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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente

Result • Primeira Liga·Sporting CP·GIL Vicente

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
May 16, 2026
19:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.22
X6.50
210.00
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
high Confidence
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

Away
Odds
11.22
X6.50
210.00
Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade
Win Probabilities
69%
Sporting CP
22%
Draw
9%
GIL Vicente
Home1.2269%
Draw6.5022%
Away10.009%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sporting CP's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from GIL Vicente, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Sporting CP and GIL Vicente using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting CP a 69% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and GIL Vicente a 9% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Goal: E. QuaresmaAssist: Pote
    15'
    Goal: E. QuaresmaSporting CP · Assist: Pote
  2. Goal: L. Suarez
    34'
    Goal: L. SuarezSporting CP
  3. 46'
    Substitution: A. MoreiraGIL Vicente · Out: J. Fernandes
    Substitution: A. MoreiraOut: J. Fernandes
  4. 63'
    Yellow Card: Ze CarlosGIL Vicente
    Yellow Card: Ze Carlos
  5. Substitution: D. BragancaOut: H. Morita
    73'
    Substitution: D. BragancaSporting CP · Out: H. Morita
  6. Substitution: Luis GuilhermeOut: Pote
    73'
    Substitution: Luis GuilhermeSporting CP · Out: Pote
  7. Substitution: G. QuendaOut: G. Catamo
    73'
    Substitution: G. QuendaSporting CP · Out: G. Catamo
  8. 73'
    Substitution: H. HernandezGIL Vicente · Out: G. Varela
    Substitution: H. HernandezOut: G. Varela
  9. 73'
    Substitution: S. HeverttonGIL Vicente · Out: Ze Carlos
    Substitution: S. HeverttonOut: Ze Carlos
  10. 82'
    Substitution: Ze CarlosGIL Vicente · Out: F. Caseres
    Substitution: Ze CarlosOut: F. Caseres
  11. 82'
    Substitution: BermejoGIL Vicente · Out: Murilo de Souza
    Substitution: BermejoOut: Murilo de Souza
  12. Substitution: S. BlopaOut: Trincao
    90'
    Substitution: S. BlopaSporting CP · Out: Trincao
  13. Substitution: R. MangasOut: G. Vagiannidis
    90'
    Substitution: R. MangasSporting CP · Out: G. Vagiannidis
  14. Goal: M. HjulmandAssist: G. Quenda
    90+3'
    Goal: M. HjulmandSporting CP · Assist: G. Quenda
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Suárez vs GIL Vicente defense: Suárez's prolific scoring will test a defense that has conceded 1.4 goals per game.
2Pote vs Luís Esteves: Pote's creativity and goal threat from midfield against Esteves' defensive duties.
3Murilo vs Sporting CP defense: Murilo's pace and finishing could exploit any defensive lapses.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sporting CP

  • Strong attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Excellent head-to-head record against GIL Vicente
  • Defense has kept only 1 clean sheet in last 5 games
  • Recent draws against weaker opponents

GIL Vicente

  • Decent away form with occasional wins
  • Key players like Murilo and Pablo can score
  • Poor head-to-head record against Sporting CP
  • Low scoring average (1.0 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
45%
57%
Sporting CP563410

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Sporting CP are overwhelming favorites to win against GIL Vicente, with bookmaker-implied probabilities at 75% home win, 16% draw, and 9% away win. The API-Football model also predicts a Sporting CP victory, reinforcing the odds.

Form Analysis: Sporting CP are on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDDL), averaging 2.4 goals scored per game and conceding only 1.0. GIL Vicente have mixed form (LDWLD) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head dominance: Sporting CP have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with GIL Vicente winless. Standings gap: Sporting CP are 2nd with 79 points (+62 GD), while GIL Vicente are 6th with 50 points (+12 GD). Home advantage: Sporting CP have a strong home record, and no significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Sporting CP victory. GIL Vicente lack the attacking threat to trouble a solid Sporting defense, and their poor H2H record suggests a psychological disadvantage.

Statistical ContextSporting CP

Winner : Sporting CP

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
71%Strength29%
72%Attacking Potential28%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
80%Goals H2H20%
71%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Sporting CPInjuries · GIL VicenteLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sporting CP

DDWWW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Arouca2-2
  • DSep 13, 26A · Famalicao1-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Galatasaray3-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Nacional2-0
  • WAug 28, 26A · Rio Ave0-4

GIL Vicente

DLLDW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Maritimo1-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · Benfica3-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Academico Viseu0-1
  • DAug 30, 26A · Famalicao0-0
  • WAug 24, 26H · Casa Pia2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Benfica7+1516LWWWW
3Sporting CP7+915DDWWW
4Santa Clara7+715DWWDW
5Arouca7+311DLDWL
6SC Braga6+211DWLWW
7Academico Viseu7011WWWLD
8Estrela7010LDWDW
9GIL Vicente608DLLDW
10Alverca7-28WWLDL

Head to Head

0
Sporting CP
3
Draws
7
GIL Vicente
  • Jan 2, 26GIL Vicente – Sporting CP1-1
  • May 4, 25Sporting CP – GIL Vicente2-1
  • Feb 27, 25GIL Vicente – Sporting CP0-1
  • Dec 22, 24GIL Vicente – Sporting CP0-0
  • Apr 12, 24GIL Vicente – Sporting CP0-4

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting CPGIL Vicente
Played76
Goals Scored175
Goals Conceded85
Avg Scored2.40.8
Avg Conceded1.10.8
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sporting CPGIL Vicente
Over 2.5 Goals7/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/103/10
Clean Sheets5/106/10

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sporting CP's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from GIL Vicente, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Sporting CP are overwhelming favorites to win against GIL Vicente, with bookmaker-implied probabilities at 75% home win, 16% draw, and 9% away win. The API-Football model also predicts a Sporting CP victory, reinforcing the odds.

Form Analysis: Sporting CP are on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WWDDL), averaging 2.4 goals scored per game and conceding only 1.0. GIL Vicente have mixed form (LDWLD) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head dominance: Sporting CP have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, with GIL Vicente winless. Standings gap: Sporting CP are 2nd with 79 points (+62 GD), while GIL Vicente are 6th with 50 points (+12 GD). Home advantage: Sporting CP have a strong home record, and no significant injuries reported.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Sporting CP victory. GIL Vicente lack the attacking threat to trouble a solid Sporting defense, and their poor H2H record suggests a psychological disadvantage.

Win Probabilities: Sporting CP: 69% · Draw: 22% · GIL Vicente: 9%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Sporting CP wins: 0 · Draws: 3 · GIL Vicente wins: 7

Form (latest first): Sporting CP: DDWWW · GIL Vicente: DLLDW

  • L. Suárez vs GIL Vicente defense: Suárez's prolific scoring will test a defense that has conceded 1.4 goals per game.
  • Pote vs Luís Esteves: Pote's creativity and goal threat from midfield against Esteves' defensive duties.
  • Murilo vs Sporting CP defense: Murilo's pace and finishing could exploit any defensive lapses.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Moreirense
Oct 917:45
GIL Vicente
14.5522%
X3.0333%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
SC Braga
Oct 919:15
Sporting CP
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Oct 1014:30
Santa Clara
15.0020%
X3.2331%
22.0449%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Oct 1017:00
FC Porto
110.0010%
X4.5522%
21.4768%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Oct 1019:30
Estoril
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Oct 1114:30
Nacional
12.3343%
X3.0333%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Oct 1117:00
Vitória SC
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Oct 1119:30
Estrela
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Oct 1219:15
Alverca
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Oct 2319:45
Maritimo
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Oct 2414:30
Arouca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estrela
Oct 2414:30
Casa Pia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Oct 2419:30
FC Porto
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Oct 2515:30
Moreirense
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Oct 2518:00
SC Braga
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%

Betting Tips

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