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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Burgos vs Eldense

Burgos vs Eldense

Result • Segunda División·Burgos·Eldense

Segunda División
Segunda División
Sep 27, 2026
16:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Burgos

Burgos

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.00
23.70
Stadium
Municipal El Plantio
medium Confidence
Eldense

Eldense

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.00
23.70
Stadium
Municipal El Plantio
Win Probabilities
48%
Burgos
32%
Draw
20%
Eldense
Home2.0048%
Draw3.0032%
Away3.7020%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Burgos are clear favourites, backed by a four-game unbeaten run and a strong home record, while Eldense struggle for goals and sit near the bottom. The main risk is Burgos's tendency to misfire in front of goal, having failed to score in two of their last five.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Burgos and Eldense using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Burgos a 48% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Eldense a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 49%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 49%

Match Events

  1. 32'
    Yellow Card: Alex Serradell GarralagaEldense
    Yellow Card: Alex Serradell Garralaga
  2. Goal: David GonzalezAssist: Álex Forés
    45'
    Goal: David GonzalezBurgos · Assist: Álex Forés
  3. Yellow Card: Unai Vencedor
    55'
    Yellow Card: Unai VencedorBurgos
  4. 59'
    Substitution: Waldo RubioEldense · Out: Roberto López
    Substitution: Waldo RubioOut: Roberto López
  5. 59'
    Substitution: Javi MartínezEldense · Out: Fidel
    Substitution: Javi MartínezOut: Fidel
  6. Substitution: Santiago LencinaOut: Jon Karrikaburu
    61'
    Substitution: Santiago LencinaBurgos · Out: Jon Karrikaburu
  7. Substitution: Victor MollejoOut: Javier Llabrés Exposito
    61'
    Substitution: Victor MollejoBurgos · Out: Javier Llabrés Exposito
  8. Substitution: Brais MartínezOut: Ignasi Vilarrasa Palacios
    71'
    Substitution: Brais MartínezBurgos · Out: Ignasi Vilarrasa Palacios
  9. Substitution: CurroOut: Álex Forés
    71'
    Substitution: CurroBurgos · Out: Álex Forés
  10. 71'
    Substitution: Manuel NietoEldense · Out: Jorge Rastrojo
    Substitution: Manuel NietoOut: Jorge Rastrojo
  11. 71'
    Substitution: Guillermo Macho MuñozEldense · Out: Carlos Guirao Mora
    Substitution: Guillermo Macho MuñozOut: Carlos Guirao Mora
  12. 80'
    Substitution: Alejandro IbarrondoEldense · Out: Jesús Clemente Corcho
    Substitution: Alejandro IbarrondoOut: Jesús Clemente Corcho
  13. Substitution: Pablo GaldamesOut: Unai Vencedor
    83'
    Substitution: Pablo GaldamesBurgos · Out: Unai Vencedor
  14. Yellow Card: Santiago Lencina
    86'
    Yellow Card: Santiago LencinaBurgos
  15. 87'
    Yellow Card: Juan Larios LópezEldense
    Yellow Card: Juan Larios López
  16. Yellow Card: Oier Luengo Redondo
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: Oier Luengo RedondoBurgos
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Álex Forés vs Iker Recio: Forés is Burgos's main goal threat, and Recio will need to be at his best to keep him quiet.
2José Gragera vs J. Smith: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Gragera's distribution up against Smith's tenacity.
3P. Galdames vs Roberto López: Galdames will look to dictate play, while López will aim to disrupt and create for Eldense.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Burgos

  • Four-game unbeaten streak
  • Strong home record (2W-1D-0L)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Only one clean sheet in last 5

Eldense

  • Two clean sheets in last 5
  • H2H dominance (3 wins in 5)
  • Only one win in last 5
  • Struggling attack (0.8 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Burgos473915

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Burgos are the clear favourites to win this Segunda División encounter against Eldense at Municipal El Plantio, based on league position, recent form, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Burgos enter the match on a four-game unbeaten streak, having scored 10 goals in their last five outings while conceding just 7. Eldense, by contrast, have struggled with only one win in their last five, scoring just 4 goals and sitting 18th in the table. The attacking disparity is stark: Burgos average 1.4 goals per game compared to Eldense's 0.8.

Key Factors: Burgos boast a strong home record with two wins and a draw from three home matches, and they sit 7th in the standings with a positive goal difference. Eldense are 11 places and 6 points worse off, with a negative goal difference. The head-to-head record favours Eldense historically, but current form and league position heavily tilt the scales towards Burgos. The weather is expected to be warm but overcast with minimal impact, favouring a neutral playing style.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Burgos victory. Their superior form, home advantage, and attacking output should be enough to see off an Eldense side that has struggled for goals and consistency. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, with a scoreline such as 2-1 or 1-0.

Statistical ContextBurgos

Winner : Burgos

Team Comparison

AI Powered
BurgosEldense
53%Strength47%
64%Attacking Potential36%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
29%Goals H2H71%
53%Wins the Game47%
Head-to-head →Injuries · BurgosInjuries · EldenseLive scores →

Statistical Context

Burgos

LLWWD
  • LOct 12, 26H · Granada CF0-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Almeria2-1
  • WSep 20, 26A · Las Palmas1-2
  • WSep 11, 26H · AD Ceuta FC3-1
  • DSep 6, 26A · Oviedo0-0

Eldense

WWLWD
  • WOct 10, 26H · Cordoba2-1
  • WOct 2, 26H · Oviedo4-1
  • LSep 19, 26H · Eibar1-2
  • WSep 13, 26A · Sporting Gijon0-1
  • DSep 5, 26H · Mallorca0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Girona9+615DDWWL
8Burgos9+214LLWWW
9Oviedo9+214WLWLW
10Granada CF9+114WWLLD
11Valladolid9+212WDWDL
12Tenerife9-212DLDLW
13Celta de Vigo II9-111WLDLL
14Eldense9-111WWLLW
15Las Palmas9-311LDLLW

Head to Head

1
Burgos
1
Draws
3
Eldense
  • Mar 29, 25Eldense – Burgos0-0
  • Dec 8, 24Burgos – Eldense1-0
  • May 10, 24Burgos – Eldense1-2
  • Nov 5, 23Eldense – Burgos2-0
  • Dec 22, 22Eldense – Burgos1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

BurgosEldense
Played88
Goals Scored128
Goals Conceded910
Avg Scored1.51.0
Avg Conceded1.11.3
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BurgosEldense
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Burgos vs Eldense — Match Analysis

Burgos are clear favourites, backed by a four-game unbeaten run and a strong home record, while Eldense struggle for goals and sit near the bottom. The main risk is Burgos's tendency to misfire in front of goal, having failed to score in two of their last five.

Burgos are the clear favourites to win this Segunda División encounter against Eldense at Municipal El Plantio, based on league position, recent form, and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Burgos enter the match on a four-game unbeaten streak, having scored 10 goals in their last five outings while conceding just 7. Eldense, by contrast, have struggled with only one win in their last five, scoring just 4 goals and sitting 18th in the table. The attacking disparity is stark: Burgos average 1.4 goals per game compared to Eldense's 0.8.

Key Factors: Burgos boast a strong home record with two wins and a draw from three home matches, and they sit 7th in the standings with a positive goal difference. Eldense are 11 places and 6 points worse off, with a negative goal difference. The head-to-head record favours Eldense historically, but current form and league position heavily tilt the scales towards Burgos. The weather is expected to be warm but overcast with minimal impact, favouring a neutral playing style.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Burgos victory. Their superior form, home advantage, and attacking output should be enough to see off an Eldense side that has struggled for goals and consistency. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, with a scoreline such as 2-1 or 1-0.

Win Probabilities: Burgos: 48% · Draw: 32% · Eldense: 20%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 42% · Under 2.5: 58% · BTTS: 49%

H2H: Burgos wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Eldense wins: 3

Form (latest first): Burgos: LLWWD · Eldense: WWLWD

  • Álex Forés vs Iker Recio: Forés is Burgos's main goal threat, and Recio will need to be at his best to keep him quiet.
  • José Gragera vs J. Smith: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Gragera's distribution up against Smith's tenacity.
  • P. Galdames vs Roberto López: Galdames will look to dictate play, while López will aim to disrupt and create for Eldense.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Oct 1618:30
Cordoba
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Oct 1712:00
Almeria
14.3523%
X3.4529%
22.0848%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eibar
Oct 1714:15
Mallorca
12.6338%
X3.3330%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sporting Gijon
Oct 1716:30
Albacete
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Oct 1719:00
Castellón
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Oct 1812:00
Oviedo
14.1724%
X3.0333%
22.3343%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Oct 1814:15
Cadiz
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Oct 1816:30
FC Andorra
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Valladolid
Oct 1816:30
Eldense
12.0848%
X3.2331%
24.7621%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Burgos
Oct 1819:00
Sabadell
12.4441%
X2.8635%
24.1724%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Oct 1918:30
Tenerife
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Oct 2318:30
Valladolid
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cordoba
Oct 2412:00
Eibar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Oct 2414:15
Mallorca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Oct 2416:30
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

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