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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca

Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca

Result • Liga 1·Cusco·UTC Cajamarca

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 1, 2026
23:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Cusco

Cusco

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.10
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
high Confidence
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.10
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Win Probabilities
58%
Cusco
28%
Draw
14%
UTC Cajamarca
Home1.5058%
Draw4.1028%
Away6.1014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Cusco are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a formidable home record of 6 wins in 9 games. The main risk is UTC's historical head-to-head edge, having won 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Cusco and UTC Cajamarca using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cusco a 58% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and UTC Cajamarca a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: D. Soto
    23'
    Yellow Card: D. SotoCusco
  2. 28'
    Yellow Card: B. DuarteUTC Cajamarca
    Yellow Card: B. Duarte
  3. Penalty: I. Colman (Penalty)
    32'
    Penalty: I. Colman (Penalty)Cusco
  4. 33'
    Yellow Card: A. MunozUTC Cajamarca
    Yellow Card: A. Munoz
  5. 60'
    Substitution: L. ArceUTC Cajamarca · Out: D. Dioses
    Substitution: L. ArceOut: D. Dioses
  6. Goal: F. CallejoAssist: J. Zevallos
    61'
    Goal: F. CallejoCusco · Assist: J. Zevallos
  7. Substitution: C. DiezOut: D. Soto
    62'
    Substitution: C. DiezCusco · Out: D. Soto
  8. Substitution: J. ManzanedaOut: Miguel Silveira
    62'
    Substitution: J. ManzanedaCusco · Out: Miguel Silveira
  9. 64'
    Yellow Card: A. FigueraUTC Cajamarca
    Yellow Card: A. Figuera
  10. Goal: F. CallejoAssist: C. Montano
    67'
    Goal: F. CallejoCusco · Assist: C. Montano
  11. Goal: L. ColittoAssist: J. Manzaneda
    70'
    Goal: L. ColittoCusco · Assist: J. Manzaneda
  12. 71'
    Goal: A. MunozUTC Cajamarca · Assist: D. Camacho
    Goal: A. MunozAssist: D. Camacho
  13. 71'
    Substitution: J. NunezUTC Cajamarca · Out: G. Paredes
    Substitution: J. NunezOut: G. Paredes
  14. Substitution: O. ValenzuelaOut: C. Montano
    79'
    Substitution: O. ValenzuelaCusco · Out: C. Montano
  15. Substitution: N. SilvaOut: L. Colitto
    79'
    Substitution: N. SilvaCusco · Out: L. Colitto
  16. 83'
    Yellow Card: B. DuarteUTC Cajamarca
    Yellow Card: B. Duarte
  17. 83'
    Red Card: B. DuarteUTC Cajamarca
    Red Card: B. Duarte
  18. Missed penalty: F. CallejoMissed penalty
    90'
    Missed penalty: F. CallejoCusco · Missed penalty
  19. Substitution: Herrera JoelOut: I. Colman
    90'
    Substitution: Herrera JoelCusco · Out: I. Colman
  20. 90+1'
    Substitution: M. de JesusUTC Cajamarca · Out: M. Lliuya
    Substitution: M. de JesusOut: M. Lliuya
  21. 90+1'
    Substitution: F. CavagnaUTC Cajamarca · Out: A. Munoz
    Substitution: F. CavagnaOut: A. Munoz
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Callejo vs UTC defense: Cusco's top scorer will test a defense that has kept no clean sheets in five games.
2J. Manzaneda vs UTC midfield: Manzaneda's creativity and 4 assists will be key to unlocking the away side's defensive block.
3B. Duarte vs Cusco defense: UTC's main goal threat will look to exploit any lapses in Cusco's backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cusco

  • Strong home record (6W-2D-1L)
  • High attack rating (67%)
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.8 goals per game)
  • Recent loss in last match

UTC Cajamarca

  • Averaging 2.4 goals scored per game
  • H2H confidence (4 wins in last 9 meetings)
  • Poor league position (16th)
  • Low win rate (22%)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
58%
API-Football
45%
52%
Cusco513712

Moderate agreement on home win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against bottom-placed UTC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and superior league standing.

Form Analysis: Cusco have won 50% of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded. UTC Cajamarca have lost their only recent match and have a poor 22% win rate overall, conceding 1.8 goals per game while scoring 2.4. Cusco's home record is excellent: 6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 9 games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a 13-place gap, with Cusco in 3rd (3 points, +2 GD) and UTC in 16th (0 points, -2 GD). Head-to-head history slightly favours UTC (4 wins in 9 meetings), but Cusco have won 2 of the last 5. No significant injuries reported for either side. Weather conditions are clear and cool, with minor impact.

Conclusion: Cusco's strong home advantage, superior form, and higher league position make them the clear favourites. UTC Cajamarca's poor away record and low win rate suggest they will struggle to take points.

Statistical ContextCusco

Double chance : Cusco or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CuscoUTC Cajamarca
60%Strength39%
67%Attacking Potential33%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
45%Goals H2H55%
60%Wins the Game39%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CuscoInjuries · UTC CajamarcaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cusco

WLLWL
  • WOct 24, 26H · Sporting Cristal3-1
  • LOct 16, 26A · Sport Huancayo2-1
  • LOct 11, 26H · Alianza Lima1-2
  • WSep 19, 26A · FC Cajamarca1-2
  • LSep 12, 26H · FBC Melgar0-1

UTC Cajamarca

LLLLL
  • LOct 23, 26H · FBC Melgar1-2
  • LOct 18, 26A · Cienciano1-0
  • LOct 11, 26H · Sporting Cristal0-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Sport Huancayo3-2
  • LSep 11, 26H · Juan Pablo II College1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Alianza Atletico13-122LLWWL
9Cusco12+318LLWLW
10Sport Boys12+318LLDWL
17ADT13-157DLDWL
18UTC Cajamarca13-162LLLLL

Head to Head

2
Cusco
3
Draws
4
UTC Cajamarca
  • Feb 13, 26UTC Cajamarca – Cusco1-0
  • Aug 4, 25UTC Cajamarca – Cusco1-2
  • Mar 1, 25Cusco – UTC Cajamarca1-1
  • Jul 19, 24UTC Cajamarca – Cusco2-1
  • Feb 2, 24Cusco – UTC Cajamarca1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CuscoUTC Cajamarca
Played2929
Goals Scored4232
Goals Conceded4252
Avg Scored1.41.1
Avg Conceded1.41.8
Clean Sheets54

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CuscoUTC Cajamarca
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca — Match Analysis

Cusco are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a formidable home record of 6 wins in 9 games. The main risk is UTC's historical head-to-head edge, having won 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against bottom-placed UTC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and superior league standing.

Form Analysis: Cusco have won 50% of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded. UTC Cajamarca have lost their only recent match and have a poor 22% win rate overall, conceding 1.8 goals per game while scoring 2.4. Cusco's home record is excellent: 6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 9 games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a 13-place gap, with Cusco in 3rd (3 points, +2 GD) and UTC in 16th (0 points, -2 GD). Head-to-head history slightly favours UTC (4 wins in 9 meetings), but Cusco have won 2 of the last 5. No significant injuries reported for either side. Weather conditions are clear and cool, with minor impact.

Conclusion: Cusco's strong home advantage, superior form, and higher league position make them the clear favourites. UTC Cajamarca's poor away record and low win rate suggest they will struggle to take points.

Win Probabilities: Cusco: 58% · Draw: 28% · UTC Cajamarca: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Cusco wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · UTC Cajamarca wins: 4

Form (latest first): Cusco: WLLWL · UTC Cajamarca: LLLLL

  • F. Callejo vs UTC defense: Cusco's top scorer will test a defense that has kept no clean sheets in five games.
  • J. Manzaneda vs UTC midfield: Manzaneda's creativity and 4 assists will be key to unlocking the away side's defensive block.
  • B. Duarte vs Cusco defense: UTC's main goal threat will look to exploit any lapses in Cusco's backline.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 2502:30
Juan Pablo II College
11.4370%
X4.7621%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Oct 2516:00
Cienciano
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Oct 2518:15
Alianza Lima
19.0911%
X4.0025%
21.5664%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 2520:30
FC Cajamarca
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Oct 2523:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 2720:00
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 2821:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 2821:00
Alianza Lima
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 2821:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Oct 2821:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Oct 2821:00
Atletico Grau
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 2821:00
Cusco
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Oct 2821:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Oct 2821:00
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 3121:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
112.508%
X8.3312%
21.2580%

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