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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
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  1. Home
  2. Stars League
  3. Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha

Result • Stars League·Al-Gharafa·Al Ahli Doha

Stars League
Stars League
Oct 22, 2026
16:45
medium Confidence
DRAW
Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.95
X3.60
23.10
Stadium
Al Gharafa Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Al Ahli Doha

Al Ahli Doha

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.60
23.10
Stadium
Al Gharafa Stadium
Win Probabilities
44%
Al-Gharafa
25%
Draw
31%
Al Ahli Doha
Home1.9544%
Draw3.6025%
Away3.1031%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Al-Gharafa are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Stars League fixture between Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Al-Gharafa a 44% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Al Ahli Doha a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Seydou SanoAssist: Ismaël Bennacer
    13'
    Goal: Seydou SanoAl-Gharafa · Assist: Ismaël Bennacer
  2. Yellow Card: Amro Surag
    22'
    Yellow Card: Amro SuragAl-Gharafa
  3. Goal: Yacine BrahimiAssist: Adam Ounas
    36'
    Goal: Yacine BrahimiAl-Gharafa · Assist: Adam Ounas
  4. 52'
    Goal: Erik ExpósitoAl Ahli Doha · Assist: Naïm Sliti
    Goal: Erik ExpósitoAssist: Naïm Sliti
  5. 58'
    Substitution: Younis Hussein AbdelrahmanAl Ahli Doha · Out: Ismaeel Mohammad
    Substitution: Younis Hussein AbdelrahmanOut: Ismaeel Mohammad
  6. Substitution: Florinel ComanOut: Hassan Aladin
    59'
    Substitution: Florinel ComanAl-Gharafa · Out: Hassan Aladin
  7. Substitution: Hyun-Soo JangOut: Ismaël Bennacer
    65'
    Substitution: Hyun-Soo JangAl-Gharafa · Out: Ismaël Bennacer
  8. Substitution: Abdulrahman Al-RashidiOut: Adam Ounas
    78'
    Substitution: Abdulrahman Al-RashidiAl-Gharafa · Out: Adam Ounas
  9. 78'
    Substitution: Luiz JuniorAl Ahli Doha · Out: Ghanem Al-Minhali
    Substitution: Luiz JuniorOut: Ghanem Al-Minhali
  10. 87'
    Substitution: Zinedine SassiAl Ahli Doha · Out: Robin Tihi
    Substitution: Zinedine SassiOut: Robin Tihi
  11. 87'
    Substitution: Suhaib GannanAl Ahli Doha · Out: Ayoub Amraoui
    Substitution: Suhaib GannanOut: Ayoub Amraoui
  12. 87'
    Substitution: Hamad MansourAl Ahli Doha · Out: Benjamin Bourigeaud
    Substitution: Hamad MansourOut: Benjamin Bourigeaud
  13. 90+3'
    Goal: Naïm SlitiAl Ahli Doha · Assist: Luiz Junior
    Goal: Naïm SlitiAssist: Luiz Junior
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headAl-Gharafa – Al Ahli DohaInjuriesAl-GharafaInjuriesAl Ahli DohaLive scores

Statistical Context

Al-Gharafa

LLLLD
  • LNov 7, 26H · Al-Duhail SC1-2
  • LNov 2, 26H · Al-Qadisiyah FC0-5
  • LOct 30, 26A · Qatar SC2-0
  • LOct 26, 26A · Al-Ahli Jeddah2-1
  • DOct 18, 26A · Al-Rayyan SC0-0

Al Ahli Doha

DLLWL
  • DNov 6, 26A · Al-Arabi SC2-2
  • LOct 30, 26H · Al Shahaniya1-2
  • LOct 16, 26H · Al Wakrah0-3
  • WOct 10, 26H · Al-Sailiya5-0
  • LSep 11, 26A · Al-Rayyan SC3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Al Shamal9+112WLLDL
7Al Ahli Doha9-112DWDLW
8Al Wakrah9-511LLWWW
9Al Shahaniya9-910WLLLW
10Al-Gharafa9-49LWDDL
11Qatar SC9-106LLWDL

Season Statistics — 2026

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
Played4—
Goals Scored3—
Goals Conceded11—
Avg Scored0.8—
Avg Conceded2.8—
Clean Sheets0—

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha — Match Analysis

Al-Gharafa are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Al-Gharafa host Al Ahli Doha in the Stars League on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Our model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 25% and Al Ahli Doha at 34%.

Form and league position

Al-Gharafa sit 10th of 12 with 5 points from 6 games (6 scored, 11 conceded), recent form D-L-L-L-D. Al Ahli Doha sit 7th of 12 with 7 points from 6 games (10 scored, 12 conceded), recent form L-W-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.7–1.6, about 3.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Al-Gharafa at 2.15, the draw at 3.85 and Al Ahli Doha at 2.80; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Al-Gharafa to win (41%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Al-Gharafa: 44% · Draw: 25% · Al Ahli Doha: 31%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 63% · Under 2.5: 37% · BTTS: 65%

Form (latest first): Al-Gharafa: LLLLD · Al Ahli Doha: DLLWL

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Stars League

Stars League

Qatar12 · Upcoming Fixtures
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Shahaniya
Nov 2716:00
Al-Rayyan SC
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Sadd
Nov 2716:00
Lusail City
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Ahli Doha
Nov 2716:00
Al Shamal
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Wakrah
Nov 2716:00
Al-Sailiya
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al-Gharafa
Nov 2716:00
Al-Arabi SC
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al-Duhail SC
Nov 2716:00
Qatar SC
11.2779%
X8.3312%
211.119%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Ahli Doha
Dec 316:00
Al-Duhail SC
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al-Sailiya
Dec 316:00
Al-Gharafa
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Wakrah
Dec 316:00
Al Sadd
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
Stars LeagueQatar
Qatar SC
Dec 316:00
Al Shahaniya
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Stars LeagueQatar
Al Shamal
Dec 316:00
Al-Rayyan SC
15.2619%
X5.5618%
21.5963%
Stars LeagueQatar
Lusail City
Dec 316:00
Al-Arabi SC
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

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