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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. 1. Lig
  3. Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor

Result • 1. Lig·Manisa F.K.·Muğlaspor

1. Lig
1. Lig
Oct 19, 2026
14:00
low Confidence
Manisa F.K.

Manisa F.K.

Home
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-4
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.30
X3.30
22.80
Stadium
Manisa 19 Mayis
low Confidence
WINNER
Muğlaspor

Muğlaspor

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.30
22.80
Stadium
Manisa 19 Mayis
Win Probabilities
40%
Manisa F.K.
28%
Draw
32%
Muğlaspor
Home2.3040%
Draw3.3028%
Away2.8032%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

Manisa F.K. are favored at 40% to win at home against Muğlaspor. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this 1. Lig fixture between Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Manisa F.K. a 40% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Muğlaspor a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Goal: İ. FuratMuğlaspor
    Goal: İ. Furat
  2. 12'
    Goal: Ibrahim SissokoMuğlaspor · Assist: Daniel Avramovski
    Goal: Ibrahim SissokoAssist: Daniel Avramovski
  3. 32'
    Missed penalty: Ibrahim SissokoMuğlaspor · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: Ibrahim SissokoMissed penalty
  4. 32'
    Goal: Mamady·DiarraMuğlaspor
    Goal: Mamady·Diarra
  5. Substitution: Noha LeminaOut: Osman Kahraman
    33'
    Substitution: Noha LeminaManisa F.K. · Out: Osman Kahraman
  6. Penalty: Julien Anziani (Penalty)
    40'
    Penalty: Julien Anziani (Penalty)Manisa F.K.
  7. Goal: Yassine Benrahou
    45+2'
    Goal: Yassine BenrahouManisa F.K.
  8. Yellow Card: Yassine Benrahou
    56'
    Yellow Card: Yassine BenrahouManisa F.K.
  9. 56'
    Yellow Card: Yiğit FidanMuğlaspor
    Yellow Card: Yiğit Fidan
  10. Substitution: Firat İnalOut: K. Yurdakul
    59'
    Substitution: Firat İnalManisa F.K. · Out: K. Yurdakul
  11. Substitution: Jonathan LindsethOut: Birama Toure
    60'
    Substitution: Jonathan LindsethManisa F.K. · Out: Birama Toure
  12. 62'
    Substitution: Ali·BarakMuğlaspor · Out: Oguzhan Matur
    Substitution: Ali·BarakOut: Oguzhan Matur
  13. 62'
    Substitution: Korede OsundinaMuğlaspor · Out: İ. Furat
    Substitution: Korede OsundinaOut: İ. Furat
  14. 73'
    Substitution: Poyraz YildirimMuğlaspor · Out: Ibrahim Sissoko
    Substitution: Poyraz YildirimOut: Ibrahim Sissoko
  15. 73'
    Substitution: Bilal CeylanMuğlaspor · Out: Ahmet Engin
    Substitution: Bilal CeylanOut: Ahmet Engin
  16. 82'
    Substitution: Orhan NahirciMuğlaspor · Out: Buluthan Bulut
    Substitution: Orhan NahirciOut: Buluthan Bulut
  17. Yellow Card: Christophe Herelle
    83'
    Yellow Card: Christophe HerelleManisa F.K.
  18. 84'
    Goal: Daniel AvramovskiMuğlaspor · Assist: Mamady·Diarra
    Goal: Daniel AvramovskiAssist: Mamady·Diarra
  19. 86'
    Red Card: Luis MagoMuğlaspor
    Red Card: Luis Mago
  20. 86'
    Yellow Card: Daniel AvramovskiMuğlaspor
    Yellow Card: Daniel Avramovski
  21. Penalty: Julien Anziani (Penalty)
    89'
    Penalty: Julien Anziani (Penalty)Manisa F.K.
  22. 90+2'
    Missed penalty: Ali Kaan GunerenMuğlaspor · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: Ali Kaan GunerenMissed penalty
  23. 90+8'
    Yellow Card: Mamady·DiarraMuğlaspor
    Yellow Card: Mamady·Diarra
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Y. Benrahou vs D. Camaj: Benrahou's creativity in midfield will be crucial against Camaj's defensive work rate.
2N. Lemina vs M. Diarra: Lemina's experience in the center will be tested by Diarra's energy and pressing.
3C. Hérelle vs D. Avramovski: Hérelle's defensive leadership must contain Avramovski's attacking threat from midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Manisa F.K.

  • Modest home advantage
  • Better defensive record than opponent
  • Poor recent form (DLLDL)
  • Low scoring rate (1.0 goals per game)

Muğlaspor

  • Better attacking output (1.2 goals per game)
  • Head-to-head advantage
  • Leaky defense (1.8 goals conceded per game)
  • Winless in last five (LDDDD)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
39%
Muğlaspor253739

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor meet at Manisa 19 Mayis in a tightly matched 1. Lig encounter. The market gives the hosts a narrow edge, but the statistical model leans toward a draw or an away win, creating a split signal. With both sides struggling for form, a close contest is expected.

Form Analysis: Manisa have taken just one point from their last five (DLLDL), scoring only one goal per game on average and conceding 1.6. Muğlaspor's form is similarly poor (LDDDD), with a slightly better attacking output (1.2 goals per game) but a leakier defense (1.8 conceded). Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last five, suggesting goals are likely.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record shows Muğlaspor won the only previous meeting, giving them a psychological boost. Home advantage is modest for Manisa, who have won just once in five home games (1W-2D-2L). The weather is neutral, so no impact is expected. Injuries are not a factor, as both squads appear to have no significant absences.

Conclusion: The data points to a balanced match with a slight home edge, but the model's preference for a draw or away win introduces uncertainty. A narrow home victory or a draw are the most plausible outcomes, with goals at both ends a strong possibility.

Statistical ContextMuğlaspor

Double chance : draw or Muğlaspor

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
47%Strength52%
45%Attacking Potential55%
53%Defensive Potential47%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
50%Goals H2H100%
47%Wins the Game52%

More information

1. Lig predicted line-ups: Gameweek 159/10Head-to-headManisa F.K. – MuğlasporInjuriesManisa F.K.InjuriesMuğlasporLive scores

Statistical Context

Manisa F.K.

LWLDL
  • LNov 7, 26A · Keçiörengücü1-0
  • WOct 31, 26H · Batman Petrolspor2-1
  • LOct 26, 26A · Mardin 19692-1
  • DOct 15, 26H · Esenler Erokspor1-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Kayserispor3-2

Muğlaspor

LLWLD
  • LNov 7, 26H · Esenler Erokspor0-5
  • LNov 2, 26A · Kayserispor6-0
  • WOct 24, 26H · İstanbulspor5-0
  • LOct 15, 26H · Bursaspor0-3
  • DOct 11, 26A · Fatih Karagümrük1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
10Esenler Erokspor14+218WWLWD
11Muğlaspor14-718LLWWL
12Ümraniyespor13+417WDWW
13Sarıyer14-417DLLDL
14Vanspor FK14-616WWWLW
15Bandırmaspor14014LLLLD
16Pendikspor14-1014LWDLL
17Manisa F.K.14-313LWLLD
18Sivasspor14-613LLLDD

Head to Head

0
Manisa F.K.
0
Draws
1
Muğlaspor
  • Oct 29, 25Manisa F.K. – Muğlaspor0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
Played1313
Goals Scored2118
Goals Conceded2320
Avg Scored1.61.4
Avg Conceded1.81.5
Clean Sheets15

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor — Match Analysis

Manisa F.K. are favored at 40% to win at home against Muğlaspor. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor meet at Manisa 19 Mayis in a tightly matched 1. Lig encounter. The market gives the hosts a narrow edge, but the statistical model leans toward a draw or an away win, creating a split signal. With both sides struggling for form, a close contest is expected.

Form Analysis: Manisa have taken just one point from their last five (DLLDL), scoring only one goal per game on average and conceding 1.6. Muğlaspor's form is similarly poor (LDDDD), with a slightly better attacking output (1.2 goals per game) but a leakier defense (1.8 conceded). Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last five, suggesting goals are likely.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record shows Muğlaspor won the only previous meeting, giving them a psychological boost. Home advantage is modest for Manisa, who have won just once in five home games (1W-2D-2L). The weather is neutral, so no impact is expected. Injuries are not a factor, as both squads appear to have no significant absences.

Conclusion: The data points to a balanced match with a slight home edge, but the model's preference for a draw or away win introduces uncertainty. A narrow home victory or a draw are the most plausible outcomes, with goals at both ends a strong possibility.

Win Probabilities: Manisa F.K.: 40% · Draw: 28% · Muğlaspor: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 57%

H2H: Manisa F.K. wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Muğlaspor wins: 1

Form (latest first): Manisa F.K.: LWLDL · Muğlaspor: LLWLD

  • Y. Benrahou vs D. Camaj: Benrahou's creativity in midfield will be crucial against Camaj's defensive work rate.
  • N. Lemina vs M. Diarra: Lemina's experience in the center will be tested by Diarra's energy and pressing.
  • C. Hérelle vs D. Avramovski: Hérelle's defensive leadership must contain Avramovski's attacking threat from midfield.

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1. Lig

1. Lig

Turkey15 · Upcoming Fixtures
1. LigTurkey
Iğdır FK
Nov 2017:00
Ümraniyespor
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
1. LigTurkey
İstanbulspor
Nov 2110:30
Keçiörengücü
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
1. LigTurkey
Mardin 1969
Nov 2110:30
Bandırmaspor
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
1. LigTurkey
Kayserispor
Nov 2113:00
Sarıyer
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
1. LigTurkey
Fatih Karagümrük
Nov 2116:00
Boluspor
Early projection
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%
1. LigTurkey
Batman Petrolspor
Nov 2210:30
Muğlaspor
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
1. LigTurkey
Manisa F.K.
Nov 2213:00
Pendikspor
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
1. LigTurkey
Esenler Erokspor
Nov 2213:00
Antalyaspor
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
1. LigTurkey
Bursaspor
Nov 2216:00
Sivasspor
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
1. LigTurkey
Bodrum FK
Nov 2317:00
Vanspor FK
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
1. LigTurkey
Sivasspor
Nov 2917:00
Bodrum FK
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
1. LigTurkey
Antalyaspor
Nov 2917:00
Fatih Karagümrük
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
1. LigTurkey
Boluspor
Nov 2917:00
Esenler Erokspor
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
1. LigTurkey
Ümraniyespor
Nov 2917:00
Manisa F.K.
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
1. LigTurkey
Bandırmaspor
Nov 2917:00
Batman Petrolspor
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%

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