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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca

Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca

Result • Liga 1·Cusco·UTC Cajamarca

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 1, 2026
23:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Cusco

Cusco

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.10
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
high Confidence
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.10
26.10
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Win Probabilities
58%
Cusco
28%
Draw
14%
UTC Cajamarca
Home1.5058%
Draw4.1028%
Away6.1014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Cusco are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a formidable home record of 6 wins in 9 games. The main risk is UTC's historical head-to-head edge, having won 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Cusco and UTC Cajamarca using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cusco a 58% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and UTC Cajamarca a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Callejo vs UTC defense: Cusco's top scorer will test a defense that has kept no clean sheets in five games.
2J. Manzaneda vs UTC midfield: Manzaneda's creativity and 4 assists will be key to unlocking the away side's defensive block.
3B. Duarte vs Cusco defense: UTC's main goal threat will look to exploit any lapses in Cusco's backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cusco

  • Strong home record (6W-2D-1L)
  • High attack rating (67%)
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.8 goals per game)
  • Recent loss in last match

UTC Cajamarca

  • Averaging 2.4 goals scored per game
  • H2H confidence (4 wins in last 9 meetings)
  • Poor league position (16th)
  • Low win rate (22%)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
58%
API-Football
45%
52%
Cusco513712

Moderate agreement on home win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against bottom-placed UTC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and superior league standing.

Form Analysis: Cusco have won 50% of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded. UTC Cajamarca have lost their only recent match and have a poor 22% win rate overall, conceding 1.8 goals per game while scoring 2.4. Cusco's home record is excellent: 6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 9 games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a 13-place gap, with Cusco in 3rd (3 points, +2 GD) and UTC in 16th (0 points, -2 GD). Head-to-head history slightly favours UTC (4 wins in 9 meetings), but Cusco have won 2 of the last 5. No significant injuries reported for either side. Weather conditions are clear and cool, with minor impact.

Conclusion: Cusco's strong home advantage, superior form, and higher league position make them the clear favourites. UTC Cajamarca's poor away record and low win rate suggest they will struggle to take points.

Statistical ContextCusco

Double chance : Cusco or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CuscoUTC Cajamarca
60%Strength39%
67%Attacking Potential33%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
45%Goals H2H55%
60%Wins the Game39%

Statistical Context

Cusco

LWLLW
  • LAug 23, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso4-1
  • WAug 14, 26H · Juan Pablo II College2-0
  • LAug 7, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos3-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · Universitario2-1
  • WJul 18, 26H · Alianza Atletico4-1

UTC Cajamarca

LLDDL
  • LAug 22, 26H · Comerciantes Unidos1-3
  • LAug 16, 26A · Alianza Lima1-0
  • DAug 8, 26H · ADT1-1
  • DJul 26, 26H · UCV Moquegua0-0
  • LJul 18, 26A · Atletico Grau3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Alianza Atletico6010WDWLW
9Cusco6+29LWLWL
10Comerciantes Unidos6+28WLWLD
16Cienciano6-74LDLWL
17UTC Cajamarca6-82LLDLD
18ADT6-82LDDLL

Head to Head

2
Cusco
3
Draws
4
UTC Cajamarca
  • Feb 13, 26UTC Cajamarca – Cusco1-0
  • Aug 4, 25UTC Cajamarca – Cusco1-2
  • Mar 1, 25Cusco – UTC Cajamarca1-1
  • Jul 19, 24UTC Cajamarca – Cusco2-1
  • Feb 2, 24Cusco – UTC Cajamarca1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CuscoUTC Cajamarca
Played2322
Goals Scored3424
Goals Conceded3535
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.51.6
Clean Sheets44

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CuscoUTC Cajamarca
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca — Match Analysis

Cusco are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a formidable home record of 6 wins in 9 games. The main risk is UTC's historical head-to-head edge, having won 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against bottom-placed UTC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and superior league standing.

Form Analysis: Cusco have won 50% of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded. UTC Cajamarca have lost their only recent match and have a poor 22% win rate overall, conceding 1.8 goals per game while scoring 2.4. Cusco's home record is excellent: 6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 9 games.

Key Factors: The league standings show a 13-place gap, with Cusco in 3rd (3 points, +2 GD) and UTC in 16th (0 points, -2 GD). Head-to-head history slightly favours UTC (4 wins in 9 meetings), but Cusco have won 2 of the last 5. No significant injuries reported for either side. Weather conditions are clear and cool, with minor impact.

Conclusion: Cusco's strong home advantage, superior form, and higher league position make them the clear favourites. UTC Cajamarca's poor away record and low win rate suggest they will struggle to take points.

Win Probabilities: Cusco: 58% · Draw: 28% · UTC Cajamarca: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Cusco wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · UTC Cajamarca wins: 4

Form (latest first): Cusco: LWLLW · UTC Cajamarca: LLDDL

  • F. Callejo vs UTC defense: Cusco's top scorer will test a defense that has kept no clean sheets in five games.
  • J. Manzaneda vs UTC midfield: Manzaneda's creativity and 4 assists will be key to unlocking the away side's defensive block.
  • B. Duarte vs Cusco defense: UTC's main goal threat will look to exploit any lapses in Cusco's backline.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%