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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Almeria vs Las Palmas

Almeria vs Las Palmas

Result • Segunda División·Almeria·Las Palmas

Segunda División
Segunda División
May 16, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
Almeria

Almeria

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.80
X3.50
24.33
Stadium
UD Almeria Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Away
Odds
11.80
X3.50
24.33
Stadium
UD Almeria Stadium
Win Probabilities
50%
Almeria
31%
Draw
19%
Las Palmas
Home1.8050%
Draw3.5031%
Away4.3319%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Las Palmas, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Almeria and Las Palmas using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Almeria a 50% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Las Palmas a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 49'
    Yellow Card: E. PedrolaLas Palmas
    Yellow Card: E. Pedrola
  2. Yellow Card: F. Bonini
    59'
    Yellow Card: F. BoniniAlmeria
  3. Goal: A. Embarba
    61'
    Goal: A. EmbarbaAlmeria
  4. 69'
    Substitution: J. HerzogLas Palmas · Out: Marvin
    Substitution: J. HerzogOut: Marvin
  5. 69'
    Substitution: J. VieraLas Palmas · Out: T. Miyashiro
    Substitution: J. VieraOut: T. Miyashiro
  6. Substitution: A. PuigmalOut: A. Horta
    70'
    Substitution: A. PuigmalAlmeria · Out: A. Horta
  7. Substitution: I. BabaOut: Leo Baptistao
    70'
    Substitution: I. BabaAlmeria · Out: Leo Baptistao
  8. 74'
    Substitution: V. PezzolesiLas Palmas · Out: Alex Suarez
    Substitution: V. PezzolesiOut: Alex Suarez
  9. 74'
    Substitution: PejinoLas Palmas · Out: E. Pedrola
    Substitution: PejinoOut: E. Pedrola
  10. Substitution: ThalysOut: M. de la Fuente
    75'
    Substitution: ThalysAlmeria · Out: M. de la Fuente
  11. 79'
    Goal: E. ClementeLas Palmas
    Goal: E. Clemente
  12. 81'
    Goal: PejinoLas Palmas · Assist: K. Rodriguez
    Goal: PejinoAssist: K. Rodriguez
  13. Substitution: N. MelamedOut: S. Dzodic
    82'
    Substitution: N. MelamedAlmeria · Out: S. Dzodic
  14. Substitution: J. MorcilloOut: A. Embarba
    82'
    Substitution: J. MorcilloAlmeria · Out: A. Embarba
  15. Yellow Card: M. Luna
    84'
    Yellow Card: M. LunaAlmeria
  16. 87'
    Substitution: I. BravoLas Palmas · Out: Jese
    Substitution: I. BravoOut: Jese
  17. Yellow Card: F. Bonini
    90+9'
    Yellow Card: F. BoniniAlmeria
  18. Red Card: F. Bonini
    90+9'
    Red Card: F. BoniniAlmeria
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Sergio Arribas vs Las Palmas defense: Arribas' movement and finishing will test the away backline.
2Adri Embarba vs left-back: Embarba's dribbling and crosses could create chances.
3Manu Fuster vs Almeria midfield: Fuster's creativity may unlock the home defense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Almeria

  • High-scoring attack (avg 2.4 goals/game)
  • Strong home form
  • Defensive vulnerability (avg 2.2 goals conceded)
  • Inconsistent clean sheets (1 in last 5)

Las Palmas

  • Solid defense (avg 1.8 goals conceded)
  • Capable of counter-attacks
  • Low scoring output (avg 1.4 goals/game)
  • Recent loss of momentum

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
45%
48%
Almeria483815

Moderate agreement on home win (48%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Almeria are favored to win based on bookmaker odds (52% implied probability) and API-Football model prediction (predicted winner: Almeria). The odds and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Almeria are on a 4-match unbeaten streak (DWWWL) with strong attacking output (avg 2.4 goals scored per game). Las Palmas have a 1-match losing streak (LWWWL) and weaker attack (avg 1.4 goals scored). Almeria's form (53%) edges Las Palmas (47%) per API comparison.

Key Factors: Almeria have superior attack (63% vs 37%) and overall strength (57.2% vs 42.8%). H2H favors Almeria (4 wins in last 10 meetings). No significant injuries for either side. Home advantage (rating 0.55) and league position (3rd vs 6th) support Almeria.

Conclusion: Almeria's attacking firepower, recent form, and home advantage make them clear favorites. Las Palmas may struggle to contain Almeria's top scorer Sergio Arribas (24 goals). Expect a home win with goals.

Statistical ContextAlmeria

Combo Double chance : Almeria or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AlmeriaLas Palmas
57%Strength42%
63%Attacking Potential37%
45%Defensive Potential55%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
57%Goals H2H43%
57%Wins the Game42%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AlmeriaInjuries · Las PalmasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Almeria

WWWLL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Celta de Vigo II2-0
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cordoba0-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Cadiz3-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Sabadell1-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Tenerife1-0

Las Palmas

LWDLW
  • LSep 20, 26H · Burgos1-2
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cadiz0-1
  • DSep 4, 26H · Leganes0-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · Girona5-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · AD Ceuta FC0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Girona6+410WLWWL
5Las Palmas5+110WDLWW
6Sporting Gijon6+110WLLWW
7Tenerife6-110LWDLW
8Almeria5+49WWLLW
9Oviedo5+38WDWLD

Head to Head

4
Almeria
3
Draws
3
Las Palmas
  • Sep 27, 25Las Palmas – Almeria0-1
  • Mar 17, 24Las Palmas – Almeria0-1
  • Oct 28, 23Almeria – Las Palmas1-2
  • Jul 23, 23Almeria – Las Palmas0-0
  • Jan 9, 22Las Palmas – Almeria1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AlmeriaLas Palmas
Played55
Goals Scored87
Goals Conceded46
Avg Scored1.61.4
Avg Conceded0.81.2
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlmeriaLas Palmas
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored7/107/10
Clean Sheets2/102/10

Almeria vs Las Palmas — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Las Palmas, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Almeria are favored to win based on bookmaker odds (52% implied probability) and API-Football model prediction (predicted winner: Almeria). The odds and model agree, giving high confidence.

Form Analysis: Almeria are on a 4-match unbeaten streak (DWWWL) with strong attacking output (avg 2.4 goals scored per game). Las Palmas have a 1-match losing streak (LWWWL) and weaker attack (avg 1.4 goals scored). Almeria's form (53%) edges Las Palmas (47%) per API comparison.

Key Factors: Almeria have superior attack (63% vs 37%) and overall strength (57.2% vs 42.8%). H2H favors Almeria (4 wins in last 10 meetings). No significant injuries for either side. Home advantage (rating 0.55) and league position (3rd vs 6th) support Almeria.

Conclusion: Almeria's attacking firepower, recent form, and home advantage make them clear favorites. Las Palmas may struggle to contain Almeria's top scorer Sergio Arribas (24 goals). Expect a home win with goals.

Win Probabilities: Almeria: 50% · Draw: 31% · Las Palmas: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Almeria wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Las Palmas wins: 3

Form (latest first): Almeria: WWWLL · Las Palmas: LWDLW

  • Sergio Arribas vs Las Palmas defense: Arribas' movement and finishing will test the away backline.
  • Adri Embarba vs left-back: Embarba's dribbling and crosses could create chances.
  • Manu Fuster vs Almeria midfield: Fuster's creativity may unlock the home defense.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Sep 2518:30
Albacete
11.6760%
X4.0025%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2612:00
Real Sociedad II
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Sep 2614:15
FC Andorra
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Sep 2616:30
Cadiz
11.8953%
X3.2331%
26.2516%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Sep 2616:30
Sabadell
14.1724%
X3.0333%
22.3343%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Valladolid
Sep 2712:00
Cordoba
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Mallorca
Sep 2714:15
Almeria
12.0848%
X3.2331%
24.7621%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eibar
Sep 2716:30
Las Palmas
12.7836%
X3.1332%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Burgos
Sep 2716:30
Eldense
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Oviedo
Sep 2719:00
Sporting Gijon
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Sep 2818:30
Castellón
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Oct 415:00
Valladolid
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Oct 415:00
Mallorca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cordoba
Oct 415:00
Tenerife
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Albacete
Oct 415:00
Eibar
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

Betting Tips

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