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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano

Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano

Result • Liga 1·Alianza Atletico·Cienciano

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 6, 2026
20:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.45
Stadium
Estadio Campeones del 36
medium Confidence
Cienciano

Cienciano

Away
Odds
12.18
X3.25
23.45
Stadium
Estadio Campeones del 36
Win Probabilities
35%
Alianza Atletico
33%
Draw
32%
Cienciano
Home2.1835%
Draw3.2533%
Away3.4532%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Alianza Atletico hold a narrow edge, backed by a formidable home record and historical dominance over Cienciano. However, Cienciano's superior form and attacking quality pose a significant threat, making this a tightly contested match.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Alianza Atletico and Cienciano using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Alianza Atletico a 35% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Cienciano a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Cristian Penilla vs Carlos Cabello: Penilla's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Cabello's defensive positioning. If Penilla gets the better of this duel, Alianza could create numerous chances.
2Jairo Molina vs Kevin Becerra: Molina's physical presence and aerial ability will challenge Becerra in the air. Winning this battle could give Alianza an edge from set-pieces.
3A. Hohberg vs Román Suárez: Hohberg's creativity and movement will be key for Cienciano. Suárez must stay disciplined to prevent Hohberg from finding space between the lines.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Alianza Atletico

  • Strong home record with only 1 loss in 9 games
  • Historical dominance over Cienciano in recent meetings
  • Inconsistent form with only 30% win rate
  • Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 2.0 goals per game

Cienciano

  • Better overall form with a 55% win rate
  • Solid defensive record, conceding only 1.0 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches
  • Recent loss in their last game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
39%
Cienciano233939

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

This Liga 1 encounter between Alianza Atletico and Cienciano is expected to be a closely fought contest, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the market. Alianza Atletico's strong home record (4W-4D-1L) and the historical head-to-head advantage (3 wins in last 5 meetings) are key factors in their favor. However, Cienciano's superior overall form and attacking threat cannot be overlooked.

Form Analysis: Alianza Atletico have been inconsistent, with a 30% win rate and a leaky defense (conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game). Cienciano, despite a recent loss, have a better win rate (55%) and a more solid defensive record (1.0 goals conceded per game). However, Cienciano have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, which is a concern.

Key Factors: Alianza Atletico's home advantage is significant, as they have lost only once at home this season. Cienciano's key players, A. Hohberg and C. Garcés, have been in prolific form, contributing 22 goals between them. The head-to-head record is evenly split, with Alianza winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, but Cienciano winning the most recent encounter.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Alianza Atletico holding a narrow edge due to home advantage and historical dominance. However, Cienciano's quality in attack could swing the match in their favor. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring affair with Alianza Atletico edging it, but a draw is also a plausible result given the evenly matched nature of the two teams.

Statistical ContextCienciano

Double chance : draw or Cienciano

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Alianza AtleticoCienciano
36%Strength63%
47%Attacking Potential53%
43%Defensive Potential57%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
25%Goals H2H75%
36%Wins the Game63%

Statistical Context

Alianza Atletico

WDLWL
  • WAug 21, 26H · Sporting Cristal3-1
  • DAug 15, 26A · ADT1-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Alianza Lima3-1
  • WJul 24, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-1
  • LJul 18, 26A · Cusco4-1

Cienciano

LLDWW
  • LAug 23, 26A · Sport Boys5-1
  • LAug 21, 26A · Botafogo1-0
  • DAug 16, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-0
  • WAug 14, 26H · Botafogo6-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Universitario2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Atletico Grau6+210WWDLL
8Alianza Atletico6010WDWLW
9Cusco6+29LWLWL
15FC Cajamarca6-44LLWLL
16Cienciano6-74LDLWL
17UTC Cajamarca6-82LLDLD

Head to Head

3
Alianza Atletico
1
Draws
6
Cienciano
  • Aug 6, 26Alianza Atletico – Cienciano1-0
  • Feb 22, 26Cienciano – Alianza Atletico1-1
  • Oct 25, 25Alianza Atletico – Cienciano0-1
  • Jun 22, 25Cienciano – Alianza Atletico3-2
  • Oct 24, 24Cienciano – Alianza Atletico3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Alianza AtleticoCienciano
Played2223
Goals Scored2738
Goals Conceded2733
Avg Scored1.21.6
Avg Conceded1.21.4
Clean Sheets64

Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano — Match Analysis

Alianza Atletico hold a narrow edge, backed by a formidable home record and historical dominance over Cienciano. However, Cienciano's superior form and attacking quality pose a significant threat, making this a tightly contested match.

This Liga 1 encounter between Alianza Atletico and Cienciano is expected to be a closely fought contest, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the market. Alianza Atletico's strong home record (4W-4D-1L) and the historical head-to-head advantage (3 wins in last 5 meetings) are key factors in their favor. However, Cienciano's superior overall form and attacking threat cannot be overlooked.

Form Analysis: Alianza Atletico have been inconsistent, with a 30% win rate and a leaky defense (conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game). Cienciano, despite a recent loss, have a better win rate (55%) and a more solid defensive record (1.0 goals conceded per game). However, Cienciano have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, which is a concern.

Key Factors: Alianza Atletico's home advantage is significant, as they have lost only once at home this season. Cienciano's key players, A. Hohberg and C. Garcés, have been in prolific form, contributing 22 goals between them. The head-to-head record is evenly split, with Alianza winning 3 of the last 5 meetings, but Cienciano winning the most recent encounter.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with Alianza Atletico holding a narrow edge due to home advantage and historical dominance. However, Cienciano's quality in attack could swing the match in their favor. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring affair with Alianza Atletico edging it, but a draw is also a plausible result given the evenly matched nature of the two teams.

Win Probabilities: Alianza Atletico: 35% · Draw: 33% · Cienciano: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Alianza Atletico wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Cienciano wins: 6

Form (latest first): Alianza Atletico: WDLWL · Cienciano: LLDWW

  • Cristian Penilla vs Carlos Cabello: Penilla's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Cabello's defensive positioning. If Penilla gets the better of this duel, Alianza could create numerous chances.
  • Jairo Molina vs Kevin Becerra: Molina's physical presence and aerial ability will challenge Becerra in the air. Winning this battle could give Alianza an edge from set-pieces.
  • A. Hohberg vs Román Suárez: Hohberg's creativity and movement will be key for Cienciano. Suárez must stay disciplined to prevent Hohberg from finding space between the lines.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%