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  1. Home
  2. Super League
  3. FC Sion vs FC Lugano

FC Sion vs FC Lugano

Result • Super League·FC Sion·FC Lugano

Super League
Super League
Aug 30, 2026
12:00
medium Confidence
FC Sion

FC Sion

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.20
X3.60
23.00
Stadium
Stade de Tourbillon
medium Confidence
WINNER
FC Lugano

FC Lugano

Away
Odds
12.20
X3.60
23.00
Stadium
Stade de Tourbillon
Win Probabilities
41%
FC Sion
27%
Draw
32%
FC Lugano
Home2.2041%
Draw3.6027%
Away3.0032%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

FC Lugano are the clear favourites based on their superior form and attacking prowess, but FC Sion's strong home record and balanced head-to-head history suggest a narrow edge for the visitors. The main risk is Sion's home advantage, which could level the contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League fixture between FC Sion and FC Lugano using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Sion a 41% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and FC Lugano a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 80%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 80%

Match Events

  1. 3'
    Goal: D. MoncadaFC Lugano · Assist: A. Grgic
    Goal: D. MoncadaAssist: A. Grgic
  2. 28'
    Yellow Card: M. ZanottiFC Lugano
    Yellow Card: M. Zanotti
  3. 46'
    Substitution: R. SteffenFC Lugano · Out: D. Moncada
    Substitution: R. SteffenOut: D. Moncada
  4. 46'
    Substitution: U. BislimiFC Lugano · Out: D. Dos Santos
    Substitution: U. BislimiOut: D. Dos Santos
  5. Goal: W. BoteliAssist: Baltazar
    55'
    Goal: W. BoteliFC Sion · Assist: Baltazar
  6. Substitution: J. LukembilaOut: F. Sylla
    68'
    Substitution: J. LukembilaFC Sion · Out: F. Sylla
  7. Substitution: R. NivokaziOut: D. Rrudhani
    69'
    Substitution: R. NivokaziFC Sion · Out: D. Rrudhani
  8. 75'
    Substitution: B. D. Castro EspinosaFC Lugano · Out: E. Pihlstrom
    Substitution: B. D. Castro EspinosaOut: E. Pihlstrom
  9. 75'
    Substitution: B. KarimovFC Lugano · Out: M. Zanotti
    Substitution: B. KarimovOut: M. Zanotti
  10. Substitution: L. ChipperfieldOut: W. Boteli
    77'
    Substitution: L. ChipperfieldFC Sion · Out: W. Boteli
  11. Substitution: B. KololliOut: T. Berdayes
    77'
    Substitution: B. KololliFC Sion · Out: T. Berdayes
  12. 78'
    Substitution: D. KelvinFC Lugano · Out: L. Mai
    Substitution: D. KelvinOut: L. Mai
  13. 79'
    Goal: B. D. Castro EspinosaFC Lugano · Assist: A. Kendouci
    Goal: B. D. Castro EspinosaAssist: A. Kendouci
  14. 87'
    Yellow Card: U. BislimiFC Lugano
    Yellow Card: U. Bislimi
  15. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: B. KarimovFC Lugano
    Yellow Card: B. Karimov
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Anthony Racioppi vs Dereck Moncada: Racioppi's shot-stopping will be tested by Moncada's clinical finishing, a key duel in determining the outcome.
2Baltazar vs Lars Lukas Mai: Baltazar's physical presence and movement will challenge Mai's defensive positioning, potentially creating chances for Sion.
3Winsley Boteli Mokango vs Joel Bichsel: Boteli's pace and directness could exploit gaps left by Bichsel, making this a crucial battle on the flanks.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Sion

  • Strong home record with two wins from two home games
  • Decent attacking output, averaging 3.2 goals per game
  • Current two-match losing streak
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.6 goals per game

FC Lugano

  • Excellent recent form with three consecutive wins
  • High-scoring attack, averaging 4.0 goals per game
  • Slightly weaker head-to-head record against Sion
  • Potential complacency after a strong run

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
45%
39%
FC Lugano263639

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, FC Lugano enters this match as the clear favourite, with superior recent form and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, FC Sion's strong home record and historical head-to-head edge suggest a competitive contest.

Form Analysis: FC Lugano are in outstanding form, winning all of their last three matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 4, with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak. In contrast, FC Sion have won two of their last three but are currently on a two-match losing streak, having conceded 6 goals in that period. Lugano's attacking output (4.0 goals per game) and defensive solidity (1.0 conceded per game) far exceed Sion's (3.2 scored, 2.6 conceded).

Key Factors: 1) FC Lugano's superior form and momentum, with a five-match unbeaten run and three consecutive wins. 2) FC Sion's home advantage, having won both home games this season, which could offset some of Lugano's edge. 3) The head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with both teams winning two of the last five meetings, suggesting no psychological dominance.

Conclusion: While FC Lugano are the stronger side on paper, FC Sion's home strength and the tight head-to-head history make this a closely contested match. The data suggests a narrow edge for the away side, but a draw or a home win are both plausible outcomes.

Statistical ContextFC Lugano

Combo Double chance : draw or FC Lugano and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC SionFC Lugano
45%Strength54%
42%Attacking Potential58%
25%Defensive Potential75%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
63%Goals H2H38%
45%Wins the Game54%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FC SionInjuries · FC Lugano

Statistical Context

FC Sion

WWWWL
  • WSep 15, 26A · Grasshoppers2-5
  • WSep 12, 26A · FC ST. Gallen0-3
  • WSep 6, 26H · FC Thun3-2
  • WSep 3, 26A · FC Basel 18931-2
  • LAug 27, 26A · Ajax5-3

FC Lugano

DWWDW
  • DSep 12, 26H · BSC Young Boys2-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · FC Basel 18931-3
  • WSep 3, 26H · Servette FC1-0
  • DAug 27, 26A · Maccabi Tel Aviv1-1
  • WAug 20, 26H · Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1FC Lugano7+1319DWWWW
2BSC Young Boys8+1216DDWDW
3FC Sion7+615WWWLW
4FC Basel 18938+213WLLDW

Head to Head

2
FC Sion
4
Draws
4
FC Lugano
  • May 14, 26FC Sion – FC Lugano2-2
  • Mar 4, 26FC Lugano – FC Sion2-1
  • Nov 29, 25FC Lugano – FC Sion1-1
  • Aug 3, 25FC Sion – FC Lugano4-0
  • Mar 9, 25FC Sion – FC Lugano2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FC SionFC Lugano
Played76
Goals Scored1717
Goals Conceded114
Avg Scored2.42.8
Avg Conceded1.60.7
Clean Sheets22

FC Sion vs FC Lugano — Match Analysis

FC Lugano are the clear favourites based on their superior form and attacking prowess, but FC Sion's strong home record and balanced head-to-head history suggest a narrow edge for the visitors. The main risk is Sion's home advantage, which could level the contest.

Based on the data, FC Lugano enters this match as the clear favourite, with superior recent form and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, FC Sion's strong home record and historical head-to-head edge suggest a competitive contest.

Form Analysis: FC Lugano are in outstanding form, winning all of their last three matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 4, with an 80% win rate and a five-match unbeaten streak. In contrast, FC Sion have won two of their last three but are currently on a two-match losing streak, having conceded 6 goals in that period. Lugano's attacking output (4.0 goals per game) and defensive solidity (1.0 conceded per game) far exceed Sion's (3.2 scored, 2.6 conceded).

Key Factors: 1) FC Lugano's superior form and momentum, with a five-match unbeaten run and three consecutive wins. 2) FC Sion's home advantage, having won both home games this season, which could offset some of Lugano's edge. 3) The head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with both teams winning two of the last five meetings, suggesting no psychological dominance.

Conclusion: While FC Lugano are the stronger side on paper, FC Sion's home strength and the tight head-to-head history make this a closely contested match. The data suggests a narrow edge for the away side, but a draw or a home win are both plausible outcomes.

Win Probabilities: FC Sion: 41% · Draw: 27% · FC Lugano: 32%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 82% · Under 2.5: 18% · BTTS: 80%

H2H: FC Sion wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · FC Lugano wins: 4

Form (latest first): FC Sion: WWWWL · FC Lugano: DWWDW

  • Anthony Racioppi vs Dereck Moncada: Racioppi's shot-stopping will be tested by Moncada's clinical finishing, a key duel in determining the outcome.
  • Baltazar vs Lars Lukas Mai: Baltazar's physical presence and movement will challenge Mai's defensive positioning, potentially creating chances for Sion.
  • Winsley Boteli Mokango vs Joel Bichsel: Boteli's pace and directness could exploit gaps left by Bichsel, making this a crucial battle on the flanks.

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Super League

Super League

Switzerland14 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Lugano
Sep 1617:00
FC ST. Gallen
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Thun
Sep 1617:00
Servette FC
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
BSC Young Boys
Sep 1916:00
Servette FC
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Luzern
Sep 1916:00
Grasshoppers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Sion
Sep 1918:30
FC Zurich
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Vaduz
Sep 2012:00
FC Thun
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Basel 1893
Sep 2014:30
FC ST. Gallen
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Lausanne
Sep 2014:30
FC Lugano
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Zurich
Oct 1016:00
FC Thun
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Servette FC
Oct 1016:00
FC Sion
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Lugano
Oct 1018:30
FC Luzern
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Grasshoppers
Oct 1112:00
BSC Young Boys
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Vaduz
Oct 1114:30
FC Basel 1893
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC ST. Gallen
Oct 1114:30
Lausanne
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%

Betting Tips

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