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  1. Home
  2. NPFL
  3. Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance

Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance

Result • NPFL·Sporting Lagos·Bendel Insurance

NPFL
NPFL
Oct 11, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Sporting Lagos

Sporting Lagos

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.20
24.75
Stadium
Mobolaji Johnson Arena
medium Confidence
Bendel Insurance

Bendel Insurance

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.20
24.75
Stadium
Mobolaji Johnson Arena
Win Probabilities
51%
Sporting Lagos
27%
Draw
22%
Bendel Insurance
Home1.7051%
Draw3.2027%
Away4.7522%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Sporting Lagos are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this NPFL fixture between Sporting Lagos and Bendel Insurance using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Lagos a 51% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Bendel Insurance a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 1'
    Goal: K. Oke SolomonBendel Insurance
    Goal: K. Oke Solomon
  2. Goal: V. Samuel
    14'
    Goal: V. SamuelSporting Lagos
  3. 17'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardBendel Insurance
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  4. Goal: G. Olaniya
    22'
    Goal: G. OlaniyaSporting Lagos
  5. 53'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardBendel Insurance
    Yellow Card: Yellow Card
  6. Yellow Card: Yellow Card
    54'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardSporting Lagos
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headSporting Lagos – Bendel InsuranceInjuriesSporting LagosInjuriesBendel InsuranceLive scores

Statistical Context

Sporting Lagos

WDDDW
  • WOct 18, 26A · Plateau United2-3
  • DOct 3, 26A · Kano Pillars1-1
  • DSep 30, 26H · Ikorodu City0-0
  • DSep 26, 26H · Barau FC1-1
  • WSep 23, 26A · Enyimba2-3

Bendel Insurance

WWLWL
  • WOct 25, 26H · Rivers United2-1
  • WOct 4, 26H · Barau FC4-1
  • LSep 27, 26A · Abia Warriors3-0
  • WSep 23, 26H · Ikorodu City2-1
  • LSep 19, 26A · Ranchers Bees2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Barau FC10+315DDDLD
6Bendel Insurance9+215WLWLW
7Sporting Lagos9+215WWDDD
8Kano Pillars10+115DWLDD

Sporting Lagos vs Bendel Insurance — Match Analysis

Sporting Lagos are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 2-1.

Sporting Lagos host Bendel Insurance in the NPFL on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Sporting Lagos the favourite at 51%, with the draw at 27% and Bendel Insurance at 22%.

Form and league position

Sporting Lagos sit 11th of 20 with 9 points from 7 games (8 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-W-D-D-D. Bendel Insurance sit 6th of 20 with 12 points from 7 games (13 scored, 11 conceded), recent form W-L-W-L-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.3, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Sporting Lagos at 1.70, the draw at 3.20 and Bendel Insurance at 4.75; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Sporting Lagos to win (51%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Lagos: 51% · Draw: 27% · Bendel Insurance: 22%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 58%

Form (latest first): Sporting Lagos: WDDDW · Bendel Insurance: WWLWL

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NPFL

NPFL

Nigeria15 · Upcoming Fixtures
NPFLNigeria
Niger Tornadoes
Oct 3014:00
Barau FC
11.6162%
X4.3523%
26.6715%
NPFLNigeria
Doma United
Oct 3115:00
Ikorodu City
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
NPFLNigeria
Enyimba
Nov 115:00
Kun Khalifat FC
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
NPFLNigeria
Inter Lagos
Nov 115:00
Ranchers Bees
13.2331%
X4.1724%
22.2245%
NPFLNigeria
Kano Pillars
Nov 115:00
Nasarawa United
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
NPFLNigeria
Katsina United
Nov 115:00
Sporting Lagos
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
NPFLNigeria
Kwara United
Nov 115:00
Bendel Insurance
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
NPFLNigeria
Plateau United
Nov 115:00
Warri Wolves
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
NPFLNigeria
Rivers United
Nov 115:00
Enugu Rangers
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
NPFLNigeria
Shooting Stars
Nov 115:00
Abia Warriors
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
NPFLNigeria
Enugu Rangers
Nov 415:00
Bendel Insurance
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
NPFLNigeria
Sporting Lagos
Nov 715:00
Rivers United
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
NPFLNigeria
Abia Warriors
Nov 815:00
Doma United
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
NPFLNigeria
Barau FC
Nov 815:00
Shooting Stars
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
NPFLNigeria
Bendel Insurance
Nov 815:00
Niger Tornadoes
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%

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