
  21. 86'
    Goal: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Assist: P. Wanner
    Goal: S. MijnansAssist: P. Wanner
  22. 88'
    Goal: G. TilPSV Eindhoven · Assist: A. Bouhamdi
    Goal: G. TilAssist: A. Bouhamdi
  23. Yellow Card: S. Horemans
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: S. HoremansUtrecht
  24. 90+3'
    Goal: S. DestPSV Eindhoven · Assist: A. Bouhamdi
    Goal: S. DestAssist: A. Bouhamdi
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 2stats picks landed in this match
Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 3.5 – 7.2Real 0 – 13PSV Eindhoven more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 10.6Real 13chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 2.6Real 6Over 1.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-2chances only—
Shots on target—Predicted 5.6 – 5.9Real 1 – 14——
Total shots—Predicted 14.8 – 15.2Real 1 – 30chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Barkas vs M. Kovář: The goalkeepers will be crucial, with Barkas facing a barrage of shots while Kovář must stay alert to any Utrecht counters.
2Zidane Iqbal vs L. Geertruida: The midfield duel will be key, with Iqbal needing to disrupt PSV's rhythm while Geertruida looks to dictate play.
3Ángel Alarcón vs F. Kostić: Alarcón's pace on the wing could trouble PSV's defense, but Kostić's experience and attacking threat will keep him occupied.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Utrecht

  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Home crowd support at Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Poor form with no wins in last three
  • Leaky defense conceding 2.2 goals per game

PSV Eindhoven

  • Excellent form with three unbeaten matches
  • Strong attacking output averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Key suspensions and injuries in midfield and defense
  • Conceded 1.6 goals per game in recent matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
50%
57%
PSV Eindhoven83656

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites for this Eredivisie clash, and the data strongly supports that status. The market and the statistical model align on an away win, with PSV's superior form, attacking output, and head-to-head dominance making them the decisive side.

Form Analysis: PSV arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last three matches (WWD) and averaging 2.4 goals per game. Utrecht, by contrast, are winless in their last three (DLL), have conceded 2.2 goals per game, and have failed to score in two of their last five. The momentum is clearly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSV's attacking strength (64% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (69%) dwarf Utrecht's numbers. The head-to-head record is emphatic: PSV have won seven of the last ten meetings, with three draws and no Utrecht wins. Utrecht are also missing twelve players through injury, severely weakening their squad, while PSV's absences are less impactful. The league standings reinforce the gap: PSV sit second with seven points, Utrecht 15th with just one.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable PSV victory. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor form leave them vulnerable, and PSV's quality should shine through. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a convincing win.

Statistical ContextPSV Eindhoven

Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
24%Strength75%
36%Attacking Potential64%
31%Defensive Potential69%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
39%Goals H2H61%
24%Wins the Game75%

More information

Eredivisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 139/9Head-to-headUtrecht – PSV EindhovenInjuriesUtrechtInjuriesPSV EindhovenLive scores

Statistical Context

Utrecht

LLDWW
  • LNov 8, 26H · NEC Nijmegen2-3
  • LNov 1, 26A · Telstar4-2
  • DOct 24, 26H · PEC Zwolle1-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · Twente1-2
  • WOct 11, 26H · Willem II3-1

PSV Eindhoven

WLWDW
  • WNov 8, 26A · Cambuur2-5
  • LNov 4, 26H · Club Brugge KV1-2
  • WOct 31, 26H · Willem II7-0
  • DOct 25, 26H · Feyenoord1-1
  • WOct 20, 26A · FC Porto0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven12+2526WWDLW
2Feyenoord12+1925LDDWW
13PEC Zwolle12-1112DWDWL
14Utrecht12-1312LLDWW
15Excelsior12-1311LLLLL

Head to Head

0
Utrecht
3
Draws
7
PSV Eindhoven
  • Apr 4, 26PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht4-3
  • Dec 21, 25Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven1-2
  • Feb 15, 25PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht2-2
  • Dec 1, 24Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven2-5
  • Jan 21, 24Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Played1111
Goals Scored1935
Goals Conceded3113
Avg Scored1.73.2
Avg Conceded2.81.2
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 Goals5/107/10
Both Teams Scored8/107/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven — Match Analysis

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant gap in the standings. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor recent results make an upset unlikely, though PSV's own absences could keep the scoreline closer than expected.

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites for this Eredivisie clash, and the data strongly supports that status. The market and the statistical model align on an away win, with PSV's superior form, attacking output, and head-to-head dominance making them the decisive side.

Form Analysis: PSV arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last three matches (WWD) and averaging 2.4 goals per game. Utrecht, by contrast, are winless in their last three (DLL), have conceded 2.2 goals per game, and have failed to score in two of their last five. The momentum is clearly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSV's attacking strength (64% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (69%) dwarf Utrecht's numbers. The head-to-head record is emphatic: PSV have won seven of the last ten meetings, with three draws and no Utrecht wins. Utrecht are also missing twelve players through injury, severely weakening their squad, while PSV's absences are less impactful. The league standings reinforce the gap: PSV sit second with seven points, Utrecht 15th with just one.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable PSV victory. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor form leave them vulnerable, and PSV's quality should shine through. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a convincing win.

Win Probabilities: Utrecht: 15% · Draw: 21% · PSV Eindhoven: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 69% · Under 2.5: 31% · BTTS: 68%

H2H: Utrecht wins: 0 · Draws: 3 · PSV Eindhoven wins: 7

Form (latest first): Utrecht: LLDWW · PSV Eindhoven: WLWDW

  • V. Barkas vs M. Kovář: The goalkeepers will be crucial, with Barkas facing a barrage of shots while Kovář must stay alert to any Utrecht counters.
  • Zidane Iqbal vs L. Geertruida: The midfield duel will be key, with Iqbal needing to disrupt PSV's rhythm while Geertruida looks to dictate play.
  • Ángel Alarcón vs F. Kostić: Alarcón's pace on the wing could trouble PSV's defense, but Kostić's experience and attacking threat will keep him occupied.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Nov 2115:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Nov 2117:45
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Nov 2117:45
Excelsior
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2120:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Nov 2120:00
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Nov 2211:15
Willem II
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Nov 2213:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2213:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Nov 2215:45
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 2815:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2817:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Nov 2820:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Nov 2911:15
Utrecht
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Nov 2913:30
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

Betting Tips

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