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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin

Result • Ekstraklasa·Piast Gliwice·Pogon Szczecin

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Apr 13, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.15
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
high Confidence
WINNER
Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin

Away
Odds
12.15
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Win Probabilities
41%
Piast Gliwice
29%
Draw
30%
Pogon Szczecin
Home2.1541%
Draw3.4029%
Away3.0030%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Piast Gliwice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Pogon Szczecin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Piast Gliwice a 41% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Pogon Szczecin a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs K. Grosicki: The home defense must contain Pogon Szczecin's top scorer to limit away team's attacking threat.
2Piast Gliwice attackers vs Pogon Szczecin defenders: Home team's strong attack (73%) faces away team's solid defense (59%), creating a crucial tactical battle.
3Midfield units: Both teams use 4-4-2, making midfield control key for dictating play and creating scoring opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Piast Gliwice

  • Strong attack with 73% rating
  • Good recent form at 60%
  • Weak defense at 41% rating
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Pogon Szczecin

  • Strong defense with 59% rating
  • Better H2H strength at 60%
  • Poor attack at 27% rating
  • 2 consecutive losses and negative momentum

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
35%
38%
Piast Gliwice383230

Strong consensus for home win (38%). Both models highly confident.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Piast Gliwice is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Pogon Szczecin, supported by market probabilities and recent form.

Form Analysis: Piast Gliwice has a form of 60% compared to Pogon Szczecin's 40%, with recent matches showing Piast Gliwice as LWWLW and Pogon Szczecin as LLWLW, including a 2-loss streak for the away team. Piast Gliwice averages 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Pogon Szczecin averages 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Key Factors: 1) Piast Gliwice's stronger attack (73% vs. 27%) and home advantage (rating 0.55) provide an edge. 2) Pogon Szczecin's momentum is negative with 2 consecutive losses and failure to score in 2 of last 5 games. 3) Head-to-head history is balanced (3 wins each, 3 draws), but current form favors the home team.

Conclusion: The data indicates Piast Gliwice is more likely to secure a win, aligning with market probabilities and API-Football's predicted winner, though the draw remains a significant possibility given balanced odds and H2H draws.

Statistical ContextPiast Gliwice

Double chance : Piast Gliwice or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin
53%Strength47%
73%Attacking Potential27%
41%Defensive Potential59%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
40%Goals H2H60%
53%Wins the Game47%

Statistical Context

Piast Gliwice

LLWLL
  • LAug 15, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków3-4
  • LAug 9, 26A · Lech Poznan3-0
  • WAug 1, 26H · Wisla Krakow4-3
  • LMay 23, 26A · Widzew Łódź2-1
  • LMay 17, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-3

Pogon Szczecin

WWDWL
  • WAug 8, 26H · Motor Lublin3-1
  • WAug 3, 26A · Cracovia Krakow0-2
  • DMay 23, 26H · GKS Katowice1-1
  • WMay 15, 26A · Zaglebie Lubin0-1
  • LMay 9, 26A · Jagiellonia3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Lech Poznan3+47WWD
4Pogon Szczecin3+36WWL
5Zaglebie Lubin3+16WLW
15Wieczysta Kraków3-13WLL
16Piast Gliwice4-53LLWL
17Radomiak Radom4-83LLLW

Head to Head

4
Piast Gliwice
3
Draws
3
Pogon Szczecin
  • Oct 3, 25Pogon Szczecin – Piast Gliwice2-1
  • Apr 13, 25Piast Gliwice – Pogon Szczecin2-1
  • Feb 26, 25Pogon Szczecin – Piast Gliwice2-0
  • Oct 6, 24Pogon Szczecin – Piast Gliwice1-0
  • Jun 26, 24Piast Gliwice – Pogon Szczecin1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Piast GliwicePogon Szczecin
Played33
Goals Scored45
Goals Conceded82
Avg Scored1.31.7
Avg Conceded2.70.7
Clean Sheets01

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Piast Gliwice's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Pogon Szczecin, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Piast Gliwice is predicted to win this match, with a slight edge over Pogon Szczecin, supported by market probabilities and recent form.

Form Analysis: Piast Gliwice has a form of 60% compared to Pogon Szczecin's 40%, with recent matches showing Piast Gliwice as LWWLW and Pogon Szczecin as LLWLW, including a 2-loss streak for the away team. Piast Gliwice averages 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Pogon Szczecin averages 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Key Factors: 1) Piast Gliwice's stronger attack (73% vs. 27%) and home advantage (rating 0.55) provide an edge. 2) Pogon Szczecin's momentum is negative with 2 consecutive losses and failure to score in 2 of last 5 games. 3) Head-to-head history is balanced (3 wins each, 3 draws), but current form favors the home team.

Conclusion: The data indicates Piast Gliwice is more likely to secure a win, aligning with market probabilities and API-Football's predicted winner, though the draw remains a significant possibility given balanced odds and H2H draws.

Win Probabilities: Piast Gliwice: 41% · Draw: 29% · Pogon Szczecin: 30%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Piast Gliwice wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Pogon Szczecin wins: 3

Form (latest first): Piast Gliwice: LLWLL · Pogon Szczecin: WWDWL

  • N/A vs K. Grosicki: The home defense must contain Pogon Szczecin's top scorer to limit away team's attacking threat.
  • Piast Gliwice attackers vs Pogon Szczecin defenders: Home team's strong attack (73%) faces away team's solid defense (59%), creating a crucial tactical battle.
  • Midfield units: Both teams use 4-4-2, making midfield control key for dictating play and creating scoring opportunities.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Aug 2118:30
Wieczysta Kraków
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Aug 2212:45
Motor Lublin
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Aug 2215:30
Legia Warszawa
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Aug 2218:15
Widzew Łódź
13.1332%
X3.4529%
22.5639%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Aug 2312:45
Zaglebie Lubin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Aug 2315:30
Wisla Plock
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Aug 2318:15
Wisla Krakow
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Plock
Aug 2816:00
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Aug 2818:30
Slask Wroclaw
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Aug 2910:15
Cracovia Krakow
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Aug 2912:45
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Krakow
Aug 2915:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Aug 2918:15
Pogon Szczecin
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Aug 3012:45
Jagiellonia
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Aug 3015:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%