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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC

Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC

Result • Segunda División·Sporting Gijon·AD Ceuta FC

Segunda División
Segunda División
May 3, 2026
14:15
high Confidence
Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.50
X4.50
25.75
Stadium
El Molinón
high Confidence
WINNER
AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC

Away
Odds
11.50
X4.50
25.75
Stadium
El Molinón
Win Probabilities
58%
Sporting Gijon
27%
Draw
15%
AD Ceuta FC
Home1.5058%
Draw4.5027%
Away5.7515%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sporting Gijon's home strength prevailing over Ceuta's stubborn defense, but warns of a low-scoring affair. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the hosts.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Sporting Gijon and AD Ceuta FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Gijon a 58% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and AD Ceuta FC a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 26'
    Own goal: A. Cuenca (Own goal)AD Ceuta FC
    Own goal: A. Cuenca (Own goal)
  2. 28'
    Goal: K. de la FuenteAD Ceuta FC · Assist: K. Zalazar
    Goal: K. de la FuenteAssist: K. Zalazar
  3. Goal: G. Campos
    30'
    Goal: G. CamposSporting Gijon
  4. Yellow Card: P. Vazquez
    32'
    Yellow Card: P. VazquezSporting Gijon
  5. Yellow Card: G. Rosas
    35'
    Yellow Card: G. RosasSporting Gijon
  6. 43'
    Yellow Card: A. BassingaAD Ceuta FC
    Yellow Card: A. Bassinga
  7. 45+3'
    Yellow Card: M. IllescasAD Ceuta FC
    Yellow Card: M. Illescas
  8. Substitution: P. GarciaOut: D. Sanchez
    46'
    Substitution: P. GarciaSporting Gijon · Out: D. Sanchez
  9. 46'
    Substitution: S. SanchezAD Ceuta FC · Out: A. Bassinga
    Substitution: S. SanchezOut: A. Bassinga
  10. Substitution: E. CurbeloOut: P. Vazquez
    46'
    Substitution: E. CurbeloSporting Gijon · Out: P. Vazquez
  11. Substitution: D. QueipoOut: C. Gelabert Pina
    62'
    Substitution: D. QueipoSporting Gijon · Out: C. Gelabert Pina
  12. 63'
    Substitution: M. DomenechAD Ceuta FC · Out: K. de la Fuente
    Substitution: M. DomenechOut: K. de la Fuente
  13. 69'
    Substitution: Matos JoseAD Ceuta FC · Out: M. Domenech
    Substitution: Matos JoseOut: M. Domenech
  14. Yellow Card: J. Smith
    69'
    Yellow Card: J. SmithSporting Gijon
  15. Yellow Card: D. Queipo
    72'
    Yellow Card: D. QueipoSporting Gijon
  16. Substitution: A. CoundoulOut: M. Rodriguez
    72'
    Substitution: A. CoundoulSporting Gijon · Out: M. Rodriguez
  17. 75'
    Yellow Card: M. Fernandez SanchezAD Ceuta FC
    Yellow Card: M. Fernandez Sanchez
  18. Substitution: M. CondeOut: D. Queipo
    79'
    Substitution: M. CondeSporting Gijon · Out: D. Queipo
  19. 90'
    Substitution: G. AlmenaraAD Ceuta FC · Out: C. Redruello Nimo
    Substitution: G. AlmenaraOut: C. Redruello Nimo
  20. 90'
    Substitution: J. CampanaAD Ceuta FC · Out: K. Zalazar
    Substitution: J. CampanaOut: K. Zalazar
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Jonathan Dubasin vs AD Ceuta defense: Dubasin's goal-scoring ability will test Ceuta's backline.
2César Gelabert vs AD Ceuta midfield: Gelabert's creativity will be key to unlocking Ceuta's defense.
3Marcos Fernández vs Sporting Gijon defense: Ceuta's main goal threat will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sporting Gijon

  • Strong attack rated 70%
  • Key goalscorers Dubasin and Gelabert
  • Recent two-match losing streak
  • Defense rated only 46%

AD Ceuta FC

  • Unbeaten in last four matches
  • Defense rated 54%
  • Low attack rating of 30%
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 games

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
58%
API-Football
45%
52%
Sporting Gijon513613

Moderate agreement on home win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Sporting Gijon are the clear favorites to win against AD Ceuta FC, with bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favoring the home side. The API-Football model also predicts a Sporting Gijon win, reinforcing the odds signal.

Form Analysis: Sporting Gijon have lost their last two matches, but their overall form (LWLWL) is mixed. AD Ceuta FC are on a four-match unbeaten streak (DDDLD), but have failed to score in three of their last five games, indicating a lack of attacking threat.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head: Sporting Gijon have won the only previous meeting, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Home advantage: Sporting Gijon play at home, where they have a strong record. 3) Attacking strength: Sporting Gijon's attack is rated 70% compared to Ceuta's 30%, and they have key players like Jonathan Dubasin (7 goals) and César Gelabert (5 goals).

Conclusion: Based on the data, Sporting Gijon are expected to win, but their recent form and Ceuta's resilience suggest a close match. The most likely outcome is a home win with a low-scoring affair.

Statistical ContextSporting Gijon

Double chance : Sporting Gijon or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
62%Strength37%
70%Attacking Potential30%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
100%Goals H2H50%
62%Wins the Game37%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Sporting GijonInjuries · AD Ceuta FCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Sporting Gijon

LLWWD
  • LSep 13, 26H · Eldense0-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Girona0-2
  • WAug 28, 26A · Tenerife0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Burgos1-0
  • DAug 17, 26H · Sabadell0-0

AD Ceuta FC

LLLLL
  • LSep 11, 26A · Burgos3-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Celta de Vigo II0-2
  • LAug 30, 26A · Mallorca3-0
  • LAug 22, 26H · Las Palmas0-2
  • LAug 15, 26A · FC Andorra5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
14Celta de Vigo II5-17LWLWD
15Sporting Gijon5-17LLWWD
16Eldense5-35WDLDL
17Valladolid5-54LWDLL
18FC Andorra5-23LLLLW
19Cadiz5-23LLDDD
20Cordoba5-53LLLWL
21Albacete5-51DLLLL
22AD Ceuta FC5-130LLLLL

Head to Head

1
Sporting Gijon
0
Draws
0
AD Ceuta FC
  • Aug 23, 25AD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting GijonAD Ceuta FC
Played44
Goals Scored21
Goals Conceded212
Avg Scored0.50.3
Avg Conceded0.53.0
Clean Sheets30

Sporting Gijon vs AD Ceuta FC — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sporting Gijon's home strength prevailing over Ceuta's stubborn defense, but warns of a low-scoring affair. Ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory for the hosts.

Sporting Gijon are the clear favorites to win against AD Ceuta FC, with bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favoring the home side. The API-Football model also predicts a Sporting Gijon win, reinforcing the odds signal.

Form Analysis: Sporting Gijon have lost their last two matches, but their overall form (LWLWL) is mixed. AD Ceuta FC are on a four-match unbeaten streak (DDDLD), but have failed to score in three of their last five games, indicating a lack of attacking threat.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head: Sporting Gijon have won the only previous meeting, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Home advantage: Sporting Gijon play at home, where they have a strong record. 3) Attacking strength: Sporting Gijon's attack is rated 70% compared to Ceuta's 30%, and they have key players like Jonathan Dubasin (7 goals) and César Gelabert (5 goals).

Conclusion: Based on the data, Sporting Gijon are expected to win, but their recent form and Ceuta's resilience suggest a close match. The most likely outcome is a home win with a low-scoring affair.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Gijon: 58% · Draw: 27% · AD Ceuta FC: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Sporting Gijon wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · AD Ceuta FC wins: 0

Form (latest first): Sporting Gijon: LLWWD · AD Ceuta FC: LLLLL

  • Jonathan Dubasin vs AD Ceuta defense: Dubasin's goal-scoring ability will test Ceuta's backline.
  • César Gelabert vs AD Ceuta midfield: Gelabert's creativity will be key to unlocking Ceuta's defense.
  • Marcos Fernández vs Sporting Gijon defense: Ceuta's main goal threat will look to exploit any defensive lapses.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Albacete
Sep 1818:30
Cordoba
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Sep 1912:00
Mallorca
13.2331%
X3.2331%
22.6338%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
FC Andorra
Sep 1914:15
Sporting Gijon
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Castellón
Sep 1916:30
Tenerife
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eldense
Sep 1916:30
Eibar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Sep 1919:00
Girona
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sabadell
Sep 2012:00
Oviedo
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2014:15
Valladolid
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Sep 2016:30
Burgos
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Sep 2016:30
Celta de Vigo II
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Sep 2019:00
Granada CF
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Sep 2518:30
Albacete
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2612:00
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Sep 2614:15
FC Andorra
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Sep 2616:30
Cadiz
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

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