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  1. Home
  2. Copa del Rey
  3. Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid

Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid

Result • Copa del Rey·Atlético Baleares·Atletico Madrid

Copa del Rey
Copa del Rey
Dec 18, 2025
20:00
medium Confidence
Atlético Baleares

Atlético Baleares

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 0-2
Stadium
Estadio Balear
medium Confidence
WINNER
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Away
Stadium
Estadio Balear
Win Probabilities
20%
Atlético Baleares
25%
Draw
55%
Atletico Madrid
Home5.0020%
Draw4.0025%
Away1.8255%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees shadows of dominance on the pitch, where experience and form converge to guide Atletico Madrid toward victory. Ancient wisdom reveals that defensive walls may crumble under relentless pressure.

Our AI model analyzes this Copa del Rey fixture between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atlético Baleares a 20% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Atletico Madrid a 55% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Tovar vs Atletico Madrid Defense: Tovar's goal-scoring ability tested against a disciplined backline.
2J. Álvarez vs Atlético Baleares Midfield: Álvarez's creativity and scoring threat against a compact midfield.
3A. Griezmann vs Atlético Baleares Defense: Griezmann's movement and finishing challenging the defensive structure.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Atlético Baleares

  • Defensive organization with 5-3-2 formation
  • Home advantage at Estadio Balear
  • Limited attacking threat (3 goals total)
  • Lack of recent form data

Atletico Madrid

  • Strong recent form (LLWWW)
  • Superior attacking options with multiple scorers
  • Potential complacency in cup match
  • Defensive metrics not fully available
Head-to-head →Injuries · Atlético BalearesInjuries · Atletico MadridLive scores →

Statistical Context

Atlético Baleares

W
  • WDec 4, 25H · Espanyol1-0

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Real Madrid2-1
  • WSep 16, 26H · Osasuna4-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · Real Sociedad0-3
  • LSep 9, 26A · Liverpool2-1
  • LSep 5, 26A · Athletic Club3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Atlético BalearesAtletico Madrid
Played—7
Goals Scored—16
Goals Conceded—7
Avg Scored—2.3
Avg Conceded—1.0
Clean Sheets—3

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Atlético BalearesAtletico Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted line-ups: Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid

Predicted XI

Atlético Baleares

5-3-2Formation· Coach: Eloy Jiménez

Atletico Madrid

4-4-2Formation· Coach: D. Simeone

  1. 31Salvador Esquivel
  1. 32Javier Boñar
  2. 21Javi Galán
  3. 17D. Hancko
  4. 24Robin Le Normand
  1. 8Pablo Barrios
  2. 4C. Gallagher
  3. 6Koke
  4. 23N. González
  1. 12Carlos Martín
  2. 19J. Álvarez
  1. 2Gabriel Ramis
  2. 20A. Bejarano
  1. 6Gerardo Bonet
  2. 8Jofre Cherta
  3. 11Miguel Martín
  1. 17Guillem Castell
  2. 16C. Martínez
  3. 24Alejandro Cea
  4. 4J. Pol
  5. 22U. Taffertshofer
  1. 1P. Garcia

Bench

  • 13Rivas
  • 26V. de la Torre
  • 14V. Morillo
  • 29A. Catala
  • 23J. Duran
  • 7M. Keita
  • 19Manu Morillo

Bench

  • 1J. Musso
  • 16N. Molina
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 3M. Ruggeri
  • 20G. Simeone
  • 7A. Griezmann
  • 22G. Raspadori

Out

  • R. Le Normand · Red Card
  • A. Ortiz · Red Card
  • A. Sorloth · Muscle Injury
  • C. Romero · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Barrios · Muscle Injury
  • J. Alvarez · Muscle Injury
  • S. Esteban · Injury
  • T. Lemar · Coach's decision

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees shadows of dominance on the pitch, where experience and form converge to guide Atletico Madrid toward victory. Ancient wisdom reveals that defensive walls may crumble under relentless pressure.

Atletico Madrid is predicted to secure a victory against Atlético Baleares, leveraging their superior quality and recent form, despite the home team's defensive setup.

Current Form: Atlético Baleares lacks recent form data, while Atletico Madrid shows strong momentum with a LLWWW record, indicating recent wins and resilience. This form advantage suggests Atletico Madrid enters with higher confidence and tactical cohesion.

Tactical Matchup: Atlético Baleares' 5-3-2 formation focuses on defensive solidity and compactness, aiming to frustrate opponents. Atletico Madrid's 4-4-2 offers balance, with width and attacking options through players like Álvarez and Griezmann. The clash favors Atletico Madrid's ability to break down defenses with quality in the final third.

Key Factors: No injuries or suspensions level the field, but Atletico Madrid's higher league status and experience provide a psychological edge. Home advantage for Atlético Baleares may offer some support, but it's unlikely to offset the quality gap. Sunny weather with high humidity could favor a physical approach, but both teams are adaptable.

Statistical Backing: API-Football analysis shows equal win probabilities (33% each), but Atletico Madrid's better attack and form metrics (100% vs. 0% in form and attack comparisons) support their favoritism. Atlético Baleares' limited goal-scoring (3 goals) contrasts with Atletico Madrid's stronger offensive record.

Conclusion: Atletico Madrid's superior form and tactical flexibility should lead to a controlled win, with Atlético Baleares struggling to create significant chances.

Win Probabilities: Atlético Baleares: 20% · Draw: 25% · Atletico Madrid: 55%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

Form (latest first): Atlético Baleares: W · Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

  • J. Tovar vs Atletico Madrid Defense: Tovar's goal-scoring ability tested against a disciplined backline.
  • J. Álvarez vs Atlético Baleares Midfield: Álvarez's creativity and scoring threat against a compact midfield.
  • A. Griezmann vs Atlético Baleares Defense: Griezmann's movement and finishing challenging the defensive structure.

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Copa del Rey

Copa del Rey

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13.5728%
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22.3842%
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22.7836%
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13.0333%
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22.9434%

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