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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk

Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk

Result • Ekstraklasa·Radomiak Radom·Lechia Gdansk

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
May 4, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.35
X3.50
22.62
Stadium
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
high Confidence
Lechia Gdansk

Lechia Gdansk

Away
Odds
12.35
X3.50
22.62
Stadium
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Win Probabilities
41%
Radomiak Radom
31%
Draw
28%
Lechia Gdansk
Home2.3541%
Draw3.5031%
Away2.6228%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Radomiak Radom's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Lechia Gdansk, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Radomiak Radom and Lechia Gdansk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Radomiak Radom a 41% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Lechia Gdansk a 28% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: A. TapsobaAssist: E. Balde
    26'
    Goal: A. TapsobaRadomiak Radom · Assist: E. Balde
  2. 30'
    Yellow Card: B. ViunnykLechia Gdansk
    Yellow Card: B. Viunnyk
  3. Red Card: J. Blasco
    36'
    Red Card: J. BlascoRadomiak Radom
  4. Substitution: S. KingueOut: Maurides
    39'
    Substitution: S. KingueRadomiak Radom · Out: Maurides
  5. 44'
    Substitution: T. NeugebauerLechia Gdansk · Out: B. Viunnyk
    Substitution: T. NeugebauerOut: B. Viunnyk
  6. Goal: A. Tapsoba
    45'
    Goal: A. TapsobaRadomiak Radom
  7. Goal: A. TapsobaAssist: E. Balde
    48'
    Goal: A. TapsobaRadomiak Radom · Assist: E. Balde
  8. Substitution: I. CamaraOut: R. Wolski
    56'
    Substitution: I. CamaraRadomiak Radom · Out: R. Wolski
  9. Substitution: M. CichockiOut: E. Balde
    56'
    Substitution: M. CichockiRadomiak Radom · Out: E. Balde
  10. Yellow Card: Zie Ouattara
    62'
    Yellow Card: Zie OuattaraRadomiak Radom
  11. 66'
    Penalty: T. Bobcek (Penalty)Lechia Gdansk
    Penalty: T. Bobcek (Penalty)
  12. Substitution: R. BaroOut: C. Donis
    70'
    Substitution: R. BaroRadomiak Radom · Out: C. Donis
  13. Substitution: S. SoumahOut: A. Tapsoba
    70'
    Substitution: S. SoumahRadomiak Radom · Out: A. Tapsoba
  14. 83'
    Substitution: M. KalahurLechia Gdansk · Out: M. Vojtko
    Substitution: M. KalahurOut: M. Vojtko
  15. 83'
    Substitution: B. KludkaLechia Gdansk · Out: T. Wojtowicz
    Substitution: B. KludkaOut: T. Wojtowicz
  16. 85'
    Yellow Card: M. KalahurLechia Gdansk
    Yellow Card: M. Kalahur
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Grzesik vs Lechia defense: Grzesik's 6 goals and 4 assists will test Lechia's weak backline.
2T. Bobček vs Radomiak defense: Bobček's 13 goals pose a constant threat; Radomiak's defense must contain him.
3Maurides vs Lechia midfield: Maurides' physical presence and 6 goals could disrupt Lechia's midfield balance.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Radomiak Radom

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Solid defense (54% rating)
  • Low scoring average (1.0 goals per game)
  • Inconsistent form

Lechia Gdansk

  • Strong attack (62% rating)
  • Top scorer Bobček (13 goals)
  • Weak defense (46% rating)
  • No clean sheets in last 5

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
45%
43%
Radomiak Radom433819

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Radomiak Radom is the predicted winner with a 42% probability, while Lechia Gdansk has 30% and the draw 28%. The odds-implied probabilities (39% home, 26% draw, 35% away) are closely followed, with slight adjustments due to strong head-to-head dominance and recent form.

Form Analysis: Radomiak Radom has a 2-match winning streak (WWLDL), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Lechia Gdansk is on a 1-match losing streak (LDLWW), averaging 1.6 goals scored but 1.4 conceded, with no clean sheets in the last 5. Both teams have similar overall form, but Radomiak's recent momentum gives a slight edge.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Radomiak (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 8 meetings). Home advantage (rating 0.55) and a 4-1-4-1 formation provide tactical stability. Lechia Gdansk's attack is strong (62% attack rating) but their defense is weaker (46% defense). No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Radomiak Radom's historical dominance and home advantage, combined with Lechia's defensive vulnerabilities, make them the most likely winners. However, the close odds and Lechia's attacking threat keep the match competitive.

Statistical ContextRadomiak Radom

Double chance : Radomiak Radom or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Radomiak RadomLechia Gdansk
59%Strength40%
38%Attacking Potential62%
54%Defensive Potential46%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
69%Goals H2H31%
59%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Radomiak RadomInjuries · Lechia GdanskLive scores →

Statistical Context

Radomiak Radom

LDWDL
  • LSep 14, 26H · Piast Gliwice0-2
  • DSep 5, 26A · Widzew Łódź0-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Cracovia Krakow2-1
  • DAug 23, 26H · Zaglebie Lubin0-0
  • LAug 14, 26A · Legia Warszawa5-0

Lechia Gdansk

LLLLD
  • LMay 23, 26A · Nieciecza3-2
  • LMay 17, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-2
  • LMay 9, 26A · Widzew Łódź3-1
  • LApr 25, 26H · Raków Częstochowa1-2
  • DApr 20, 26H · Piast Gliwice1-1

Head to Head

1
Radomiak Radom
1
Draws
6
Lechia Gdansk
  • Nov 3, 25Lechia Gdansk – Radomiak Radom1-2
  • Mar 14, 25Radomiak Radom – Lechia Gdansk2-1
  • Sep 14, 24Lechia Gdansk – Radomiak Radom1-0
  • Feb 25, 23Lechia Gdansk – Radomiak Radom1-3
  • Aug 14, 22Radomiak Radom – Lechia Gdansk4-1

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Radomiak RadomLechia Gdansk
Played733
Goals Scored660
Goals Conceded1362
Avg Scored0.91.8
Avg Conceded1.91.9
Clean Sheets23

Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Radomiak Radom's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Lechia Gdansk, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Radomiak Radom is the predicted winner with a 42% probability, while Lechia Gdansk has 30% and the draw 28%. The odds-implied probabilities (39% home, 26% draw, 35% away) are closely followed, with slight adjustments due to strong head-to-head dominance and recent form.

Form Analysis: Radomiak Radom has a 2-match winning streak (WWLDL), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Lechia Gdansk is on a 1-match losing streak (LDLWW), averaging 1.6 goals scored but 1.4 conceded, with no clean sheets in the last 5. Both teams have similar overall form, but Radomiak's recent momentum gives a slight edge.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Radomiak (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in last 8 meetings). Home advantage (rating 0.55) and a 4-1-4-1 formation provide tactical stability. Lechia Gdansk's attack is strong (62% attack rating) but their defense is weaker (46% defense). No significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: Radomiak Radom's historical dominance and home advantage, combined with Lechia's defensive vulnerabilities, make them the most likely winners. However, the close odds and Lechia's attacking threat keep the match competitive.

Win Probabilities: Radomiak Radom: 41% · Draw: 31% · Lechia Gdansk: 28%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Radomiak Radom wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Lechia Gdansk wins: 6

Form (latest first): Radomiak Radom: LDWDL · Lechia Gdansk: LLLLD

  • J. Grzesik vs Lechia defense: Grzesik's 6 goals and 4 assists will test Lechia's weak backline.
  • T. Bobček vs Radomiak defense: Bobček's 13 goals pose a constant threat; Radomiak's defense must contain him.
  • Maurides vs Lechia midfield: Maurides' physical presence and 6 goals could disrupt Lechia's midfield balance.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
Early projection
11.7956%
X5.0020%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Gornik Zabrze
Oct 1716:00
Piast Gliwice
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%

Betting Tips

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