Sporting Lagos host Bendel Insurance in the NPFL on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Sporting Lagos the favourite at 51%, with the draw at 27% and Bendel Insurance at 22%.
Form and league position
Sporting Lagos sit 11th of 20 with 9 points from 7 games (8 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-W-D-D-D. Bendel Insurance sit 6th of 20 with 12 points from 7 games (13 scored, 11 conceded), recent form W-L-W-L-W.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.3, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Sporting Lagos at 1.70, the draw at 3.20 and Bendel Insurance at 4.75; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Sporting Lagos to win (51%), most likely score 2-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.




