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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Albacete vs Celta Vigo

Albacete vs Celta Vigo

Result • Copa del Rey·Albacete·Celta Vigo

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025
18:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Albacete

Albacete

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
low Confidence
DRAW
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Away
Stadium
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Win Probabilities
40%
Albacete
30%
Draw
30%
Celta Vigo
Home2.5040%
Draw3.3330%
Away3.3330%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clash of styles under clear skies, where Albacete's fortress may hold firm against Celta's flowing attacks. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory born of defensive resolve and home soil advantage.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Albacete and Celta Vigo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Albacete a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Celta Vigo a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Agus Medina vs Celta's center-backs: Medina's goal-scoring ability (6 goals) will test Celta's defensive organization in their back-three system.
2Jon Morcillo vs Celta's wing-backs: Morcillo's assists and creativity (3 assists) could exploit spaces behind Celta's advanced wing-backs in the 3-4-2-1.
3Borja Iglesias vs Albacete's defensive line: Iglesias (5 goals) will be key in penetrating Albacete's compact 5-4-1 setup, requiring movement and finishing.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Albacete

  • Defensive solidity with 5-4-1 formation
  • Home advantage at Estadio Carlos Belmonte
  • Inconsistent recent form (WLLWL)
  • Potential lack of creativity in 5-4-1

Celta Vigo

  • Better recent form with three wins in last five
  • Higher league quality (La Liga experience)
  • Away form includes a recent loss
  • Defensive vulnerability in a back-three system
Head-to-head →Injuries · AlbaceteInjuries · Celta VigoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Albacete

LLLDL
  • LOct 3, 26H · Eibar1-3
  • LSep 25, 26A · Girona2-0
  • LSep 18, 26H · Cordoba1-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Granada CF1-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Castellón2-0

Celta Vigo

WLDDD
  • WSep 19, 26H · Racing Santander5-0
  • LSep 16, 26A · Omonia Nicosia1-0
  • DSep 13, 26H · Malaga1-1
  • DSep 7, 26A · Getafe1-1
  • DSep 3, 26A · Real Sociedad0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AlbaceteCelta Vigo
Played77
Goals Scored48
Goals Conceded126
Avg Scored0.61.1
Avg Conceded1.70.9
Clean Sheets03

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlbaceteCelta Vigo
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Predicted line-ups: Albacete vs Celta Vigo

Predicted XI

Albacete

5-4-1Formation· Coach: Alberto González

Celta Vigo

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: Rafael Benítez

  1. 1Iván Villar
  1. 24Carlos Domínguez
  2. 29Yoel Lago
  3. 32Javi Rodríguez
  1. 5Sergio Carreira
  2. 3Óscar Mingueza
  3. 8Fran Beltrán
  4. 6I. Moriba
  1. 14Damián Rodríguez
  2. 16Miguel Román
  1. 10Iago Aspas
  1. 16José Carlos Lazo
  1. 4Agus Medina
  2. 26Capi
  3. 17Álex Meléndez
  4. 8Riki Rodríguez
  1. 27D. Bernabeu
  2. 15Fran Gámez
  3. 14Jon García
  4. 3J. Gómez
  5. 5Javi Moreno
  1. 13Raúl Lizoain

Bench

  • 1Diego Mariño
  • 21Carlos Neva
  • 24Vallejo
  • 22Jon Morcillo
  • 35Alberto Morientes
  • 11Víctor Valverde
  • 10Jefté Betancor

Bench

  • 17Javi Rueda
  • 12Manu Fernández
  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 18Pablo Durán
  • 7Borja Iglesias
  • 9Ferran Jutglà
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza

Out

  • M. Alonso · Red Card
  • B. Iglesias · Injury
  • A. Antanon · Ankle Injury
  • J. El Abdellaoui · Knee Injury
  • A. Febas · Ribs Injury
  • I. Aspas · Muscle Injury
  • M. Vecino · Knee Injury
  • C. Perez · Inactive

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Albacete vs Celta Vigo — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash of styles under clear skies, where Albacete's fortress may hold firm against Celta's flowing attacks. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory born of defensive resolve and home soil advantage.

This Copa del Rey match between Albacete and Celta Vigo is finely balanced with no clear favorite, making it a challenging prediction.

Current Form: Albacete's recent form (WLLWL) shows inconsistency, with two wins but three losses in their last five. Celta Vigo (LWWWL) has been more stable, winning three of their last five, though their away form includes a recent loss. Both teams have shown attacking capability but defensive vulnerabilities.

Tactical Matchup: Albacete's 5-4-1 formation suggests a defensive, counter-attacking approach, aiming to absorb pressure and exploit spaces. Celta Vigo's 3-4-2-1 offers more attacking width and midfield control, which could test Albacete's compact defense. The key will be whether Albacete can withstand Celta's possession and transition effectively.

Key Factors: No significant injuries or suspensions level the playing field. Home advantage at Estadio Carlos Belmonte gives Albacete a slight edge, but Celta's higher league status (La Liga vs. Segunda División) provides quality. Weather conditions are ideal, favoring neither team's style.

Statistical Backing: API-Football analysis shows equal form (50% vs 50%) and defense (50% vs 50%), with Albacete having a slight attack advantage (56% vs 44%). Season stats: Albacete averages 2.5 goals for and 0.5 against per match, Celta averages 2.0 for and 0.5 against, indicating both are solid defensively but Albacete has a slight offensive edge.

Conclusion: With no odds or clear favorite, Albacete's home advantage and attacking stats give them a narrow edge, but Celta's quality makes this a tight contest likely decided by fine margins.

Win Probabilities: Albacete: 40% · Draw: 30% · Celta Vigo: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

Form (latest first): Albacete: LLLDL · Celta Vigo: WLDDD

  • Agus Medina vs Celta's center-backs: Medina's goal-scoring ability (6 goals) will test Celta's defensive organization in their back-three system.
  • Jon Morcillo vs Celta's wing-backs: Morcillo's assists and creativity (3 assists) could exploit spaces behind Celta's advanced wing-backs in the 3-4-2-1.
  • Borja Iglesias vs Albacete's defensive line: Iglesias (5 goals) will be key in penetrating Albacete's compact 5-4-1 setup, requiring movement and finishing.

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