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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys

UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys

Result • Liga 1·UCV Moquegua·Sport Boys

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 16, 2026
18:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.66
X3.00
22.76
Stadium
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
medium Confidence
DRAW
Sport Boys

Sport Boys

Away
Odds
12.66
X3.00
22.76
Stadium
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Win Probabilities
34%
UCV Moquegua
31%
Draw
35%
Sport Boys
Home2.6634%
Draw3.0031%
Away2.7635%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Sport Boys are the clear favourites based on superior form and league position, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. The main risk is UCV Moquegua's home advantage and their defensive resilience, which could lead to a tight, low-scoring contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between UCV Moquegua and Sport Boys using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns UCV Moquegua a 34% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Sport Boys a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 36%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 36%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1E. Lastre vs. Hansell Riojas: Lastre is UCV's main attacking threat, and his duel with Riojas could determine whether the home side can break through.
2L. Nequecaur vs. Juan Diego Lojas: Nequecaur's movement and finishing will test Lojas, who must stay disciplined to prevent goals.
3J. Alarcón vs. Aldair Perleche: Alarcón's creativity and passing could unlock the defense, and Perleche will need to track his runs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

UCV Moquegua

  • Solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Home advantage with a decent home record (4W-4D-2L)
  • Poor attacking form, failed to score in 4 of last 5 games
  • Low average goals scored (0.4 per game)

Sport Boys

  • Strong recent form with 3 unbeaten matches
  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Inconsistent scoring, averaging only 1.0 goal per game
  • No wins in the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Sport Boys223840

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between UCV Moquegua and Sport Boys is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with the visitors holding a slight edge based on superior form and league position. The bookmaker odds suggest a near-even split, with a slight lean towards the home side, but the API model and team comparison data favor Sport Boys.

Form Analysis: UCV Moquegua have struggled recently, with only one win in their last five matches (LDDD), scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 0.8. They have failed to score in four of their last five outings, highlighting a significant attacking deficiency. In contrast, Sport Boys are unbeaten in their last three matches (DWWL), averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded per game, with three clean sheets in that period. Their momentum and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the attacking form: UCV Moquegua's inability to score regularly is a major concern, while Sport Boys have shown greater consistency in front of goal. Additionally, Sport Boys sit 8 places higher in the standings with a positive goal difference, indicating a stronger overall squad. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either side in the last five meetings, with one draw, suggesting a competitive history, but the current form disparity tilts the balance.

Conclusion: Given the data, Sport Boys are the more likely winners, but the match is expected to be close. The odds reflect a near-even contest, and while Sport Boys have the edge, a draw is also a plausible outcome. The prediction is a narrow away win or a draw, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 or 1-2.

Statistical ContextSport Boys

Combo Double chance : draw or Sport Boys and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UCV MoqueguaSport Boys
38%Strength61%
29%Attacking Potential71%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
38%Wins the Game61%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · UCV MoqueguaInjuries · Sport Boys</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

UCV Moquegua

LLLWL
  • LSep 13, 26H · Sporting Cristal1-2
  • LSep 5, 26A · Cusco2-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Alianza Atletico1-4
  • WAug 22, 26A · Sport Huancayo0-2
  • LAug 9, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso2-0

Sport Boys

WLWWD
  • WSep 13, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso1-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Sport Huancayo2-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Sporting Cristal1-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Cienciano5-1
  • DAug 9, 26H · Alianza Lima1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Juan Pablo II College9+415WDWWL
8Sport Boys8+614LWWDD
9Sporting Cristal8+713WLLWD
10Alianza Lima9+213LDLDW
11Atletico Grau8+113LWWWD
12FC Cajamarca9-510WLWLL
13Comerciantes Unidos909LDLWL
14Cienciano8-57WLLDL
15UCV Moquegua8-57LLWDL
16Club Deportivo Los Chankas9-137LLLLL

Head to Head

0
UCV Moquegua
1
Draws
0
Sport Boys
  • Mar 1, 26Sport Boys – UCV Moquegua0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

UCV MoqueguaSport Boys
Played2525
Goals Scored2327
Goals Conceded3525
Avg Scored0.91.1
Avg Conceded1.41.0
Clean Sheets711

UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys — Match Analysis

Sport Boys are the clear favourites based on superior form and league position, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. The main risk is UCV Moquegua's home advantage and their defensive resilience, which could lead to a tight, low-scoring contest.

The match between UCV Moquegua and Sport Boys is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with the visitors holding a slight edge based on superior form and league position. The bookmaker odds suggest a near-even split, with a slight lean towards the home side, but the API model and team comparison data favor Sport Boys.

Form Analysis: UCV Moquegua have struggled recently, with only one win in their last five matches (LDDD), scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 0.8. They have failed to score in four of their last five outings, highlighting a significant attacking deficiency. In contrast, Sport Boys are unbeaten in their last three matches (DWWL), averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded per game, with three clean sheets in that period. Their momentum and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the attacking form: UCV Moquegua's inability to score regularly is a major concern, while Sport Boys have shown greater consistency in front of goal. Additionally, Sport Boys sit 8 places higher in the standings with a positive goal difference, indicating a stronger overall squad. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either side in the last five meetings, with one draw, suggesting a competitive history, but the current form disparity tilts the balance.

Conclusion: Given the data, Sport Boys are the more likely winners, but the match is expected to be close. The odds reflect a near-even contest, and while Sport Boys have the edge, a draw is also a plausible outcome. The prediction is a narrow away win or a draw, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 or 1-2.

Win Probabilities: UCV Moquegua: 34% · Draw: 31% · Sport Boys: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 26% · Under 2.5: 74% · BTTS: 36%

H2H: UCV Moquegua wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Sport Boys wins: 0

Form (latest first): UCV Moquegua: LLLWL · Sport Boys: WLWWD

  • E. Lastre vs. Hansell Riojas: Lastre is UCV's main attacking threat, and his duel with Riojas could determine whether the home side can break through.
  • L. Nequecaur vs. Juan Diego Lojas: Nequecaur's movement and finishing will test Lojas, who must stay disciplined to prevent goals.
  • J. Alarcón vs. Aldair Perleche: Alarcón's creativity and passing could unlock the defense, and Perleche will need to track his runs.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 1820:00
Comerciantes Unidos
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Sep 1901:00
ADT
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 1918:00
Cusco
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 1920:30
Atletico Grau
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sep 1923:00
Universitario
12.7836%
X3.3330%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Sep 2001:15
Sport Boys
11.6162%
X3.8526%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 2018:00
UTC Cajamarca
11.5465%
X4.1724%
29.0911%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Sep 2020:30
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Sep 2023:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 1020:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 1020:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1020:00
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Oct 1020:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 1020:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 1020:00
Alianza Lima
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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