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  1. Home
  2. Saudi Pro League
  3. Al Najma vs NEOM

Al Najma vs NEOM

Result • Saudi Pro League·Al Najma·NEOM

Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League
Apr 11, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Al Najma

Al Najma

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.00
X3.80
21.50
Stadium
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
high Confidence
NEOM

NEOM

Away
Odds
15.00
X3.80
21.50
Stadium
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Win Probabilities
17%
Al Najma
29%
Draw
54%
NEOM
Home5.0017%
Draw3.8029%
Away1.5054%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees NEOM's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Saudi Pro League fixture between Al Najma and NEOM using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Al Najma a 17% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and NEOM a 54% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 13'
    Yellow Card: A. KoneNEOM
    Yellow Card: A. Kone
  2. Yellow Card: A. Al Harabi
    13'
    Yellow Card: A. Al HarabiAl Najma
  3. Goal: S. M. Al Aqel M.
    43'
    Goal: S. M. Al Aqel M.Al Najma
  4. Red Card: S. M. Al Aqel M.
    45+2'
    Red Card: S. M. Al Aqel M.Al Najma
  5. 46'
    Substitution: F. AbdiNEOM · Out: I. Hawsawi
    Substitution: F. AbdiOut: I. Hawsawi
  6. Goal: B. BoutobbaAssist: Felippe Cardoso
    49'
    Goal: B. BoutobbaAl Najma · Assist: Felippe Cardoso
  7. 56'
    Goal: A. KoneNEOM · Assist: S. Benrahma
    Goal: A. KoneAssist: S. Benrahma
  8. 58'
    Substitution: M. Al SaadNEOM · Out: A. Kone
    Substitution: M. Al SaadOut: A. Kone
  9. Substitution: M. Y. Dawran M.Out: B. Boutobba
    65'
    Substitution: M. Y. Dawran M.Al Najma · Out: B. Boutobba
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card: A. HegazyNEOM
    Yellow Card: A. Hegazy
  11. 76'
    Substitution: A. AbduNEOM · Out: A. Al Oyayari
    Substitution: A. AbduOut: A. Al Oyayari
  12. 76'
    Substitution: M. Al BuraykNEOM · Out: R. Messi
    Substitution: M. Al BuraykOut: R. Messi
  13. Substitution: A. Al ShammeriOut: Guga
    86'
    Substitution: A. Al ShammeriAl Najma · Out: Guga
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A
2N/A
3N/A
Strengths · Weaknesses

Al Najma

  • N/A
  • N/A
  • Poor defensive record with 4.0 goals conceded per game in last 5 matches
  • Low scoring with 0.8 goals per game in last 5 matches

NEOM

  • Good recent form with a 3-game unbeaten streak
  • Balanced attack and defense with 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game in last 5 matches
  • Inconsistent recent results with a mix of wins, draws, and losses
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
50%
52%
NEOM94051

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (52%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, NEOM is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show NEOM with a 59% chance of victory, and the API-Football model also predicts NEOM as the winner, with both teams having a 50% chance of winning according to the model's independent analysis. The data consistently points to NEOM as the favorite.

Form Analysis: Al Najma is in extremely poor form with 5 consecutive losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceding 4.0 goals per game in their last 5 matches. They have failed to score in 2 of those games and have no clean sheets. In contrast, NEOM has a 3-game unbeaten streak (WWD), scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches, with 1 clean sheet. The form disparity is stark.

Key Factors: 1) NEOM's superior form and momentum with a 3-game unbeaten streak versus Al Najma's 5-game losing streak. 2) NEOM's dominance in head-to-head meetings, winning all 3 recent encounters. 3) The significant standings gap: NEOM is 8th with 39 points and -3 GD, while Al Najma is 18th with 8 points and -41 GD.

Conclusion: The combination of market odds, statistical model prediction, recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings all strongly favor NEOM. There are no significant injuries to alter this outlook, making NEOM the clear favorite to win.

Statistical ContextNEOM

Combo Double chance : draw or NEOM and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Al NajmaNEOM
30%Strength70%
33%Attacking Potential67%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
30%Goals H2H70%
30%Wins the Game70%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Al NajmaInjuries · NEOMLive scores →

Statistical Context

Al Najma

WLDDL
  • WMay 20, 26H · Al Shabab1-0
  • LMay 14, 26A · Al-Fateh2-0
  • DMay 9, 26H · Al-Hazm2-2
  • DMay 4, 26A · Al-Ettifaq0-0
  • LApr 28, 26A · Al Khaleej Saihat3-1

NEOM

DWWWL
  • DOct 10, 26A · Al-Hazm1-1
  • WSep 13, 26H · Al-Fateh4-2
  • WSep 7, 26A · Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-2
  • WSep 3, 26H · Al Khaleej Saihat3-0
  • LAug 28, 26A · Al Riyadh1-0

Head to Head

0
Al Najma
0
Draws
3
NEOM
  • Dec 25, 25NEOM – Al Najma2-1
  • Feb 19, 25NEOM – Al Najma2-0
  • Oct 1, 24Al Najma – NEOM2-3

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

Al NajmaNEOM
Played337
Goals Scored3113
Goals Conceded766
Avg Scored0.91.9
Avg Conceded2.30.9
Clean Sheets33

Al Najma vs NEOM — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees NEOM's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, NEOM is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show NEOM with a 59% chance of victory, and the API-Football model also predicts NEOM as the winner, with both teams having a 50% chance of winning according to the model's independent analysis. The data consistently points to NEOM as the favorite.

Form Analysis: Al Najma is in extremely poor form with 5 consecutive losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceding 4.0 goals per game in their last 5 matches. They have failed to score in 2 of those games and have no clean sheets. In contrast, NEOM has a 3-game unbeaten streak (WWD), scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches, with 1 clean sheet. The form disparity is stark.

Key Factors: 1) NEOM's superior form and momentum with a 3-game unbeaten streak versus Al Najma's 5-game losing streak. 2) NEOM's dominance in head-to-head meetings, winning all 3 recent encounters. 3) The significant standings gap: NEOM is 8th with 39 points and -3 GD, while Al Najma is 18th with 8 points and -41 GD.

Conclusion: The combination of market odds, statistical model prediction, recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings all strongly favor NEOM. There are no significant injuries to alter this outlook, making NEOM the clear favorite to win.

Win Probabilities: Al Najma: 17% · Draw: 29% · NEOM: 54%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Al Najma wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · NEOM wins: 3

Form (latest first): Al Najma: WLDDL · NEOM: DWWWL

  • N/A
  • N/A
  • N/A

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Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
Oct 1513:40
Al Kholood
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
Oct 1514:50
Al-Fayha
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Hazm
Oct 1515:15
Al-Fateh
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Oct 1518:00
Al-Nassr
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Oct 1613:15
Abha
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Riyadh
Oct 1615:00
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
Oct 1618:00
Al Shabab
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
NEOM
Oct 1715:40
Al-Ettifaq
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Diriyah
Oct 1718:00
Al Taawon
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Fateh
Oct 1818:00
Al Khaleej Saihat
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Fayha
Oct 1915:05
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Abha
Oct 1915:20
Al Kholood
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Oct 1918:00
Al-Hazm
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Shabab
Oct 1918:00
Al-Faisaly FC
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Diriyah
Oct 2015:00
Al Riyadh
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%

Betting Tips

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