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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

Result • Ekstraklasa·Motor Lublin·Piast Gliwice

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Aug 29, 2026
12:45
low Confidence
Motor Lublin

Motor Lublin

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.30
X3.30
22.88
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
low Confidence
WINNER
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.30
22.88
Stadium
Motor Lublin Arena
Win Probabilities
41%
Motor Lublin
30%
Draw
29%
Piast Gliwice
Home2.3041%
Draw3.3030%
Away2.8829%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Motor Lublin are favored at 41% to win at home against Piast Gliwice. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Motor Lublin a 41% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Piast Gliwice a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 66%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 66%

Match Events

  1. 33'
    Yellow Card: Quentin BoisgardPiast Gliwice
    Yellow Card: Quentin Boisgard
  2. Substitution: Fabio Ronaldo Costa ConceicaoOut: Makan Aiko
    62'
    Substitution: Fabio Ronaldo Costa ConceicaoMotor Lublin · Out: Makan Aiko
  3. Substitution: Mateusz LegowskiOut: Christopher Simon
    62'
    Substitution: Mateusz LegowskiMotor Lublin · Out: Christopher Simon
  4. 65'
    Substitution: Oskar·LesniakPiast Gliwice · Out: Jakub Labojko
    Substitution: Oskar·LesniakOut: Jakub Labojko
  5. Substitution: Kamil LukoszekOut: Thomas Santos
    72'
    Substitution: Kamil LukoszekMotor Lublin · Out: Thomas Santos
  6. 78'
    Goal: Juan de Dios RivasPiast Gliwice
    Goal: Juan de Dios Rivas
  7. Substitution: F. HaxhaOut: Ivo Rodrigues
    82'
    Substitution: F. HaxhaMotor Lublin · Out: Ivo Rodrigues
  8. 83'
    Substitution: Jorge FélixPiast Gliwice · Out: Hugo Vallejo
    Substitution: Jorge FélixOut: Hugo Vallejo
  9. 84'
    Substitution: Andreas KatsantonisPiast Gliwice · Out: Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
    Substitution: Andreas KatsantonisOut: Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
  10. 84'
    Substitution: Oliwier MaziarzPiast Gliwice · Out: Quentin Boisgard
    Substitution: Oliwier MaziarzOut: Quentin Boisgard
  11. 90+1'
    Substitution: Szczepan·MuchaPiast Gliwice · Out: Ivan Lima
    Substitution: Szczepan·MuchaOut: Ivan Lima
  12. 90+2'
    Goal: Szczepan·MuchaPiast Gliwice
    Goal: Szczepan·Mucha
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Czubak vs J. Czerwiński: The Motor striker's movement and finishing will test the Piast centre-back's positioning and aerial ability.
2M. Aïko vs O. Leśniak: Aïko's pace on the wing could trouble Leśniak, who must balance attacking support with defensive duties.
3F. Lewandowski vs Jorge Félix: The midfield duel will be crucial, as both players look to dictate the tempo and create chances for their forwards.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Motor Lublin

  • Better defensive record than opponent
  • Strong head-to-head history
  • Winless in last 5 matches
  • Struggling with 2 consecutive losses

Piast Gliwice

  • Slightly better recent form with a win
  • More attacking options in a 4-3-3
  • Poor defensive record, conceding 2.8 per game
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
45%
43%
Motor Lublin433820

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Motor Lublin enter this Ekstraklasa clash as the narrow favourites, despite both teams arriving in poor form. The home side's defensive solidity and superior head-to-head record give them a slight edge, but the match is expected to be tight and low-scoring.

Form Analysis: Motor Lublin have lost their last two matches and have a win rate of 0% in their last five, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7. Piast Gliwice have also lost two in a row, with a 33% win rate, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Both teams are struggling, but Piast's defensive record is worse, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game compared to Motor's 1.6.

Key Factors: Motor Lublin have a better defensive record and a stronger head-to-head history, winning 2 of the last 5 meetings. Piast Gliwice have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a lack of attacking potency. Home advantage, though minimal in rating, could provide a slight boost for Motor.

Conclusion: With both teams in poor form, the match is likely to be closely contested. Motor Lublin's defensive stability and historical edge make them slight favourites, but a draw is a very plausible outcome given the low-scoring nature of both sides.

Statistical ContextMotor Lublin

Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Motor LublinPiast Gliwice
46%Strength53%
36%Attacking Potential64%
63%Defensive Potential37%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
64%H2H Strength36%
46%Goals H2H54%
46%Wins the Game53%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Motor LublinInjuries · Piast GliwiceLive scores →

Statistical Context

Motor Lublin

DLLDW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-0
  • LSep 11, 26A · Raków Częstochowa2-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Legia Warszawa2-3
  • DAug 22, 26A · Korona Kielce1-1
  • WAug 16, 26H · GKS Katowice1-0

Piast Gliwice

LWWDL
  • LSep 20, 26H · Pogon Szczecin1-2
  • WSep 14, 26A · Radomiak Radom0-2
  • WSep 4, 26H · GKS Katowice3-0
  • DAug 22, 26H · Legia Warszawa1-1
  • LAug 15, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków3-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Zaglebie Lubin9+115LWWDD
8Piast Gliwice9+113LWWWD
9GKS Katowice8+312WLLWW
15Slask Wroclaw9-46LLLDD
16Motor Lublin9-66DLLLD
17Wieczysta Kraków8-65DLDLL

Head to Head

2
Motor Lublin
1
Draws
1
Piast Gliwice
  • Feb 20, 26Piast Gliwice – Motor Lublin1-2
  • Aug 16, 25Motor Lublin – Piast Gliwice0-0
  • May 9, 25Motor Lublin – Piast Gliwice1-4
  • Nov 8, 24Piast Gliwice – Motor Lublin2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Motor LublinPiast Gliwice
Played99
Goals Scored916
Goals Conceded1515
Avg Scored1.01.8
Avg Conceded1.71.7
Clean Sheets23

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice — Match Analysis

Motor Lublin are favored at 41% to win at home against Piast Gliwice. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 33%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Motor Lublin enter this Ekstraklasa clash as the narrow favourites, despite both teams arriving in poor form. The home side's defensive solidity and superior head-to-head record give them a slight edge, but the match is expected to be tight and low-scoring.

Form Analysis: Motor Lublin have lost their last two matches and have a win rate of 0% in their last five, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7. Piast Gliwice have also lost two in a row, with a 33% win rate, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Both teams are struggling, but Piast's defensive record is worse, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game compared to Motor's 1.6.

Key Factors: Motor Lublin have a better defensive record and a stronger head-to-head history, winning 2 of the last 5 meetings. Piast Gliwice have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, indicating a lack of attacking potency. Home advantage, though minimal in rating, could provide a slight boost for Motor.

Conclusion: With both teams in poor form, the match is likely to be closely contested. Motor Lublin's defensive stability and historical edge make them slight favourites, but a draw is a very plausible outcome given the low-scoring nature of both sides.

Win Probabilities: Motor Lublin: 41% · Draw: 30% · Piast Gliwice: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 64% · Under 2.5: 36% · BTTS: 66%

H2H: Motor Lublin wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Piast Gliwice wins: 1

Form (latest first): Motor Lublin: DLLDW · Piast Gliwice: LWWDL

  • K. Czubak vs J. Czerwiński: The Motor striker's movement and finishing will test the Piast centre-back's positioning and aerial ability.
  • M. Aïko vs O. Leśniak: Aïko's pace on the wing could trouble Leśniak, who must balance attacking support with defensive duties.
  • F. Lewandowski vs Jorge Félix: The midfield duel will be crucial, as both players look to dictate the tempo and create chances for their forwards.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Pogon Szczecin
Oct 1115:30
Korona Kielce
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Legia Warszawa
Oct 1118:15
Wisla Krakow
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
EkstraklasaPoland
Radomiak Radom
Oct 1216:00
Motor Lublin
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1218:30
Wieczysta Kraków
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 1616:00
Raków Częstochowa
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
EkstraklasaPoland
Widzew Łódź
Oct 1618:30
Wisla Krakow
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Oct 1712:45
Slask Wroclaw
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Oct 1715:30
Pogon Szczecin
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1718:15
Legia Warszawa
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%

Betting Tips

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