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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Super League
  3. FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern

FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern

Result • Super League·FC Winterthur·FC Luzern

Super League
Super League
May 16, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur

Home
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.80
X4.20
21.80
Stadium
Stadion Schützenwiese
high Confidence
WINNER
FC Luzern

FC Luzern

Away
Odds
13.80
X4.20
21.80
Stadium
Stadion Schützenwiese
Win Probabilities
25%
FC Winterthur
30%
Draw
45%
FC Luzern
Home3.8025%
Draw4.2030%
Away1.8045%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Luzern's momentum overwhelming Winterthur's fragile defense. A 1-2 away victory is written in the stars.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League fixture between FC Winterthur and FC Luzern using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Winterthur a 25% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and FC Luzern a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Yellow Card: A. BajramiFC Luzern
    Yellow Card: A. Bajrami
  2. 39'
    Goal: O. KabwitFC Luzern · Assist: R. Dantas
    Goal: O. KabwitAssist: R. Dantas
  3. Red Card: T. Citherlet
    45+1'
    Red Card: T. CitherletFC Winterthur
  4. 45+2'
    Missed penalty: M. Di GiustoFC Luzern · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: M. Di GiustoMissed penalty
  5. Substitution: A. HunzikerOut: L. Maksutaj
    46'
    Substitution: A. HunzikerFC Winterthur · Out: L. Maksutaj
  6. 54'
    Goal: P. DornFC Luzern · Assist: A. Vasovic
    Goal: P. DornAssist: A. Vasovic
  7. Substitution: E. MaluvunuOut: R. Buess
    57'
    Substitution: E. MaluvunuFC Winterthur · Out: R. Buess
  8. Substitution: N. BurkartOut: E. Essiam
    57'
    Substitution: N. BurkartFC Winterthur · Out: E. Essiam
  9. 62'
    Substitution: S. KarweinaFC Luzern · Out: M. Di Giusto
    Substitution: S. KarweinaOut: M. Di Giusto
  10. 62'
    Substitution: K. SpadanudaFC Luzern · Out: L. M. Silva Ferreira
    Substitution: K. SpadanudaOut: L. M. Silva Ferreira
  11. 68'
    Goal: O. KabwitFC Luzern
    Goal: O. Kabwit
  12. Substitution: P. KasamiOut: L. Zuffi
    73'
    Substitution: P. KasamiFC Winterthur · Out: L. Zuffi
  13. 73'
    Substitution: J. Von MoosFC Luzern · Out: O. Kabwit
    Substitution: J. Von MoosOut: O. Kabwit
  14. 73'
    Substitution: L. VilligerFC Luzern · Out: A. Vasovic
    Substitution: L. VilligerOut: A. Vasovic
  15. 79'
    Substitution: L. WinklerFC Luzern · Out: T. Abe
    Substitution: L. WinklerOut: T. Abe
  16. Substitution: D. UlrichOut: F. Rohner
    82'
    Substitution: D. UlrichFC Winterthur · Out: F. Rohner
  17. 84'
    Yellow Card: S. KnezevicFC Luzern
    Yellow Card: S. Knezevic
  18. Yellow Card: S. Cueni
    89'
    Yellow Card: S. CueniFC Winterthur
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Hunziker vs Luzern defense: Winterthur's top scorer faces a defense that concedes 1.4 goals per game.
2M. Di Giusto vs Winterthur midfield: Luzern's playmaker will test Winterthur's defensive midfield.
3Lucas Ferreira vs Winterthur backline: The forward's movement could exploit gaps.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Winterthur

  • Set pieces
  • Counter-attacking
  • Defensive organization
  • Conceding goals

FC Luzern

  • Attacking creativity
  • Midfield control
  • Defensive lapses
  • Away consistency

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
FC Luzern183845

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

FC Luzern is favored to win based on superior form, higher league position, and stronger attacking statistics.

Form Analysis: FC Luzern is unbeaten in 5 matches (WDWWD), while FC Winterthur has lost 4 of their last 5 (LWDLL). Luzern averages 2.2 goals scored per game compared to Winterthur's 1.8, and concedes only 1.4 versus 2.6.

Key Factors: (1) Luzern's momentum with a 5-match unbeaten streak vs Winterthur's 1-match losing streak. (2) Luzern's attack (55% rating) and defense (65%) both rated higher than Winterthur's. (3) H2H history favors Luzern with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to an away win, with Luzern's form and statistical advantages outweighing Winterthur's home advantage.

Statistical ContextFC Luzern

Combo Double chance : draw or FC Luzern and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
38%Strength61%
45%Attacking Potential55%
35%Defensive Potential65%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
45%Goals H2H55%
38%Wins the Game61%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FC WinterthurInjuries · FC Luzern

Statistical Context

FC Winterthur

LWDLL
  • LMay 12, 26A · Grasshoppers3-2
  • WMay 9, 26H · Lausanne2-1
  • DMay 2, 26H · FC Zurich2-2
  • LApr 26, 26A · Servette FC5-3
  • LApr 11, 26H · Grasshoppers0-2

FC Luzern

LDWDW
  • LSep 13, 26H · FC Basel 18932-4
  • DSep 5, 26A · BSC Young Boys3-3
  • WSep 2, 26H · FC Vaduz2-1
  • DAug 29, 26A · Servette FC1-1
  • WAug 22, 26H · Lausanne1-0

Head to Head

5
FC Winterthur
2
Draws
3
FC Luzern
  • Mar 15, 26FC Luzern – FC Winterthur1-2
  • Nov 29, 25FC Luzern – FC Winterthur1-3
  • Oct 25, 25FC Winterthur – FC Luzern2-2
  • Feb 9, 25FC Luzern – FC Winterthur3-2
  • Jan 11, 25FC Winterthur – FC Luzern1-5

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

FC WinterthurFC Luzern
Played377
Goals Scored4410
Goals Conceded9713
Avg Scored1.21.4
Avg Conceded2.61.9
Clean Sheets01

FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Luzern's momentum overwhelming Winterthur's fragile defense. A 1-2 away victory is written in the stars.

FC Luzern is favored to win based on superior form, higher league position, and stronger attacking statistics.

Form Analysis: FC Luzern is unbeaten in 5 matches (WDWWD), while FC Winterthur has lost 4 of their last 5 (LWDLL). Luzern averages 2.2 goals scored per game compared to Winterthur's 1.8, and concedes only 1.4 versus 2.6.

Key Factors: (1) Luzern's momentum with a 5-match unbeaten streak vs Winterthur's 1-match losing streak. (2) Luzern's attack (55% rating) and defense (65%) both rated higher than Winterthur's. (3) H2H history favors Luzern with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to an away win, with Luzern's form and statistical advantages outweighing Winterthur's home advantage.

Win Probabilities: FC Winterthur: 25% · Draw: 30% · FC Luzern: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: FC Winterthur wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · FC Luzern wins: 3

Form (latest first): FC Winterthur: LWDLL · FC Luzern: LDWDW

  • A. Hunziker vs Luzern defense: Winterthur's top scorer faces a defense that concedes 1.4 goals per game.
  • M. Di Giusto vs Winterthur midfield: Luzern's playmaker will test Winterthur's defensive midfield.
  • Lucas Ferreira vs Winterthur backline: The forward's movement could exploit gaps.

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Super League

Super League

Switzerland14 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Lugano
Sep 1617:00
FC ST. Gallen
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Thun
Sep 1617:00
Servette FC
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
BSC Young Boys
Sep 1916:00
Servette FC
12.0050%
X3.5728%
24.5522%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Luzern
Sep 1916:00
Grasshoppers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Sion
Sep 1918:30
FC Zurich
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Vaduz
Sep 2012:00
FC Thun
12.8635%
X4.0025%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Basel 1893
Sep 2014:30
FC ST. Gallen
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Lausanne
Sep 2014:30
FC Lugano
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Zurich
Oct 1016:00
FC Thun
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Servette FC
Oct 1016:00
FC Sion
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Lugano
Oct 1018:30
FC Luzern
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
Grasshoppers
Oct 1112:00
BSC Young Boys
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC Vaduz
Oct 1114:30
FC Basel 1893
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Super LeagueSwitzerland
FC ST. Gallen
Oct 1114:30
Lausanne
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%

Betting Tips

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