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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia

Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia

Result • Ekstraklasa·Piast Gliwice·Arka Gdynia

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Apr 27, 2026
17:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.80
X3.30
24.10
Stadium
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
medium Confidence
Arka Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

Away
Odds
11.80
X3.30
24.10
Stadium
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Win Probabilities
49%
Piast Gliwice
32%
Draw
19%
Arka Gdynia
Home1.8049%
Draw3.3032%
Away4.1019%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Piast Gliwice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arka Gdynia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Piast Gliwice and Arka Gdynia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Piast Gliwice a 49% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Arka Gdynia a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 7'
    Yellow Card: A. NguiambaArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: A. Nguiamba
  2. Missed penalty: P. DziczekMissed penalty
    8'
    Missed penalty: P. DziczekPiast Gliwice · Missed penalty
  3. Goal: Q. BoisgardAssist: L. Sanca
    10'
    Goal: Q. BoisgardPiast Gliwice · Assist: L. Sanca
  4. 23'
    Substitution: D. KocylaArka Gdynia · Out: O. Kubiak
    Substitution: D. KocylaOut: O. Kubiak
  5. Yellow Card: J. Lewicki
    41'
    Yellow Card: J. LewickiPiast Gliwice
  6. 45'
    Yellow Card: V. GutkovskisArka Gdynia
    Yellow Card: V. Gutkovskis
  7. 46'
    Substitution: K. JakubczykArka Gdynia · Out: A. Nguiamba
    Substitution: K. JakubczykOut: A. Nguiamba
  8. Goal: F. Borowski
    47'
    Goal: F. BorowskiPiast Gliwice
  9. 54'
    Goal: D. KocylaArka Gdynia · Assist: V. Gutkovskis
    Goal: D. KocylaAssist: V. Gutkovskis
  10. Substitution: E. FikajOut: J. Lewicki
    60'
    Substitution: E. FikajPiast Gliwice · Out: J. Lewicki
  11. Substitution: H. VallejoOut: L. Sanca
    60'
    Substitution: H. VallejoPiast Gliwice · Out: L. Sanca
  12. Substitution: G. BarkovskiyOut: Q. Boisgard
    68'
    Substitution: G. BarkovskiyPiast Gliwice · Out: Q. Boisgard
  13. Substitution: O. LesniakOut: J. Lokilo
    68'
    Substitution: O. LesniakPiast Gliwice · Out: J. Lokilo
  14. 68'
    Substitution: D. ZatorArka Gdynia · Out: M. Navarro
    Substitution: D. ZatorOut: M. Navarro
  15. 68'
    Substitution: J. OliveiraArka Gdynia · Out: N. Rusyn
    Substitution: J. OliveiraOut: N. Rusyn
  16. Yellow Card: P. Dziczek
    69'
    Yellow Card: P. DziczekPiast Gliwice
  17. Substitution: M. ChrapekOut: G. Tomasiewicz
    78'
    Substitution: M. ChrapekPiast Gliwice · Out: G. Tomasiewicz
  18. Goal: I. DrapinskiAssist: M. Chrapek
    81'
    Goal: I. DrapinskiPiast Gliwice · Assist: M. Chrapek
  19. 82'
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezArka Gdynia · Out: L. Perea
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezOut: L. Perea
  20. Goal: H. VallejoAssist: M. Chrapek
    90+1'
    Goal: H. VallejoPiast Gliwice · Assist: M. Chrapek
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Piast's central midfielder vs Arka's defensive midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for Piast to supply their attackers.
2Piast's left winger vs Arka's right back: Piast's wide play could exploit Arka's defensive gaps.
3Edu Espiau vs Piast's center backs: Arka's main goal threat must be contained to prevent an upset.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Piast Gliwice

  • Strong attack (62% rating)
  • Dominant H2H record
  • Defensive lapses (1.6 goals conceded per game)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Arka Gdynia

  • Occasional defensive resilience (1 clean sheet in last 5)
  • Poor attack (1.0 goals per game)
  • Low scoring form (3 blanks in last 5)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Piast Gliwice473915

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a home win for Piast Gliwice against Arka Gdynia.

Form Analysis: Piast Gliwice have won two of their last five matches (DLLWW), while Arka Gdynia have only one win in that span (LDWLD). Piast average 1.6 goals scored per game compared to Arka's 1.0, and Arka have failed to score in three of their last five matches. Defensively, Piast concede 1.6 per game, Arka 1.8.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors Piast with 5 wins in the last 8 meetings. Piast also have home advantage and a higher overall team comparison rating (61% vs 39%). Arka's poor away form and lack of scoring threat are decisive.

Conclusion: Based on superior form, dominant H2H, and home advantage, Piast Gliwice are clear favorites. The odds and model agree, supporting a home win with moderate scoring.

Statistical ContextPiast Gliwice

Double chance : Piast Gliwice or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Piast GliwiceArka Gdynia
61%Strength39%
62%Attacking Potential38%
53%Defensive Potential47%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
58%Goals H2H42%
61%Wins the Game39%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Piast GliwiceInjuries · Arka GdyniaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Piast Gliwice

WWWDL
  • WSep 14, 26A · Radomiak Radom0-2
  • WSep 4, 26H · GKS Katowice3-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · Motor Lublin0-2
  • DAug 22, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-1
  • LAug 15, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków3-4

Arka Gdynia

LLDDL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Raków Częstochowa3-0
  • LMay 18, 26H · Nieciecza2-3
  • DMay 13, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-0
  • DMay 8, 26A · Lech Poznan1-1
  • LApr 19, 26H · Jagiellonia0-3

Head to Head

1
Piast Gliwice
2
Draws
5
Arka Gdynia
  • Oct 25, 25Arka Gdynia – Piast Gliwice2-1
  • Oct 30, 24Arka Gdynia – Piast Gliwice1-3
  • Jul 6, 23Arka Gdynia – Piast Gliwice2-3
  • Apr 7, 21Arka Gdynia – Piast Gliwice0-0
  • Mar 4, 20Piast Gliwice – Arka Gdynia1-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Piast GliwiceArka Gdynia
Played733
Goals Scored1334
Goals Conceded1358
Avg Scored1.91.0
Avg Conceded1.91.8
Clean Sheets27

Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Piast Gliwice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Arka Gdynia, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The predicted outcome is a home win for Piast Gliwice against Arka Gdynia.

Form Analysis: Piast Gliwice have won two of their last five matches (DLLWW), while Arka Gdynia have only one win in that span (LDWLD). Piast average 1.6 goals scored per game compared to Arka's 1.0, and Arka have failed to score in three of their last five matches. Defensively, Piast concede 1.6 per game, Arka 1.8.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors Piast with 5 wins in the last 8 meetings. Piast also have home advantage and a higher overall team comparison rating (61% vs 39%). Arka's poor away form and lack of scoring threat are decisive.

Conclusion: Based on superior form, dominant H2H, and home advantage, Piast Gliwice are clear favorites. The odds and model agree, supporting a home win with moderate scoring.

Win Probabilities: Piast Gliwice: 49% · Draw: 32% · Arka Gdynia: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Piast Gliwice wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Arka Gdynia wins: 5

Form (latest first): Piast Gliwice: WWWDL · Arka Gdynia: LLDDL

  • Piast's central midfielder vs Arka's defensive midfield: Control of the midfield will be crucial for Piast to supply their attackers.
  • Piast's left winger vs Arka's right back: Piast's wide play could exploit Arka's defensive gaps.
  • Edu Espiau vs Piast's center backs: Arka's main goal threat must be contained to prevent an upset.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Oct 1716:00
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%

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