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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven

Result • Eredivisie·Utrecht·PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 30, 2026
10:15
high Confidence
Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Final Score
1-6
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-6
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.35
X5.14
21.51
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
high Confidence
WINNER
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

Away
Odds
15.35
X5.14
21.51
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
Win Probabilities
15%
Utrecht
21%
Draw
64%
PSV Eindhoven
Home5.3515%
Draw5.1421%
Away1.5164%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant gap in the standings. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor recent results make an upset unlikely, though PSV's own absences could keep the scoreline closer than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Utrecht a 15% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and PSV Eindhoven a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Goal: A. StepanovAssist: N. Vesterlund
    6'
    Goal: A. StepanovUtrecht · Assist: N. Vesterlund
  2. 11'
    Goal: R. van BommelPSV Eindhoven
    Goal: R. van Bommel
  3. Yellow Card: G. Offerhaus
    15'
    Yellow Card: G. OfferhausUtrecht
  4. Yellow Card: D. de Wit
    34'
    Yellow Card: D. de WitUtrecht
  5. 45'
    Goal: G. TilPSV Eindhoven · Assist: S. Dest
    Goal: G. TilAssist: S. Dest
  6. Yellow Card: A. Zagre
    49'
    Yellow Card: A. ZagreUtrecht
  7. Substitution: P. KloosterboerOut: N. Vesterlund
    56'
    Substitution: P. KloosterboerUtrecht · Out: N. Vesterlund
  8. Substitution: A. BlakeOut: A. Alarcon
    61'
    Substitution: A. BlakeUtrecht · Out: A. Alarcon
  9. Substitution: Z. IqbalOut: D. van den Berg
    61'
    Substitution: Z. IqbalUtrecht · Out: D. van den Berg
  10. 65'
    Substitution: P. WannerPSV Eindhoven · Out: N. Fernandez
    Substitution: P. WannerOut: N. Fernandez
  11. 65'
    Substitution: E. BajraktarevicPSV Eindhoven · Out: I. Perisic
    Substitution: E. BajraktarevicOut: I. Perisic
  12. 72'
    Yellow Card: A. ObispoPSV Eindhoven
    Yellow Card: A. Obispo
  13. 76'
    Goal: Mauro JuniorPSV Eindhoven
    Goal: Mauro Junior
  14. 78'
    Substitution: A. BouhamdiPSV Eindhoven · Out: R. van Bommel
    Substitution: A. BouhamdiOut: R. van Bommel
  15. 78'
    Substitution: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Out: R. Pepi
    Substitution: S. MijnansOut: R. Pepi
  16. Substitution: S. van DuijnOut: Y. Cathline
    84'
    Substitution: S. van DuijnUtrecht · Out: Y. Cathline
  17. 84'
    Substitution: Y. GasiorowskiPSV Eindhoven · Out: A. Obispo
    Substitution: Y. GasiorowskiOut: A. Obispo
  18. Substitution: E. C. OwenOut: A. Zagre
    84'
    Substitution: E. C. OwenUtrecht · Out: A. Zagre
  19. Yellow Card: V. Barkas
    85'
    Yellow Card: V. BarkasUtrecht
  20. 86'
    Missed penalty: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: S. MijnansMissed penalty
  21. 86'
    Goal: S. MijnansPSV Eindhoven · Assist: P. Wanner
    Goal: S. MijnansAssist: P. Wanner
  22. 88'
    Goal: G. TilPSV Eindhoven · Assist: A. Bouhamdi
    Goal: G. TilAssist: A. Bouhamdi
  23. Yellow Card: S. Horemans
    90+2'
    Yellow Card: S. HoremansUtrecht
  24. 90+3'
    Goal: S. DestPSV Eindhoven · Assist: A. Bouhamdi
    Goal: S. DestAssist: A. Bouhamdi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1V. Barkas vs M. Kovář: The goalkeepers will be crucial, with Barkas facing a barrage of shots while Kovář must stay alert to any Utrecht counters.
2Zidane Iqbal vs L. Geertruida: The midfield duel will be key, with Iqbal needing to disrupt PSV's rhythm while Geertruida looks to dictate play.
3Ángel Alarcón vs F. Kostić: Alarcón's pace on the wing could trouble PSV's defense, but Kostić's experience and attacking threat will keep him occupied.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Utrecht

  • Physical style suited to rainy conditions
  • Home crowd support at Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Poor form with no wins in last three
  • Leaky defense conceding 2.2 goals per game

PSV Eindhoven

  • Excellent form with three unbeaten matches
  • Strong attacking output averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Key suspensions and injuries in midfield and defense
  • Conceded 1.6 goals per game in recent matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
50%
57%
PSV Eindhoven83656

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites for this Eredivisie clash, and the data strongly supports that status. The market and the statistical model align on an away win, with PSV's superior form, attacking output, and head-to-head dominance making them the decisive side.

Form Analysis: PSV arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last three matches (WWD) and averaging 2.4 goals per game. Utrecht, by contrast, are winless in their last three (DLL), have conceded 2.2 goals per game, and have failed to score in two of their last five. The momentum is clearly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSV's attacking strength (64% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (69%) dwarf Utrecht's numbers. The head-to-head record is emphatic: PSV have won seven of the last ten meetings, with three draws and no Utrecht wins. Utrecht are also missing twelve players through injury, severely weakening their squad, while PSV's absences are less impactful. The league standings reinforce the gap: PSV sit second with seven points, Utrecht 15th with just one.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable PSV victory. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor form leave them vulnerable, and PSV's quality should shine through. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a convincing win.

Statistical ContextPSV Eindhoven

Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
24%Strength75%
36%Attacking Potential64%
31%Defensive Potential69%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
39%Goals H2H61%
24%Wins the Game75%
Head-to-head →Injuries · UtrechtInjuries · PSV EindhovenLive scores →

Statistical Context

Utrecht

LWDDL
  • LSep 20, 26A · Feyenoord5-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · Excelsior1-2
  • DSep 8, 26H · GO Ahead Eagles3-3
  • DAug 22, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam3-3
  • LAug 15, 26H · AZ Alkmaar1-4

PSV Eindhoven

LWDWW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Twente3-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Sparta Rotterdam4-1
  • DSep 10, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk1-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Ajax1-3
  • WAug 23, 26H · Groningen5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven6+1516WWWWW
2AZ Alkmaar6+1116DWWWW
12Telstar6-65DLDLL
13Utrecht6-85WDLDL
14Sparta Rotterdam7-75LLDLD

Head to Head

0
Utrecht
3
Draws
7
PSV Eindhoven
  • Apr 4, 26PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht4-3
  • Dec 21, 25Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven1-2
  • Feb 15, 25PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht2-2
  • Dec 1, 24Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven2-5
  • Jan 21, 24Utrecht – PSV Eindhoven1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Played66
Goals Scored1122
Goals Conceded197
Avg Scored1.83.7
Avg Conceded3.21.2
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

UtrechtPSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 Goals5/107/10
Both Teams Scored8/107/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven — Match Analysis

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a significant gap in the standings. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor recent results make an upset unlikely, though PSV's own absences could keep the scoreline closer than expected.

PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites for this Eredivisie clash, and the data strongly supports that status. The market and the statistical model align on an away win, with PSV's superior form, attacking output, and head-to-head dominance making them the decisive side.

Form Analysis: PSV arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last three matches (WWD) and averaging 2.4 goals per game. Utrecht, by contrast, are winless in their last three (DLL), have conceded 2.2 goals per game, and have failed to score in two of their last five. The momentum is clearly with the visitors.

Key Factors: PSV's attacking strength (64% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (69%) dwarf Utrecht's numbers. The head-to-head record is emphatic: PSV have won seven of the last ten meetings, with three draws and no Utrecht wins. Utrecht are also missing twelve players through injury, severely weakening their squad, while PSV's absences are less impactful. The league standings reinforce the gap: PSV sit second with seven points, Utrecht 15th with just one.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable PSV victory. Utrecht's injury crisis and poor form leave them vulnerable, and PSV's quality should shine through. Expect the visitors to control the game and secure a convincing win.

Win Probabilities: Utrecht: 15% · Draw: 21% · PSV Eindhoven: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 69% · Under 2.5: 31% · BTTS: 68%

H2H: Utrecht wins: 0 · Draws: 3 · PSV Eindhoven wins: 7

Form (latest first): Utrecht: LWDDL · PSV Eindhoven: LWDWW

  • V. Barkas vs M. Kovář: The goalkeepers will be crucial, with Barkas facing a barrage of shots while Kovář must stay alert to any Utrecht counters.
  • Zidane Iqbal vs L. Geertruida: The midfield duel will be key, with Iqbal needing to disrupt PSV's rhythm while Geertruida looks to dictate play.
  • Ángel Alarcón vs F. Kostić: Alarcón's pace on the wing could trouble PSV's defense, but Kostić's experience and attacking threat will keep him occupied.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1718:00
Feyenoord
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 1719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1810:15
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 1812:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
114.297%
X7.6913%
21.2580%

Betting Tips

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