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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Almeria vs Mirandes

Almeria vs Mirandes

Result • Segunda División·Almeria·Mirandes

Segunda División
Segunda División
May 4, 2026
18:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Almeria

Almeria

Home
Final Score
4-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.45
X4.50
26.50
Stadium
UD Almeria Stadium
high Confidence
Mirandes

Mirandes

Away
Odds
11.45
X4.50
26.50
Stadium
UD Almeria Stadium
Win Probabilities
60%
Almeria
27%
Draw
13%
Mirandes
Home1.4560%
Draw4.5027%
Away6.5013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Mirandes, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Almeria and Mirandes using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Almeria a 60% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Mirandes a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Leo BaptistaoAssist: M. Luna
    1'
    Goal: Leo BaptistaoAlmeria · Assist: M. Luna
  2. 3'
    Goal: F. MedranoMirandes · Assist: S. El Jebari
    Goal: F. MedranoAssist: S. El Jebari
  3. Own goal: J. Gutierrez (Own goal)
    15'
    Own goal: J. Gutierrez (Own goal)Almeria
  4. 18'
    Goal: S. El JebariMirandes · Assist: H. Novoa Ramos
    Goal: S. El JebariAssist: H. Novoa Ramos
  5. 52'
    Yellow Card: J. GutierrezMirandes
    Yellow Card: J. Gutierrez
  6. Own goal: F. Medrano (Own goal)
    58'
    Own goal: F. Medrano (Own goal)Almeria
  7. Yellow Card: Leo Baptistao
    62'
    Yellow Card: Leo BaptistaoAlmeria
  8. Substitution: A. PuigmalOut: Leo Baptistao
    63'
    Substitution: A. PuigmalAlmeria · Out: Leo Baptistao
  9. 65'
    Yellow Card: S. El JebariMirandes
    Yellow Card: S. El Jebari
  10. Substitution: J. MorcilloOut: A. Embarba
    74'
    Substitution: J. MorcilloAlmeria · Out: A. Embarba
  11. 76'
    Substitution: T. TamaritMirandes · Out: H. Novoa Ramos
    Substitution: T. TamaritOut: H. Novoa Ramos
  12. 76'
    Substitution: P. PerezMirandes · Out: S. El Jebari
    Substitution: P. PerezOut: S. El Jebari
  13. 82'
    Substitution: J. Martinez LandaMirandes · Out: A. Houary
    Substitution: J. Martinez LandaOut: A. Houary
  14. Substitution: A. HortaOut: S. Arribas
    87'
    Substitution: A. HortaAlmeria · Out: S. Arribas
  15. Substitution: ThalysOut: M. de la Fuente
    87'
    Substitution: ThalysAlmeria · Out: M. de la Fuente
  16. 89'
    Yellow Card: JuanpaMirandes
    Yellow Card: Juanpa
  17. Penalty: J. Morcillo (Penalty)
    90+1'
    Penalty: J. Morcillo (Penalty)Almeria
  18. 90+2'
    Substitution: M. MalsaMirandes · Out: J. Hernandez
    Substitution: M. MalsaOut: J. Hernandez
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Adri Embarba vs Mirandes left-back: Embarba's dribbling and crossing will test the full-back's defensive discipline.
2Sergio Arribas vs Mirandes midfield pivot: Arribas' movement between lines could disrupt Mirandes' defensive shape.
3Carlos Fernández vs Almeria center-backs: Fernández's pace on the counter could exploit Almeria's high line.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Almeria

  • Strong attack (56% rating)
  • Excellent home record
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (conceded 2.4 avg)
  • Inconsistent clean sheets (0 in last 5)

Mirandes

  • Decent defensive organization (60% rating)
  • Recent draw streak shows resilience
  • Poor attack (44% rating)
  • Relegation form (19th place)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
60%
API-Football
45%
53%
Almeria523612

Moderate agreement on home win (53%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Almeria are strong favorites to win against Mirandes, backed by odds and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Almeria have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.0 goals scored but conceding 2.4. Mirandes have 1 win in 5 (WLDWD), scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6. Almeria's form is stronger, especially at home.

Key Factors: Almeria sit 3rd with 67 points, while Mirandes are 19th with 36 points, a 31-point gap. Head-to-head: Almeria have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, Mirandes 0. No significant injuries reported. Home advantage and superior attack (56% vs 44%) favor Almeria.

Conclusion: Almeria's quality, home form, and historical dominance make them clear favorites. Mirandes struggle away and are in relegation form. Expect a home win with goals.

Statistical ContextAlmeria

Combo Double chance : Almeria or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AlmeriaMirandes
61%Strength38%
56%Attacking Potential44%
40%Defensive Potential60%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
69%Goals H2H31%
61%Wins the Game38%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AlmeriaInjuries · MirandesLive scores →

Statistical Context

Almeria

WWLLW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cordoba0-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Cadiz3-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Sabadell1-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Tenerife1-0
  • WAug 17, 26H · Eldense3-0

Mirandes

LWDLW
  • LMay 31, 26A · Leganes1-0
  • WMay 24, 26H · Granada CF3-1
  • DMay 16, 26A · Real Sociedad II2-2
  • LMay 10, 26H · Eibar0-1
  • WApr 26, 26H · Cultural Leonesa2-1

Head to Head

6
Almeria
4
Draws
0
Mirandes
  • Jan 10, 26Mirandes – Almeria2-2
  • May 25, 25Mirandes – Almeria0-0
  • Dec 13, 24Almeria – Mirandes1-0
  • Feb 20, 22Almeria – Mirandes2-1
  • Oct 24, 21Mirandes – Almeria1-4

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

AlmeriaMirandes
Played541
Goals Scored847
Goals Conceded468
Avg Scored1.61.1
Avg Conceded0.81.7
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlmeriaMirandes
Over 2.5 Goals7/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/105/10
Clean Sheets2/102/10

Almeria vs Mirandes — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Almeria's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Mirandes, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Almeria are strong favorites to win against Mirandes, backed by odds and statistical models.

Form Analysis: Almeria have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.0 goals scored but conceding 2.4. Mirandes have 1 win in 5 (WLDWD), scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6. Almeria's form is stronger, especially at home.

Key Factors: Almeria sit 3rd with 67 points, while Mirandes are 19th with 36 points, a 31-point gap. Head-to-head: Almeria have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, Mirandes 0. No significant injuries reported. Home advantage and superior attack (56% vs 44%) favor Almeria.

Conclusion: Almeria's quality, home form, and historical dominance make them clear favorites. Mirandes struggle away and are in relegation form. Expect a home win with goals.

Win Probabilities: Almeria: 60% · Draw: 27% · Mirandes: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Almeria wins: 6 · Draws: 4 · Mirandes wins: 0

Form (latest first): Almeria: WWLLW · Mirandes: LWDLW

  • Adri Embarba vs Mirandes left-back: Embarba's dribbling and crossing will test the full-back's defensive discipline.
  • Sergio Arribas vs Mirandes midfield pivot: Arribas' movement between lines could disrupt Mirandes' defensive shape.
  • Carlos Fernández vs Almeria center-backs: Fernández's pace on the counter could exploit Almeria's high line.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Sep 1912:00
Mallorca
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
FC Andorra
Sep 1914:15
Sporting Gijon
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Castellón
Sep 1916:30
Tenerife
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eldense
Sep 1916:30
Eibar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cadiz
Sep 1919:00
Girona
14.5522%
X3.2331%
22.1347%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sabadell
Sep 2012:00
Oviedo
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2014:15
Valladolid
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Sep 2016:30
Burgos
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Almeria
Sep 2016:30
Celta de Vigo II
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Sep 2019:00
Granada CF
12.1347%
X3.0333%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Sep 2518:30
Albacete
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Sep 2612:00
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Sep 2614:15
FC Andorra
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Tenerife
Sep 2616:30
Cadiz
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Sep 2616:30
Sabadell
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%

Betting Tips

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