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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Portugalete vs Alaves

Portugalete vs Alaves

Result • Copa del Rey·Portugalete·Alaves

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Dec 2, 2025
18:00
low Confidence
Portugalete

Portugalete

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Stadium
Campo Futbol La Florida
low Confidence
WINNER
Alaves

Alaves

Away
Stadium
Campo Futbol La Florida
Win Probabilities
32%
Portugalete
33%
Draw
35%
Alaves
Home3.1332%
Draw3.0333%
Away2.8635%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Alaves prevailing in a closely contested match, with ancient wisdom revealing their key players as the decisive factor.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Portugalete and Alaves using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Portugalete a 32% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Alaves a 35% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Portugalete midfielders vs Alaves midfielders: Control of the center will be crucial in this 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 matchup.
2Portugalete defenders vs Carlos Vicente: The home defense must contain Vicente, who has 1 goal and 1 assist with an 8.2 rating.
3Portugalete attackers vs Alaves defenders: The home team's forwards need to break through Alaves' defense to score.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Portugalete

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Playing in a 4-3-3 formation for tactical flexibility
  • Limited form data available
  • Scored only 1 goal in recent matches

Alaves

  • Key players like Carlos Vicente and Toni Martínez with goal contributions
  • Head-to-head advantage with 1 win in recent meetings
  • Inconsistent form with DLLWL in recent matches
  • Limited data on goals for and against in recent form
Head-to-head →Injuries · PortugaleteInjuries · AlavesLive scores →

Statistical Context

Alaves

DLLWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Athletic Club0-0
  • LSep 15, 26H · Valencia0-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Racing Santander2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Osasuna5-2
  • WAug 28, 26H · Villarreal1-0

Head to Head

1
Portugalete
0
Draws
0
Alaves
  • Dec 2, 25Portugalete – Alaves0-3

Predicted line-ups: Portugalete vs Alaves

Confirmed XI

Portugalete

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Bingen Arostegui

Alaves

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Eduardo Germán Coudet

  1. 13R. Fernandez
  1. 23C. Protesoni
  2. 22M. Diarra
  3. 3Yusi
  4. 27E. Munoz
  1. 7C. Vicente
  2. 6A. Guevara
  3. 18J. Guridi
  1. 10C. Alena
  2. 11T. Martinez
  3. 9M. Diaz
  1. 1I. Gonzalez
  2. 17G. Alfaro
  3. 5A. Gonzalez
  4. 14O. del Cura
  5. 18G. Tapiador
  6. 21P. Belar
  7. 23I. Llamazares
  8. 16Y. Cuello
  9. 11G. Crespo
  10. 15X. Gomez
  1. 3I. Recio

Bench

  • 13A. Velarde
  • 2I. Artola
  • 6I. Quintana
  • 7Lete
  • 8A. Perez Alvarez
  • 9A. Perez
  • 10S. M. Bilbao Inaki
  • 19U. Garces
  • 20I. Aranburu
  • 22M. Ortiz
  • 24M. Fernandez

Bench

  • 1A. Sivera
  • 4D. Suarez
  • 8A. Blanco
  • 14N. Tenaglia
  • 15L. Boye
  • 19P. Ibanez
  • 21A. Rebbach
  • 26A. Garcia
  • 32I. Hernandez
  • 34A. Manas
  • 35X. Olaiz

Out

  • N. Valentini · Red Card
  • A. Manas · Injury
  • F. Garces · Suspended
  • T. Mendes · Knee Injury
  • T. Martinez · Foot Injury
  • M. Rodriguez · Ankle Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Portugalete vs Alaves — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Alaves prevailing in a closely contested match, with ancient wisdom revealing their key players as the decisive factor.

Based on the data, Alaves is predicted to win with a slight edge, as indicated by the market and model probabilities favoring them.

Form Analysis: Portugalete's form is not fully available, but they have scored 1 goal and conceded 3 in recent matches. Alaves has a form of DLLWL, showing inconsistency but with recent wins.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model probabilities both indicate Alaves as the favorite with away win probabilities of 34% and 45%, respectively. 2. Alaves has key players like Carlos Vicente and Toni Martínez, who contribute goals and assists. 3. Head-to-head history shows Alaves has won the only recent meeting, providing a psychological advantage.

Conclusion: The data supports Alaves as the likely winner, with probabilities aligning closely to market expectations and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Portugalete: 32% · Draw: 33% · Alaves: 35%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Portugalete wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Alaves wins: 0

Form (latest first): Portugalete: WLWWL · Alaves: DLLWW

  • Portugalete midfielders vs Alaves midfielders: Control of the center will be crucial in this 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 matchup.
  • Portugalete defenders vs Carlos Vicente: The home defense must contain Vicente, who has 1 goal and 1 assist with an 8.2 rating.
  • Portugalete attackers vs Alaves defenders: The home team's forwards need to break through Alaves' defense to score.

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Copa del Rey

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