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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Leganes vs Albacete

Leganes vs Albacete

Result • Segunda División·Leganes·Albacete

Segunda División
Segunda División
Apr 11, 2026
14:15
medium Confidence
WINNER
Leganes

Leganes

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.05
X3.10
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
medium Confidence
Albacete

Albacete

Away
Odds
12.05
X3.10
23.90
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Win Probabilities
36%
Leganes
34%
Draw
30%
Albacete
Home2.0536%
Draw3.1034%
Away3.9030%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Leganes's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Albacete, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Leganes and Albacete using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Leganes a 36% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Albacete a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Yellow Card: CapiAlbacete
    Yellow Card: Capi
  2. Yellow Card: Marvel
    9'
    Yellow Card: MarvelLeganes
  3. 38'
    Goal: A. RubioAlbacete
    Goal: A. Rubio
  4. 43'
    Yellow Card: J. LazoAlbacete
    Yellow Card: J. Lazo
  5. Goal: A. MillanAssist: J. Cruz
    47'
    Goal: A. MillanLeganes · Assist: J. Cruz
  6. Substitution: O. PlanoOut: S. Cisse
    57'
    Substitution: O. PlanoLeganes · Out: S. Cisse
  7. Goal: J. CruzAssist: A. Millan
    64'
    Goal: J. CruzLeganes · Assist: A. Millan
  8. Substitution: C. GuiraoOut: G. Melero
    67'
    Substitution: C. GuiraoLeganes · Out: G. Melero
  9. 68'
    Substitution: JogoAlbacete · Out: J. Lazo
    Substitution: JogoOut: J. Lazo
  10. 78'
    Substitution: S. ObengAlbacete · Out: A. Melendez
    Substitution: S. ObengOut: A. Melendez
  11. 78'
    Substitution: V. San BartolomeAlbacete · Out: C. Neva
    Substitution: V. San BartolomeOut: C. Neva
  12. 79'
    Substitution: F. GamezAlbacete · Out: Lorenzo
    Substitution: F. GamezOut: Lorenzo
  13. Substitution: N. GarciaOut: J. Cruz
    80'
    Substitution: N. GarciaLeganes · Out: J. Cruz
  14. Substitution: D. GarciaOut: A. Millan
    81'
    Substitution: D. GarciaLeganes · Out: A. Millan
  15. 83'
    Substitution: M. FernandezAlbacete · Out: Capi
    Substitution: M. FernandezOut: Capi
  16. Red Card: A. Millan
    90+4'
    Red Card: A. MillanLeganes
  17. 90+8'
    Yellow Card: JogoAlbacete
    Yellow Card: Jogo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Leganes defensive midfielders vs Albacete's Agus Medina: The battle in midfield will be crucial as Leganes' 4-2-3-1 aims to neutralize Albacete's key scorer through tight marking and interception.
2Leganes attackers vs Albacete's defensive line: Leganes will look to break down Albacete's defense, which has a 57% rating, using their home advantage and tactical setup to create scoring opportunities.
3Albacete's Jon Morcillo vs Leganes' full-backs: Morcillo's assists and goal threat on the wings will test Leganes' defensive width and ability to handle crosses and attacks from the flanks.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Leganes

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Better defensive record with avg goals conceded of 1.2 in last 5 matches
  • Lower form percentage at 38% compared to Albacete
  • Inconsistent recent results with LDDWL record

Albacete

  • Higher form percentage at 62%
  • Superior attack and defense percentages in team comparison
  • Current 2-loss streak affecting momentum
  • Away record may be less favorable

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
40%
Draw234038

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the structured data, the match between Leganes and Albacete is predicted to be a draw, with Leganes having a slight edge as the home team. The market probabilities indicate a close contest, with Leganes at 46%, draw at 30%, and Albacete at 24%, while the API-Football model strongly favors a draw or Albacete win, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes has a form of 38% with a recent record of LDDWL and a 1-win streak, while Albacete has a form of 62% with LDDWW and a 2-loss streak. Both teams have similar average goals scored (1.8) and conceded (Leganes 1.2, Albacete 1.4), indicating balanced offensive and defensive capabilities. Albacete's momentum analysis notes struggles with 2 consecutive losses, which may impact confidence.

Key Factors: 1) The API-Football comparison shows Albacete with advantages in form (62% vs 38%), attack (53% vs 47%), defense (57% vs 43%), and overall (55.3% vs 44.7%), supporting their statistical edge. 2) Head-to-head history is evenly split with 3 wins each and 3 draws in the last 5 meetings, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight match. 3) No significant injuries or suspensions are reported, allowing both teams to field full-strength lineups, which maintains the balance suggested by the data.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely contested match where neither team has a decisive advantage. The odds imply Leganes as a slight favorite, but the API model and form comparisons suggest Albacete could challenge effectively. Given the balanced odds, recent draws in form, and H2H history, a draw is the most plausible outcome, aligning with the draw probability adjusted upward from the market to reflect the statistical evidence.

Statistical ContextAlbacete

Double chance : draw or Albacete

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LeganesAlbacete
44%Strength55%
47%Attacking Potential53%
43%Defensive Potential57%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
55%Goals H2H45%
44%Wins the Game55%
Head-to-head →Injuries · LeganesInjuries · AlbaceteLive scores →

Statistical Context

Leganes

LLWLD
  • LOct 3, 26A · Cadiz4-0
  • LSep 28, 26H · Castellón0-2
  • WSep 20, 26H · Granada CF3-2
  • LSep 13, 26A · Tenerife2-0
  • DSep 4, 26A · Las Palmas0-0

Albacete

LLLDL
  • LOct 3, 26H · Eibar1-3
  • LSep 25, 26A · Girona2-0
  • LSep 18, 26H · Cordoba1-2
  • DSep 12, 26A · Granada CF1-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Castellón2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
12Tenerife8-211LDLWD
13Leganes8-511LLWLD
14Valladolid8-39DWDLW
21AD Ceuta FC8-115DWDLL
22Albacete8-101LLLDL

Head to Head

4
Leganes
3
Draws
3
Albacete
  • Jan 4, 26Albacete – Leganes1-3
  • Dec 4, 25Leganes – Albacete1-2
  • May 12, 24Albacete – Leganes1-0
  • Aug 27, 23Leganes – Albacete2-0
  • Jan 16, 23Albacete – Leganes1-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LeganesAlbacete
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Leganes vs Albacete — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Leganes's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Albacete, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, the match between Leganes and Albacete is predicted to be a draw, with Leganes having a slight edge as the home team. The market probabilities indicate a close contest, with Leganes at 46%, draw at 30%, and Albacete at 24%, while the API-Football model strongly favors a draw or Albacete win, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Form Analysis: Leganes has a form of 38% with a recent record of LDDWL and a 1-win streak, while Albacete has a form of 62% with LDDWW and a 2-loss streak. Both teams have similar average goals scored (1.8) and conceded (Leganes 1.2, Albacete 1.4), indicating balanced offensive and defensive capabilities. Albacete's momentum analysis notes struggles with 2 consecutive losses, which may impact confidence.

Key Factors: 1) The API-Football comparison shows Albacete with advantages in form (62% vs 38%), attack (53% vs 47%), defense (57% vs 43%), and overall (55.3% vs 44.7%), supporting their statistical edge. 2) Head-to-head history is evenly split with 3 wins each and 3 draws in the last 5 meetings, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight match. 3) No significant injuries or suspensions are reported, allowing both teams to field full-strength lineups, which maintains the balance suggested by the data.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely contested match where neither team has a decisive advantage. The odds imply Leganes as a slight favorite, but the API model and form comparisons suggest Albacete could challenge effectively. Given the balanced odds, recent draws in form, and H2H history, a draw is the most plausible outcome, aligning with the draw probability adjusted upward from the market to reflect the statistical evidence.

Win Probabilities: Leganes: 36% · Draw: 34% · Albacete: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Leganes wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Albacete wins: 3

Form (latest first): Leganes: LLWLD · Albacete: LLLDL

  • Leganes defensive midfielders vs Albacete's Agus Medina: The battle in midfield will be crucial as Leganes' 4-2-3-1 aims to neutralize Albacete's key scorer through tight marking and interception.
  • Leganes attackers vs Albacete's defensive line: Leganes will look to break down Albacete's defense, which has a 57% rating, using their home advantage and tactical setup to create scoring opportunities.
  • Albacete's Jon Morcillo vs Leganes' full-backs: Morcillo's assists and goal threat on the wings will test Leganes' defensive width and ability to handle crosses and attacks from the flanks.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Oct 1014:15
Sabadell
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eldense
Oct 1016:30
Cordoba
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Oct 1019:00
Real Sociedad II
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
FC Andorra
Oct 1112:00
Castellón
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Oct 1114:15
Leganes
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Mallorca
Oct 1116:30
Las Palmas
11.7258%
X3.7027%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Oct 1119:00
Sporting Gijon
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Valladolid
Oct 1212:00
Albacete
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Burgos
Oct 1214:15
Granada CF
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Oviedo
Oct 1216:30
Eibar
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Oct 1219:00
Girona
14.3523%
X3.0333%
22.2744%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Oct 1618:30
Cordoba
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Oct 1712:00
Almeria
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eibar
Oct 1714:15
Mallorca
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sporting Gijon
Oct 1716:30
Albacete
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%

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