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  1. Home
  2. Saudi Pro League
  3. Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Result • Saudi Pro League·Al Riyadh·Al-Nassr

Saudi Pro League
Saudi Pro League
Aug 21, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
110.75
X5.80
21.25
Stadium
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

Away
Odds
110.75
X5.80
21.25
Stadium
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Win Probabilities
6%
Al Riyadh
17%
Draw
77%
Al-Nassr
Home10.756%
Draw5.8017%
Away1.2577%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Al-Nassr are clear favourites, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior form. The main risk is Al Riyadh's defensive resilience, which could frustrate the visitors and lead to a tighter contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Saudi Pro League fixture between Al Riyadh and Al-Nassr using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Al Riyadh a 6% win probability, a 17% chance of a draw, and Al-Nassr a 77% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: A. Al AmriAl-Nassr · Assist: Angelo
    Goal: A. Al AmriAssist: Angelo
  2. 45+1'
    Goal: AngeloAl-Nassr
    Goal: Angelo
  3. 58'
    Goal: Joao FelixAl-Nassr
    Goal: Joao Felix
  4. Substitution: H. A. Bahri E.Out: S. Hazazi
    62'
    Substitution: H. A. Bahri E.Al Riyadh · Out: S. Hazazi
  5. Substitution: M. FallOut: T. Okou
    62'
    Substitution: M. FallAl Riyadh · Out: T. Okou
  6. 62'
    Substitution: C. RonaldoAl-Nassr · Out: A. Al Hamdan
    Substitution: C. RonaldoOut: A. Al Hamdan
  7. 75'
    Substitution: A. YahyaAl-Nassr · Out: S. Mane
    Substitution: A. YahyaOut: S. Mane
  8. 75'
    Substitution: A. Al HassanAl-Nassr · Out: A. Al Khaibari
    Substitution: A. Al HassanOut: A. Al Khaibari
  9. 75'
    Substitution: N. Al SharariAl-Nassr · Out: A. Al Amri
    Substitution: N. Al SharariOut: A. Al Amri
  10. Substitution: H. Al AliOut: F. Al Jayzani
    76'
    Substitution: H. Al AliAl Riyadh · Out: F. Al Jayzani
  11. Substitution: F. Al SobhiOut: H. Majrashi
    83'
    Substitution: F. Al SobhiAl Riyadh · Out: H. Majrashi
  12. Substitution: H. Al RaqwaniOut: L. Antunes
    83'
    Substitution: H. Al RaqwaniAl Riyadh · Out: L. Antunes
  13. 83'
    Goal: C. RonaldoAl-Nassr · Assist: A. Yahya
    Goal: C. RonaldoAssist: A. Yahya
  14. 85'
    Substitution: S. Al NajeiAl-Nassr · Out: Joao Felix
    Substitution: S. Al NajeiOut: Joao Felix
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Milan Borjan vs Sadio Mané: Borjan's shot-stopping will be tested by Mané's clinical finishing and movement in the box.
2Bernard Mensah vs Ângelo: Mensah's creativity in midfield will be key for Al Riyadh, but he must overcome Ângelo's energy and pressing.
3Mahmoud Trézéguet vs Iñigo Martínez: Trézéguet's direct running could trouble Martínez, but the defender's experience should prevail.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Al Riyadh

  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5
  • Home advantage at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Poor recent form with 0% win rate
  • Conceded 4 goals in last match

Al-Nassr

  • Excellent form with 3 consecutive wins
  • Strong attacking unit averaging 2.6 goals per game
  • Conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game
  • May struggle in extreme heat (39.4°C)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
77%
API-Football
50%
64%
Al-Nassr33463

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (64%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Al-Nassr are clear favourites for this Saudi Pro League clash, with the market and statistical model both pointing decisively towards an away victory. The visitors sit second in the standings with a perfect start, while Al Riyadh languish in 15th having lost their opening match.

Form Analysis: Al-Nassr arrive on the back of a three-match winning streak, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets in their last five. In contrast, Al Riyadh have lost their most recent outing, conceding four goals and managing just a 0% win rate over the same period. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the away side.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Al-Nassr, who have won all five previous meetings. The visitors also boast superior attacking and defensive statistics, with a 60% attacking rating and 100% defensive rating compared to Al Riyadh's 40% and 0% respectively. Additionally, Al-Nassr's overall team strength is rated at 75.3%, reinforcing their dominance.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away win. Al-Nassr's superior form, head-to-head record, and overall quality make them overwhelming favourites, and Al Riyadh will need a monumental effort to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextAl-Nassr

Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Nassr and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
24%Strength75%
40%Attacking Potential60%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
27%Goals H2H73%
24%Wins the Game75%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Al RiyadhInjuries · Al-NassrLive scores →

Statistical Context

Al Riyadh

WDLWD
  • WSep 13, 26H · Al Kholood2-0
  • DSep 7, 26A · Al Khaleej Saihat0-0
  • LSep 4, 26A · Al-Ahli Jeddah5-0
  • WAug 28, 26H · NEOM1-0
  • DAug 25, 26A · Al Shabab3-3

Al-Nassr

LDWLW
  • LSep 15, 26A · Al Ain4-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Abha2-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Al-Ittihad FC2-1
  • WAug 28, 26H · Al Taawon2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Al-Ittihad FC7+617WWWDW
3Al-Nassr7+916DWLWW
4Al-Qadisiyah FC7+816DWWWW
10Al-Hazm7-28LWDDL
11Al Riyadh7-88WDLWD
12Al-Fayha7-46DLDWD

Head to Head

0
Al Riyadh
1
Draws
5
Al-Nassr
  • Feb 2, 26Al Riyadh – Al-Nassr0-1
  • Sep 20, 25Al-Nassr – Al Riyadh5-1
  • Apr 12, 25Al-Nassr – Al Riyadh2-1
  • Nov 8, 24Al Riyadh – Al-Nassr0-1
  • May 23, 24Al Riyadh – Al-Nassr2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
Played6—
Goals Scored6—
Goals Conceded16—
Avg Scored1.0—
Avg Conceded2.7—
Clean Sheets2—

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr — Match Analysis

Al-Nassr are clear favourites, backed by a perfect head-to-head record and superior form. The main risk is Al Riyadh's defensive resilience, which could frustrate the visitors and lead to a tighter contest.

Al-Nassr are clear favourites for this Saudi Pro League clash, with the market and statistical model both pointing decisively towards an away victory. The visitors sit second in the standings with a perfect start, while Al Riyadh languish in 15th having lost their opening match.

Form Analysis: Al-Nassr arrive on the back of a three-match winning streak, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and keeping two clean sheets in their last five. In contrast, Al Riyadh have lost their most recent outing, conceding four goals and managing just a 0% win rate over the same period. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the away side.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Al-Nassr, who have won all five previous meetings. The visitors also boast superior attacking and defensive statistics, with a 60% attacking rating and 100% defensive rating compared to Al Riyadh's 40% and 0% respectively. Additionally, Al-Nassr's overall team strength is rated at 75.3%, reinforcing their dominance.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away win. Al-Nassr's superior form, head-to-head record, and overall quality make them overwhelming favourites, and Al Riyadh will need a monumental effort to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Al Riyadh: 6% · Draw: 17% · Al-Nassr: 77%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: Al Riyadh wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Al-Nassr wins: 5

Form (latest first): Al Riyadh: WDLWD · Al-Nassr: LDWLW

  • Milan Borjan vs Sadio Mané: Borjan's shot-stopping will be tested by Mané's clinical finishing and movement in the box.
  • Bernard Mensah vs Ângelo: Mensah's creativity in midfield will be key for Al Riyadh, but he must overcome Ângelo's energy and pressing.
  • Mahmoud Trézéguet vs Iñigo Martínez: Trézéguet's direct running could trouble Martínez, but the defender's experience should prevail.

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Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Kholood
Oct 913:50
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Fateh
Oct 914:55
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Nassr
Oct 918:00
Al Diriyah
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Hazm
Oct 1013:50
NEOM
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
Oct 1014:55
Al Khaleej Saihat
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Oct 1018:00
Al-Ittihad FC
Early projection
11.4569%
X5.8817%
27.1414%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Fayha
Oct 1113:40
Al Riyadh
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Abha
Oct 1115:25
Al-Faisaly FC
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Shabab
Oct 1118:00
Al Taawon
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
Oct 1513:40
Al Kholood
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
Oct 1514:50
Al-Fayha
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Hazm
Oct 1515:15
Al-Fateh
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Oct 1518:00
Al-Nassr
Early projection
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Oct 1613:15
Abha
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
Al Riyadh
Oct 1615:00
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%

Betting Tips

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