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  1. Home
  2. Segunda División
  3. Las Palmas vs Burgos

Las Palmas vs Burgos

Result • Segunda División·Las Palmas·Burgos

Segunda División
Segunda División
Sep 20, 2026
16:30
low Confidence
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.91
X3.10
23.90
Stadium
Gran Canaria
low Confidence
WINNER
Burgos

Burgos

Away
Odds
11.91
X3.10
23.90
Stadium
Gran Canaria
Win Probabilities
40%
Las Palmas
32%
Draw
28%
Burgos
Home1.9140%
Draw3.1032%
Away3.9028%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Las Palmas are narrow favourites at home, backed by superior form and a solid defence that has kept three clean sheets in five. The main risk is Burgos's strong head-to-head record, which includes two wins in the last five meetings.

Our AI model analyzes this Segunda División fixture between Las Palmas and Burgos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Las Palmas a 40% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Burgos a 28% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 54%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 54%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Manu Fuster
    29'
    Yellow Card: Manu FusterLas Palmas
  2. Yellow Card: Enzo Loiodice
    34'
    Yellow Card: Enzo LoiodiceLas Palmas
  3. Goal: Jesé RodríguezAssist: Manu Fuster
    37'
    Goal: Jesé RodríguezLas Palmas · Assist: Manu Fuster
  4. 45'
    Substitution: Álex ForésBurgos · Out: Curro
    Substitution: Álex ForésOut: Curro
  5. 45'
    Substitution: José GrageraBurgos · Out: Marcelo Expósito
    Substitution: José GrageraOut: Marcelo Expósito
  6. 56'
    Yellow Card: José GrageraBurgos
    Yellow Card: José Gragera
  7. 58'
    Goal: Álex ForésBurgos · Assist: Jon Karrikaburu
    Goal: Álex ForésAssist: Jon Karrikaburu
  8. Substitution: Rafael Cruz SuarezOut: Manu Fuster
    64'
    Substitution: Rafael Cruz SuarezLas Palmas · Out: Manu Fuster
  9. 67'
    Substitution: Ignasi Vilarrasa PalaciosBurgos · Out: Brais Martínez
    Substitution: Ignasi Vilarrasa PalaciosOut: Brais Martínez
  10. 67'
    Substitution: Victor MollejoBurgos · Out: Jon Karrikaburu
    Substitution: Victor MollejoOut: Jon Karrikaburu
  11. Substitution: Sandro RamírezOut: Taisei Miyashiro
    71'
    Substitution: Sandro RamírezLas Palmas · Out: Taisei Miyashiro
  12. Substitution: Jefte Betancor SanchezOut: Iván Jaime
    71'
    Substitution: Jefte Betancor SanchezLas Palmas · Out: Iván Jaime
  13. 73'
    Yellow Card: Oier Luengo RedondoBurgos
    Yellow Card: Oier Luengo Redondo
  14. 75'
    Substitution: Iván MartínezBurgos · Out: Oier Luengo Redondo
    Substitution: Iván MartínezOut: Oier Luengo Redondo
  15. Substitution: Elías RomeroOut: Kirian Rodríguez
    80'
    Substitution: Elías RomeroLas Palmas · Out: Kirian Rodríguez
  16. Substitution: Ivan MedinaOut: Jesé Rodríguez
    80'
    Substitution: Ivan MedinaLas Palmas · Out: Jesé Rodríguez
  17. 87'
    Yellow Card: Grego SierraBurgos
    Yellow Card: Grego Sierra
  18. 90+4'
    Goal: David GonzalezBurgos · Assist: Javier Llabrés Exposito
    Goal: David GonzalezAssist: Javier Llabrés Exposito
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kirian Rodríguez vs José Gragera: The midfield duel will determine who controls the tempo; Rodríguez's creativity against Gragera's defensive work rate.
2Iván Jaime vs K. Appin: Jaime's dribbling and vision against Appin's defensive solidity on the flank could be decisive.
3Álex Forés vs Enrique Clemente: Forés's pace and movement will test Clemente's positioning and tackling in the defensive third.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Las Palmas

  • Excellent defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong home form: unbeaten in 2 home games (1W, 1D)
  • Struggled in head-to-head, no wins in last 5 vs Burgos
  • Attack has been moderate, averaging 1.4 goals per game

Burgos

  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches (WDD)
  • Strong head-to-head record: 2 wins and 4 draws in last 5 vs Las Palmas
  • Inconsistent attack: failed to score in 2 of last 5
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
39%
Draw253937

Models disagree significantly. Suggests draw (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Las Palmas enter this Segunda División clash as narrow favourites, with the market and their strong recent form pointing to a home win. The Canary Islanders sit fifth in the table and have won three of their last five, keeping three clean sheets in the process.

Form Analysis: Las Palmas have been solid at home, remaining unbeaten in their two home fixtures this season. Burgos, meanwhile, are on a three-match unbeaten run but have struggled for consistency, winning just twice in their last five. The visitors have failed to score in two of those five games, highlighting an attacking inconsistency that could prove costly against a disciplined Las Palmas defence.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily in Burgos's favour, with the away side winning two of the last five meetings and drawing four. However, Las Palmas's current momentum and home advantage cannot be ignored. The weather is expected to be sunny and mild, with minimal wind, conditions that should favour a passing game. Las Palmas's defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in five, gives them a platform to control the match.

Conclusion: While Burgos have historically had the upper hand in this fixture, Las Palmas's superior form, home advantage, and defensive resilience make them the most likely winners. The data suggests a tight contest, but the hosts should edge it.

Statistical ContextBurgos

Combo Double chance : draw or Burgos and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Las PalmasBurgos
44%Strength55%
47%Attacking Potential53%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
25%H2H Strength75%
50%Goals H2H100%
44%Wins the Game55%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Las PalmasInjuries · BurgosLive scores →

Statistical Context

Las Palmas

LDLWD
  • LOct 11, 26A · Mallorca3-1
  • DOct 4, 26H · Valladolid2-2
  • LSep 27, 26A · Eibar3-2
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cadiz0-1
  • DSep 4, 26H · Leganes0-0

Burgos

LLWWD
  • LOct 12, 26H · Granada CF0-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Almeria2-1
  • WSep 27, 26H · Eldense1-0
  • WSep 11, 26H · AD Ceuta FC3-1
  • DSep 6, 26A · Oviedo0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Girona9+615DDWWL
8Burgos9+214LLWWW
9Oviedo9+214WLWLW
10Granada CF9+114WWLLD
11Valladolid9+212WDWDL
12Tenerife9-212DLDLW
13Celta de Vigo II9-111WLDLL
14Eldense9-111WWLLW
15Las Palmas9-311LDLLW
16Leganes9-811LLLWL

Head to Head

0
Las Palmas
4
Draws
2
Burgos
  • Feb 7, 26Las Palmas – Burgos0-0
  • Sep 7, 25Burgos – Las Palmas0-0
  • Feb 6, 23Burgos – Las Palmas0-0
  • Nov 1, 22Las Palmas – Burgos0-2
  • Feb 13, 22Las Palmas – Burgos0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Las PalmasBurgos
Played89
Goals Scored1212
Goals Conceded1310
Avg Scored1.51.3
Avg Conceded1.61.1
Clean Sheets32

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Las PalmasBurgos
Over 2.5 Goals6/104/10
Both Teams Scored7/104/10
Clean Sheets2/103/10

Las Palmas vs Burgos — Match Analysis

Las Palmas are narrow favourites at home, backed by superior form and a solid defence that has kept three clean sheets in five. The main risk is Burgos's strong head-to-head record, which includes two wins in the last five meetings.

Las Palmas enter this Segunda División clash as narrow favourites, with the market and their strong recent form pointing to a home win. The Canary Islanders sit fifth in the table and have won three of their last five, keeping three clean sheets in the process.

Form Analysis: Las Palmas have been solid at home, remaining unbeaten in their two home fixtures this season. Burgos, meanwhile, are on a three-match unbeaten run but have struggled for consistency, winning just twice in their last five. The visitors have failed to score in two of those five games, highlighting an attacking inconsistency that could prove costly against a disciplined Las Palmas defence.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily in Burgos's favour, with the away side winning two of the last five meetings and drawing four. However, Las Palmas's current momentum and home advantage cannot be ignored. The weather is expected to be sunny and mild, with minimal wind, conditions that should favour a passing game. Las Palmas's defensive solidity, with three clean sheets in five, gives them a platform to control the match.

Conclusion: While Burgos have historically had the upper hand in this fixture, Las Palmas's superior form, home advantage, and defensive resilience make them the most likely winners. The data suggests a tight contest, but the hosts should edge it.

Win Probabilities: Las Palmas: 40% · Draw: 32% · Burgos: 28%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 54%

H2H: Las Palmas wins: 0 · Draws: 4 · Burgos wins: 2

Form (latest first): Las Palmas: LDLWD · Burgos: LLWWD

  • Kirian Rodríguez vs José Gragera: The midfield duel will determine who controls the tempo; Rodríguez's creativity against Gragera's defensive work rate.
  • Iván Jaime vs K. Appin: Jaime's dribbling and vision against Appin's defensive solidity on the flank could be decisive.
  • Álex Forés vs Enrique Clemente: Forés's pace and movement will test Clemente's positioning and tackling in the defensive third.

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Segunda División

Segunda División

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Real Sociedad II
Oct 1712:00
Almeria
14.3523%
X3.4529%
22.0848%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Eibar
Oct 1714:15
Mallorca
12.6338%
X3.3330%
23.1332%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Sporting Gijon
Oct 1716:30
Albacete
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Oct 1719:00
Castellón
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
AD Ceuta FC
Oct 1812:00
Oviedo
14.1724%
X3.0333%
22.3343%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Oct 1814:15
Cadiz
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Oct 1816:30
FC Andorra
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Valladolid
Oct 1816:30
Eldense
12.0848%
X3.2331%
24.7621%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Burgos
Oct 1819:00
Sabadell
12.4441%
X2.8635%
24.1724%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Celta de Vigo II
Oct 1918:30
Tenerife
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Granada CF
Oct 2318:30
Valladolid
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Cordoba
Oct 2412:00
Eibar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Leganes
Oct 2414:15
Mallorca
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Las Palmas
Oct 2416:30
Real Sociedad II
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Segunda DivisiónSpain
Girona
Oct 2416:30
Celta de Vigo II
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%

Betting Tips

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