Alianza Atletico are clear favourites to beat UTC Cajamarca at home. The market and the statistical model both point to a home win, and the form, standings, and head-to-head record all reinforce that view.
Form Analysis: Alianza Atletico arrive on a five-match unbeaten streak (WWDWL), scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. UTC Cajamarca, in contrast, have lost four of their last five (LLLDL), scoring only 1.0 per game and conceding 2.0. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the home side.
Key Factors: The league table tells a similar story: Alianza sit 4th with 13 points and a positive goal difference, while UTC are 17th with just 2 points and a -10 goal difference. In head-to-head meetings, Alianza have won four of the last five encounters. Additionally, Alianza have a strong home record (6W-4D-1L), and UTC have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable home victory. Alianza Atletico's superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over UTC Cajamarca make them the clear favourites to take all three points.
