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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso

ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Result • Liga 1·ADT·Deportivo Garcilaso

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 2, 2026
18:15
low Confidence
ADT

ADT

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.10
X3.40
23.35
Stadium
Estadio Union Tarma
low Confidence
WINNER
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Away
Odds
12.10
X3.40
23.35
Stadium
Estadio Union Tarma
Win Probabilities
37%
ADT
32%
Draw
31%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home2.1037%
Draw3.4032%
Away3.3531%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

ADT are slight favourites at home, but Deportivo Garcilaso have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The main risk is ADT's poor recent form, with two consecutive losses.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between ADT and Deportivo Garcilaso using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns ADT a 37% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Deportivo Garcilaso a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 37'
    Yellow Card: E. CanalesDeportivo Garcilaso
    Yellow Card: E. Canales
  2. Yellow Card: A. Ojeda
    44'
    Yellow Card: A. OjedaADT
  3. Yellow Card: O. Nunez
    45+1'
    Yellow Card: O. NunezADT
  4. Yellow Card: J. Garcilazo
    46'
    Yellow Card: J. GarcilazoADT
  5. Substitution: S. GarciaOut: J. Garcilazo
    67'
    Substitution: S. GarciaADT · Out: J. Garcilazo
  6. 67'
    Substitution: F. CastelliDeportivo Garcilaso · Out: C. Olivares
    Substitution: F. CastelliOut: C. Olivares
  7. Substitution: J. ReyesOut: J. Alvino
    75'
    Substitution: J. ReyesADT · Out: J. Alvino
  8. Substitution: S. PeraltaOut: J. Bauman
    75'
    Substitution: S. PeraltaADT · Out: J. Bauman
  9. 79'
    Substitution: A. AscuesDeportivo Garcilaso · Out: K. Sandoval
    Substitution: A. AscuesOut: K. Sandoval
  10. 79'
    Substitution: J. A. Rosell DelgadoDeportivo Garcilaso · Out: X. Moreno
    Substitution: J. A. Rosell DelgadoOut: X. Moreno
  11. Red Card: J. Narvaez
    80'
    Red Card: J. NarvaezADT
  12. Substitution: J. NavarroOut: A. Rodriguez
    83'
    Substitution: J. NavarroADT · Out: A. Rodriguez
  13. Substitution: L. RugelOut: J. J. Canela Torres
    83'
    Substitution: L. RugelADT · Out: J. J. Canela Torres
  14. 90+8'
    Penalty: B. Da Silva (Penalty)Deportivo Garcilaso
    Penalty: B. Da Silva (Penalty)
  15. 90+9'
    Substitution: S. RamirezDeportivo Garcilaso · Out: F. Arancibia
    Substitution: S. RamirezOut: F. Arancibia
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Guivin vs Deportivo Garcilaso defense: Guivin's 5 goals make him ADT's main threat; the away defense must contain him.
2L. da Silva vs ADT defense: Da Silva has 6 goals and 3 assists; his duel with the home backline could decide the match.
3Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so control of the midfield will be crucial for creating chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

ADT

  • Home advantage
  • Solid defensive organization
  • Poor recent form (2 losses)
  • Low win rate (26%)

Deportivo Garcilaso

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Better overall form
  • Inconsistent scoring
  • Recent loss

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
45%
39%
Draw243938

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

ADT are slight favourites at home, but the data suggests a very tight contest. Deportivo Garcilaso have the better overall form and a strong head-to-head record, while ADT rely on home advantage and a solid defensive setup.

Form Analysis: ADT have lost their last two matches and have a poor win rate of 26%, while Deportivo Garcilaso have a 39% win rate and better goal difference. However, both teams have struggled to score recently, with each failing to find the net in two of their last five games.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo Garcilaso, who have won four of the last five meetings. ADT's home record is average (4W-2D-4L), and the heavy rain could favour a physical style, which may suit the away side. No significant injuries are reported.

Conclusion: This match is finely balanced. ADT have the home crowd but poor recent form, while Deportivo Garcilaso have historical dominance but are also inconsistent. A low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes.

Statistical ContextDeportivo Garcilaso

Double chance : draw or Deportivo Garcilaso

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
33%Strength66%
38%Attacking Potential62%
27%Defensive Potential73%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
29%Goals H2H71%
33%Wins the Game66%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ADTInjuries · Deportivo GarcilasoLive scores →

Statistical Context

ADT

WLLLL
  • WSep 23, 26H · Cienciano2-1
  • LSep 19, 26A · Alianza Lima2-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · FBC Melgar3-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Sport Huancayo1-3
  • LAug 22, 26A · Juan Pablo II College5-1

Deportivo Garcilaso

WLWWW
  • WSep 19, 26H · Universitario4-0
  • LSep 13, 26A · Sport Boys1-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · Atletico Grau4-2
  • WAug 30, 26A · Alianza Lima0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Cusco4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Garcilaso10+1222WLWWW
2Universitario10+320LWDWW
16UCV Moquegua10-107LLLLW
17ADT10-145WLLLL
18UTC Cajamarca10-132LLLLL

Head to Head

1
ADT
3
Draws
4
Deportivo Garcilaso
  • Feb 14, 26Deportivo Garcilaso – ADT1-0
  • Nov 1, 25Deportivo Garcilaso – ADT1-0
  • Jun 28, 25ADT – Deportivo Garcilaso0-0
  • Sep 13, 24Deportivo Garcilaso – ADT1-0
  • Apr 7, 24ADT – Deportivo Garcilaso2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
Played2727
Goals Scored2939
Goals Conceded4224
Avg Scored1.11.4
Avg Conceded1.60.9
Clean Sheets611

ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso — Match Analysis

ADT are slight favourites at home, but Deportivo Garcilaso have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. The main risk is ADT's poor recent form, with two consecutive losses.

ADT are slight favourites at home, but the data suggests a very tight contest. Deportivo Garcilaso have the better overall form and a strong head-to-head record, while ADT rely on home advantage and a solid defensive setup.

Form Analysis: ADT have lost their last two matches and have a poor win rate of 26%, while Deportivo Garcilaso have a 39% win rate and better goal difference. However, both teams have struggled to score recently, with each failing to find the net in two of their last five games.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Deportivo Garcilaso, who have won four of the last five meetings. ADT's home record is average (4W-2D-4L), and the heavy rain could favour a physical style, which may suit the away side. No significant injuries are reported.

Conclusion: This match is finely balanced. ADT have the home crowd but poor recent form, while Deportivo Garcilaso have historical dominance but are also inconsistent. A low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most likely outcomes.

Win Probabilities: ADT: 37% · Draw: 32% · Deportivo Garcilaso: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: ADT wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Deportivo Garcilaso wins: 4

Form (latest first): ADT: WLLLL · Deportivo Garcilaso: WLWWW

  • J. Guivin vs Deportivo Garcilaso defense: Guivin's 5 goals make him ADT's main threat; the away defense must contain him.
  • L. da Silva vs ADT defense: Da Silva has 6 goals and 3 assists; his duel with the home backline could decide the match.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-2-3-1, so control of the midfield will be crucial for creating chances.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1120:30
Alianza Atletico
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 1618:00
Cusco
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 1620:30
ADT
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 1716:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 1720:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 1723:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Oct 1801:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Oct 1818:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Oct 1820:30
Universitario
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Oct 1823:30
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 2318:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 2320:15
ADT
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 2417:45
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 2420:15
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 2500:30
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

Betting Tips

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