Atletico Calatayud arrive as the narrow favourites for this Copa del Rey tie, backed by a perfect recent form line and a head-to-head win over Baztán. The visitors' statistical profile in the API-Football comparison is stronger across form, attack, defense and head-to-head strength, which tilts the balance their way despite the neutral market baseline.
Form Analysis: Baztán have struggled badly in front of goal, failing to score in two of their last five and averaging just 0.6 goals per game, with a current one-match losing streak. Atletico Calatayud, by contrast, have won their last match and boast a 100% win rate across their recent sample, though their defensive record is leaky at 2.3 goals conceded per game. The contrast in attacking output is the clearest separator between the two sides.
Key Factors: First, Baztán's scoring drought is a serious concern — a team that cannot find the net cannot win knockout football. Second, the head-to-head record shows Atletico Calatayud with the only win in the last five meetings, giving them a psychological edge. Third, the weather — thundery outbreaks nearby with light rain and a physical favoured style — could suit the more direct, confident visitors. Home advantage is negligible here, with Baztán having played no home games in the sample and a home advantage rating of zero.
Conclusion: The data points to a narrow but clear edge for Atletico Calatayud. Their superior form and attacking output, combined with Baztán's goal-shy run, make them the more likely winners, though the low-scoring nature of the tie and Baztán's occasional clean sheet keep the door open for a tight, low-goal contest.
