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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima

UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima

Prediction • Liga 1·UCV Moquegua·Alianza Lima

Liga 1
Liga 1
Oct 25, 2026
18:00
Early projection · Odds pending
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Away
Stadium
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Win Probabilities
24%
UCV Moquegua
21%
Draw
55%
Alianza Lima
Home4.1724%
Draw4.7621%
Away1.8255%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Alianza Lima are favored at 55% to win away at UCV Moquegua. The draw is rated 21% and the home win 24%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0UCV Moquegua
/10
2.0Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FormLatest first
LLLLW
Win Rate20%
Alianza Lima
FormLatest first
WLDLD
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

UCV Moquegua
Home

UCV Moquegua

Form
WLLLL
Latest first
16
Pos
7
Pts
-17
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 27 matches)

Clean Sheets726%
Goal Diff-17
  • Modest home record with four wins and five draws from thirteen home games
  • E. Lastre provides a genuine goal threat with seven goals and three assists
  • Capable of grinding out draws at home when defensively organised

Key Players

E. Lastre
E. Lastre
7.0
Goals
7
Assists
3
Y. Zapata
Y. Zapata
6.8
Goals
2
Assists
0
Alianza Lima
Away

Alianza Lima

Form
DLDLW
Latest first
2
Pos
37
Pts
+26
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 27 matches)

Clean Sheets1141%
Goal Diff+26
  • Superior defensive record with a clean sheet in the last five
  • Strong head-to-head record against this opponent
  • E. Castillo leads the attack with eleven goals and five assists

Key Players

E. Castillo
E. Castillo
7.2
Goals
11
Assists
5
R. Garcés
R. Garcés
7.3
Goals
5
Assists
0
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
6.6
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 1
UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
0Wins
0
Draws
Alianza Lima
1Wins
Alianza Lima
0%0%100%

Recent Matches

Last 1
May32026
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2-1
Loss
UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Alianza Lima 2 - 1 UCV Moquegua

May 3, 2026

72% / 21% / 7%

UCV Moquegua4-1-4-1vs4-4-2Alianza LimaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga 1

League Statistics

Liga 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Deportivo Garcilaso
10712186+1222
2
Universitario
106221916+320
3
Sporting Cristal
106132010+1019
4
Alianza Atletico
106132017+319
5
Sport Huancayo
106131613+319
6
Juan Pablo II College
105322012+818
7
FBC Melgar
10532169+718
8
Sport Boys
10532147+718
9
Cusco
106041914+518
10
Alianza LimaAway
104421410+416
11
Atletico Grau
105141413+116
12
FC Cajamarca
103161824-610
13
Comerciantes Unidos
102351718-19
14
Cienciano
102261218-68
15
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
102261124-138
16
UCV MoqueguaHome
10145717-107
17
ADT
10127721-145
18
UTC Cajamarca
100281124-132
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Alianza Lima

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

24%UCV Moquegua
21%Draw
55%Alianza Lima

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 25 · 18:00
StadiumEstadio 25 de Noviembre
League StatsLiga 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · UCV MoqueguaInjuries · Alianza LimaLive scores →

Statistical Context

UCV Moquegua

LLLLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Juan Pablo II College4-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Sporting Cristal1-2
  • LSep 5, 26A · Cusco2-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Alianza Atletico1-4
  • WAug 22, 26A · Sport Huancayo0-2

Alianza Lima

WLDLD
  • WSep 19, 26H · ADT2-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Universitario1-2
  • DSep 6, 26A · Juan Pablo II College1-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Cusco10+518WLWWL
10Alianza Lima10+416WLDLD
11Atletico Grau10+116LWLWW
12FC Cajamarca10-610LWLWL
13Comerciantes Unidos10-19LLDLW
14Cienciano10-68DLWLL
15Club Deportivo Los Chankas10-138DLLLL
16UCV Moquegua10-107LLLLW
17ADT10-145WLLLL

Head to Head

0
UCV Moquegua
0
Draws
1
Alianza Lima
  • May 3, 26Alianza Lima – UCV Moquegua2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

UCV MoqueguaAlianza Lima
Played2727
Goals Scored2444
Goals Conceded4118
Avg Scored0.91.6
Avg Conceded1.50.7
Clean Sheets711

Predicted line-ups: UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima

Predicted XI

UCV Moquegua

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: J. Serna

Alianza Lima

4-4-2Formation· Coach: P. Bengoechea

  1. 12Á. de la Cruz
  1. 17L. Advíncula
  2. 31C. Carbajal
  3. 4G. Chávez
  4. 77J. Estrada
  1. 29J. Archimbaud
  2. 15J. Castillo
  3. 7F. Gaibor
  4. 22C. Neira
  1. 8E. Castillo
  2. 25G. Gentile
  1. 11B. Angulo
  1. 25R. Chipao
  2. 8C. Mejía
  3. 14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
  4. 20D. Ramírez
  1. 10N. Chávez
  1. 15N. Amasifuén
  2. 3C. Enciso
  3. 30J. Granda
  4. 6Jimmy Rangell Jiménez Cárdenas
  1. 29R. Figueroa

Bench

  • 1C. Grados
  • 13J. Lojas
  • 4A. Perleche
  • 22E. Montenegro
  • 34K. Ferreyra
  • 7E. Lastre
  • 17Y. Zapata

Bench

  • 1A. Duarte
  • 6R. Garcés
  • 13M. Huamán
  • 5E. Pavez
  • 20J. Vélez
  • 11A. Cantero
  • 99F. Girotti

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Alianza Lima are favored at 55% to win away at UCV Moquegua. The draw is rated 21% and the home win 24%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Alianza Lima are the clear favourites for this Liga 1 encounter at the Estadio 25 de Noviembre, with the statistical model and the team-comparison data both pointing in the same direction. UCV Moquegua arrive in deep trouble, while the visitors carry the stronger overall profile.…

Win Probabilities: UCV Moquegua: 24% · Draw: 21% · Alianza Lima: 55%

H2H: UCV Moquegua wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Alianza Lima wins: 1

Form (latest first): UCV Moquegua: LLLLW · Alianza Lima: WLDLD

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Oct 818:00
Cienciano
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 820:30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.8255%
X3.4529%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1120:30
Alianza Atletico
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 1618:00
Cusco
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 1620:30
ADT
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 1716:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 1720:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 1723:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Oct 1801:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Oct 1818:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Oct 1820:30
Universitario
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Oct 1823:30
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 2318:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 2320:15
ADT
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 2417:45
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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