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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club

Result • Copa del Rey·Real Sociedad·Athletic Club

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Mar 4, 2026
20:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.30
X3.30
23.10
Stadium
Reale Arena
low Confidence
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.30
23.10
Stadium
Reale Arena
Win Probabilities
42%
Real Sociedad
29%
Draw
29%
Athletic Club
Home2.3042%
Draw3.3029%
Away3.1029%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Real Sociedad's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Athletic Club, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Real Sociedad and Athletic Club using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Real Sociedad a 42% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Athletic Club a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 23'
    Yellow Card: A. ParedesAthletic Club
    Yellow Card: A. Paredes
  2. 56'
    Yellow Card: M. JauregizarAthletic Club
    Yellow Card: M. Jauregizar
  3. 56'
    Substitution: I. Ruiz de GalarretaAthletic Club · Out: A. Rego
    Substitution: I. Ruiz de GalarretaOut: A. Rego
  4. Substitution: P. MarinOut: A. Barrenetxea
    59'
    Substitution: P. MarinReal Sociedad · Out: A. Barrenetxea
  5. Substitution: Y. HerreraOut: B. Turrientes
    59'
    Substitution: Y. HerreraReal Sociedad · Out: B. Turrientes
  6. 67'
    Substitution: J. AresoAthletic Club · Out: A. Paredes
    Substitution: J. AresoOut: A. Paredes
  7. 67'
    Substitution: R. NavarroAthletic Club · Out: O. Sancet
    Substitution: R. NavarroOut: O. Sancet
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card: G. GuruzetaAthletic Club
    Yellow Card: G. Guruzeta
  9. 81'
    Yellow Card: J. AresoAthletic Club
    Yellow Card: J. Areso
  10. 82'
    Substitution: N. SerranoAthletic Club · Out: G. Guruzeta
    Substitution: N. SerranoOut: G. Guruzeta
  11. 82'
    Substitution: M. VesgaAthletic Club · Out: M. Jauregizar
    Substitution: M. VesgaOut: M. Jauregizar
  12. Substitution: O. OskarssonOut: C. Soler
    83'
    Substitution: O. OskarssonReal Sociedad · Out: C. Soler
  13. Penalty: M. Oyarzabal (Penalty)
    87'
    Penalty: M. Oyarzabal (Penalty)Real Sociedad
  14. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: A. LaporteAthletic Club
    Yellow Card: A. Laporte
  15. Substitution: A. MunozOut: G. Guedes
    90+3'
    Substitution: A. MunozReal Sociedad · Out: G. Guedes
  16. Substitution: L. SucicOut: M. Oyarzabal
    90+4'
    Substitution: L. SucicReal Sociedad · Out: M. Oyarzabal
  17. Yellow Card: Y. Herrera
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: Y. HerreraReal Sociedad
  18. Yellow Card: A. Munoz
    90+9'
    Yellow Card: A. MunozReal Sociedad
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Mikel Oyarzabal vs Athletic Club defense: Oyarzabal's scoring threat against Athletic's defensive line, which has conceded goals in recent games.
2N/A vs N/A: N/A
3N/A vs N/A: N/A
Strengths · Weaknesses

Real Sociedad

  • Strong defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • High scoring ability with 14 goals in last 5 matches
  • Average goals conceded of 1.4 per game
  • Inconsistent form with WDLWD in last 5

Athletic Club

  • Solid defense with average goals conceded of 1.0 per game
  • Good form with DWWWD in last 5 matches
  • Poor scoring form with 7 goals in last 5 games
  • 0 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Head-to-head →Injuries · Real SociedadInjuries · Athletic ClubLive scores →

Statistical Context

Real Sociedad

WLLWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Valencia2-3
  • LSep 17, 26H · Bournemouth1-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Atletico Madrid0-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Elche2-3
  • DSep 3, 26H · Celta Vigo0-0

Athletic Club

DDWWL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Alaves0-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Elche1-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Atletico Madrid3-0
  • WAug 30, 26A · Celta Vigo0-2
  • LAug 27, 26A · Barcelona2-0

Head to Head

5
Real Sociedad
2
Draws
3
Athletic Club
  • Mar 4, 26Real Sociedad – Athletic Club1-0
  • Feb 11, 26Athletic Club – Real Sociedad0-1
  • Feb 1, 26Athletic Club – Real Sociedad1-1
  • Nov 1, 25Real Sociedad – Athletic Club3-2
  • May 4, 25Real Sociedad – Athletic Club0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Real SociedadAthletic Club
Played76
Goals Scored97
Goals Conceded136
Avg Scored1.31.2
Avg Conceded1.91.0
Clean Sheets13

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real SociedadAthletic Club
Over 2.5 Goals—4/10
Both Teams Scored—2/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Real Sociedad's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Athletic Club, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Real Sociedad is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by market and model probabilities favoring them.

Form Analysis: Real Sociedad has a 3 unbeaten streak, 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, and scored 14 goals with an average of 1.4 per game. Athletic Club has a 1 loss streak, 0 clean sheets, scored 7 goals with an average of 1.0 per game, and failed to score in 2 of the last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Real Sociedad's defensive strength with 3 clean sheets in recent matches. 2. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55. 3. Head-to-head history shows Real Sociedad with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Conclusion: The data indicates Real Sociedad has better form and defensive stability, making them the likely winner, though Athletic Club's recent draws suggest a competitive match.

Win Probabilities: Real Sociedad: 42% · Draw: 29% · Athletic Club: 29%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Real Sociedad wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Athletic Club wins: 3

Form (latest first): Real Sociedad: WLLWD · Athletic Club: DDWWL

  • Mikel Oyarzabal vs Athletic Club defense: Oyarzabal's scoring threat against Athletic's defensive line, which has conceded goals in recent games.
  • N/A vs N/A: N/A
  • N/A vs N/A: N/A

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