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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Prediction • Liga 1·Alianza Lima·Deportivo Garcilaso

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 30, 2026
00:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Early projection · Odds pending
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Away
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Win Probabilities
44%
Alianza Lima
25%
Draw
31%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home2.2744%
Draw4.0025%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Alianza Lima are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a dominant head-to-head history. Deportivo Garcilaso's solid defence could make it tight, but the home side's attacking quality should prove decisive.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Alianza Lima
/10
6.0Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FormLatest first
WDWDW
Win Rate60%
Deportivo Garcilaso
FormLatest first
DWWWL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

18°
Patchy rain nearby
Wind
12 km/h
Humidity
82%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

High humidity - may cause player fatigue

Alianza Lima
Home

Alianza Lima

Form
WDWDW
Latest first
2
Pos
37
Pts
+25
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 21 matches)

Clean Sheets943%
Goal Diff+25
  • Unbeaten at home with 9 wins in 10 matches
  • Strong attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game
  • Dominant head-to-head record against Deportivo Garcilaso

Key Players

E. Castillo
E. Castillo
7.2
Goals
11
Assists
5
R. Garcés
R. Garcés
7.3
Goals
5
Assists
0
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
6.6
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 7
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
5Wins
1
Draws
Deportivo Garcilaso
1Wins
Deportivo Garcilaso
71%14%14%

Recent Matches

Last 7
Mar142026
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
1-1
Draw
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sep142025
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
3-4
Loss
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Apr152025
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
0-1
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Oct272024
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
1-2
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
May202024
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
3-2
Win
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Oct292023
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
0-1
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Jun112023
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
3-2
Win
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima4-1-3-2vs4-2-3-1Deportivo GarcilasoPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso4-2-3-1
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima4-1-3-2
Deportivo GarcilasoBenchDeportivo Garcilaso7
Alianza LimaBenchAlianza Lima7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga 1

League Statistics

Liga 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Alianza Lima
Alianza LimaHome
532095+411
2
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
531194+510
3
FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
5311106+410
4
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo GarcilasoAway
531152+310
5
Universitario
Universitario
531187+110
6
Cusco
Cusco
5302127+59
7
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
522153+28
8
Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo
52127707
9
Atletico Grau
Atletico Grau
52124407
10
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
521279-27
11
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
521269-37
12
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
51229905
13
Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College
512246-25
14
FC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
5113911-24
15
UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
504135-24
16
Cienciano
Cienciano
511336-34
17
ADT
ADT
502337-42
18
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
502339-62
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Alianza Lima

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

44%Alianza Lima
25%Draw
31%Deportivo Garcilaso

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Aug 30 · 00:30
StadiumEstadio Alejandro Villanueva
League StatsLiga 1

Statistical Context

Alianza Lima

WDWDW
  • WAug 16, 26H · UTC Cajamarca1-0
  • DAug 9, 26A · Sport Boys1-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Alianza Atletico3-1
  • DJul 26, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos2-2
  • WJul 20, 26H · Sport Huancayo2-1

Deportivo Garcilaso

DWWWL
  • DAug 16, 26A · Cienciano0-0
  • WAug 9, 26H · UCV Moquegua2-0
  • WAug 2, 26A · ADT0-1
  • WJul 27, 26H · FC Cajamarca2-1
  • LJul 17, 26A · Sporting Cristal1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Alianza Lima5+411WDWDW
2Sporting Cristal5+510WDWLW
3FBC Melgar5+410WLDWW
4Deportivo Garcilaso5+310DWWWL
5Universitario5+110WDLWW

Head to Head

5
Alianza Lima
1
Draws
1
Deportivo Garcilaso
  • Mar 14, 26Deportivo Garcilaso – Alianza Lima1-1
  • Sep 14, 25Alianza Lima – Deportivo Garcilaso3-4
  • Apr 15, 25Deportivo Garcilaso – Alianza Lima0-1
  • Oct 27, 24Deportivo Garcilaso – Alianza Lima1-2
  • May 20, 24Alianza Lima – Deportivo Garcilaso3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
Played2121
Goals Scored3826
Goals Conceded1320
Avg Scored1.81.2
Avg Conceded0.60.9
Clean Sheets98

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Alianza Lima

Formation 4-1-3-2
  1. 12GA. De la Cruz
  2. 17DL. Advíncula
  3. 3DM. Antoni
  4. 4DG. Chávez
  5. 2DN. Díaz
  6. 29MJ. Archimbaud
  7. 15MJ. Castillo
  8. 7MF. Gaibor
  9. 22MC. Neira
  10. 11AA. Cantero
  11. 8AE. Castillo

Coach: P. Bengoechea

Deportivo Garcilaso

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 31GJ. Barbieri
  2. 55DE. Canales
  3. 19DA. Gómez
  4. 23DX. Moreno
  5. 22DJ. Portales
  6. 27MA. Ascues
  7. 8MA. González
  8. 35MJ. Mendoza
  9. 18MC. Ramos
  10. 11MF. Arancibia
  11. 9AF. Castelli

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Alianza Lima are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a dominant head-to-head history. Deportivo Garcilaso's solid defence could make it tight, but the home side's attacking quality should prove decisive.

Alianza Lima enter this clash as the clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and a dominant head-to-head history. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both point to a home victory, giving us high confidence in this outcome.…

Win Probabilities: Alianza Lima: 44% · Draw: 25% · Deportivo Garcilaso: 31%

H2H: Alianza Lima wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Deportivo Garcilaso wins: 1

Form (latest first): Alianza Lima: WDWDW · Deportivo Garcilaso: DWWWL

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Aug 2117:00
Atletico Grau
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Aug 2120:00
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Aug 2216:00
UCV Moquegua
11.4967%
X4.3523%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2218:15
Comerciantes Unidos
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Aug 2220:30
ADT
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Aug 2300:00
Cusco
13.0333%
X3.1332%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 2318:00
Cienciano
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Aug 2320:30
Alianza Lima
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Aug 2323:30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.3375%
X5.5618%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 2920:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%
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