Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warszawa

PredictionEkstraklasa

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
17 May 2026
15:30
medium Confidence
PREDICTED DRAW
Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Polsat Plus Arena
Win Probabilities
Home30%
Draw35%
Away35%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees a clash where past dominance whispers victory for the visitors, yet the scales of fate balance on a draw. Ancient wisdom reveals defensive fortitude may decide this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Lechia Gdansk and Legia Warszawa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lechia Gdansk a 30% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Legia Warszawa a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Lechia Gdansk 30%Draw 35%Legia Warszawa 35%BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Lechia Gdansk
6/10
Form
Win Rate
60%
Legia Warszawa
4/10
Form
Win Rate40%
Momentum Advantage
Lechia Gdansk+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
1-1
15.0%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
10.0%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.3

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Confidence

66%
Data Quality78%
Form Reliability100%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia WarszawaExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash where past dominance whispers victory for the visitors, yet the scales of fate balance on a draw. Ancient wisdom reveals defensive fortitude may decide this encounter.

Based on the data, a draw or away win is predicted, with Legia Warszawa slightly favored. The market probabilities are balanced (33% home, 33% draw, 34% away), while the API-Football model strongly favors Legia Warszawa or a draw (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Adjusting within 10% of market odds, the probabilities are set to 30% home, 35% draw, 35% away, reflecting Legia Warszawa's stronger H2H record and unbeaten streak.

Form Analysis: Lechia Gdansk has form LWWLW with 1 loss streak, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, and failed to score in 2 of last 5 games. Legia Warszawa has form DWDDW with a 5 unbeaten streak, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets in last 5. Legia Warszawa shows better defensive form and momentum.

Key Factors: 1. Head-to-head history strongly favors Legia Warszawa with 5 wins in last 5 meetings. 2. Legia Warszawa's 5 unbeaten streak indicates current momentum. 3. API-Football comparison shows Legia Warszawa with better defense (67% vs 33%) and overall strength (58.2% vs 41.8%).

Conclusion: The data supports Legia Warszawa as slight favorites, with a draw also highly likely due to balanced odds and recent form. No significant injuries or extreme deviations justify large changes from market probabilities.

Win Probabilities: Lechia Gdansk: 30% · Draw: 35% · Legia Warszawa: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Lechia Gdansk wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Legia Warszawa wins: 2

Form: Lechia Gdansk: WLWWL · Legia Warszawa: WDDWD

  • T. Bobček vs Legia Warszawa defense: Lechia's top scorer against Legia's strong defensive unit, which has kept 2 clean sheets in last 5 games.
  • Midfield battle: Lechia's 4-2-3-1 midfield vs Legia's 3-4-3 setup, crucial for controlling the game's tempo.
  • Defensive organization: Lechia's weaker defense (33% rating) vs Legia's attack, though Legia averages only 1.2 goals per game.
Ekstraklasa
15

Ekstraklasa

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