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  1. Home
  2. Süper Lig
  3. Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor

Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor

Result • Süper Lig·Alanyaspor·Samsunspor

Süper Lig
Süper Lig
Apr 27, 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.60
X3.10
22.88
Stadium
Alanya Oba Stadium
medium Confidence
WINNER
Samsunspor

Samsunspor

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.10
22.88
Stadium
Alanya Oba Stadium
Win Probabilities
35%
Alanyaspor
33%
Draw
32%
Samsunspor
Home2.6035%
Draw3.1033%
Away2.8832%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Alanyaspor's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Samsunspor, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Süper Lig fixture between Alanyaspor and Samsunspor using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Alanyaspor a 35% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Samsunspor a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 17'
    Yellow Card: E. TavsanSamsunspor
    Yellow Card: E. Tavsan
  2. Yellow Card: S. Mounie
    23'
    Yellow Card: S. MounieAlanyaspor
  3. 37'
    Goal: E. TavsanSamsunspor · Assist: A. B. Diabbate
    Goal: E. TavsanAssist: A. B. Diabbate
  4. 39'
    Goal: O. NtchamSamsunspor · Assist: Marius
    Goal: O. NtchamAssist: Marius
  5. 45'
    Yellow Card: A. B. DiabbateSamsunspor
    Yellow Card: A. B. Diabbate
  6. Substitution: M. EliaOut: I. Kaya
    46'
    Substitution: M. EliaAlanyaspor · Out: I. Kaya
  7. Substitution: B. MogultayOut: U. Akdag
    46'
    Substitution: B. MogultayAlanyaspor · Out: U. Akdag
  8. Yellow Card: N. Lima
    48'
    Yellow Card: N. LimaAlanyaspor
  9. 57'
    Substitution: L. SatkaSamsunspor · Out: Y. E. Cift
    Substitution: L. SatkaOut: Y. E. Cift
  10. 57'
    Substitution: R. Van DrongelenSamsunspor · Out: A. B. Diabbate
    Substitution: R. Van DrongelenOut: A. B. Diabbate
  11. Substitution: G. YalcinOut: S. Mounie
    68'
    Substitution: G. YalcinAlanyaspor · Out: S. Mounie
  12. Substitution: I. CelikOut: F. Aksoy
    69'
    Substitution: I. CelikAlanyaspor · Out: F. Aksoy
  13. 72'
    Substitution: A. MakoumbouSamsunspor · Out: O. Ntcham
    Substitution: A. MakoumbouOut: O. Ntcham
  14. Substitution: G. MakoutaOut: Maestro
    87'
    Substitution: G. MakoutaAlanyaspor · Out: Maestro
  15. Substitution: E. KeskinOut: Hwang Ui-Jo
    87'
    Substitution: E. KeskinAlanyaspor · Out: Hwang Ui-Jo
  16. 89'
    Yellow Card: S. GonulSamsunspor
    Yellow Card: S. Gonul
  17. 90'
    Substitution: T. CoulibalySamsunspor · Out: E. Tavsan
    Substitution: T. CoulibalyOut: E. Tavsan
  18. 90'
    Substitution: E. AlbakSamsunspor · Out: J. Mendes
    Substitution: E. AlbakOut: J. Mendes
  19. 90+1'
    Goal: MariusSamsunspor · Assist: C. Holse
    Goal: MariusAssist: C. Holse
  20. Goal: G. Yalcin
    90+6'
    Goal: G. YalcinAlanyaspor
  21. Goal: M. EliaAssist: Ruan
    90+7'
    Goal: M. EliaAlanyaspor · Assist: Ruan
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Alanyaspor defense vs C. Holse: Holse's pace and finishing will test the home backline.
2Midfield battle: Alanyaspor's midfield vs Samsunspor's double pivot will be crucial for control.
3Set pieces: Both teams have similar aerial threats; defending set pieces could decide the match.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Alanyaspor

  • Defensive organization (64% defense rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Recent poor form (2 losses)
  • Struggling to score (failed to score in 2 of last 5)

Samsunspor

  • Excellent recent form (2 wins)
  • Strong attack (1.6 avg goals scored)
  • Weak defense (36% rating, 1.6 avg conceded)
  • Multiple doubtful players (5)

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
35%
35%
Alanyaspor353431

Moderate agreement on home win (35%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, the match is highly balanced with a slight edge to Alanyaspor due to home advantage and defensive solidity, but Samsunspor's superior recent form and attacking threat make it a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Alanyaspor (LDDWD) is struggling with 2 consecutive losses and has failed to score in 2 of the last 5 games, while Samsunspor (WWLDW) is on a 2-win streak and has scored in 4 of the last 5. However, Alanyaspor's defense is stronger (conceding 1.2 avg vs 1.6) and they have a better defensive rating (64% vs 36%).

Key Factors: 1) Samsunspor has 5 doubtful players, including key attackers like Ntcham and Ceesay, which could weaken their attack. 2) Alanyaspor has a strong home record and a 3-4-3 formation that can be solid defensively. 3) Head-to-head is even (3 wins each, 3 draws in last 10), but Samsunspor won the last meeting.

Conclusion: The match is too close to call with confidence. Alanyaspor's home advantage and defensive strength slightly offset Samsunspor's form and attacking potential. A draw is a very likely outcome given the balanced odds and similar overall strength.

Statistical ContextAlanyaspor

Double chance : Alanyaspor or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AlanyasporSamsunspor
50%Strength49%
50%Attacking Potential50%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
45%Goals H2H55%
50%Wins the Game49%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AlanyasporInjuries · SamsunsporLive scores →

Statistical Context

Alanyaspor

WDWLW
  • WSep 19, 26A · Çorum FK1-2
  • DSep 12, 26H · Göztepe2-2
  • WSep 7, 26A · Rizespor0-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Eyüpspor2-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Beşiktaş1-0

Samsunspor

LLLLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Erzurumspor FK1-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Çorum FK1-5
  • LSep 6, 26A · Kocaelispor1-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Fenerbahçe0-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Rizespor0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Kocaelispor6+312WLWWW
5Alanyaspor6+211WDWLW
6Fenerbahçe6+1010WDLWW
15Konyaspor6-44DWLLL
16Samsunspor6-64LLLLW
17Göztepe6-43DDLLL

Head to Head

4
Alanyaspor
3
Draws
3
Samsunspor
  • Dec 1, 25Samsunspor – Alanyaspor1-1
  • Apr 21, 25Alanyaspor – Samsunspor1-0
  • Nov 24, 24Samsunspor – Alanyaspor1-1
  • May 18, 24Samsunspor – Alanyaspor1-1
  • Jan 17, 24Alanyaspor – Samsunspor1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

AlanyasporSamsunspor
Played55
Goals Scored66
Goals Conceded511
Avg Scored1.21.2
Avg Conceded1.02.2
Clean Sheets21

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AlanyasporSamsunspor
Over 2.5 Goals4/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/107/10
Clean Sheets3/103/10

Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Alanyaspor's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Samsunspor, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, the match is highly balanced with a slight edge to Alanyaspor due to home advantage and defensive solidity, but Samsunspor's superior recent form and attacking threat make it a tight contest.

Form Analysis: Alanyaspor (LDDWD) is struggling with 2 consecutive losses and has failed to score in 2 of the last 5 games, while Samsunspor (WWLDW) is on a 2-win streak and has scored in 4 of the last 5. However, Alanyaspor's defense is stronger (conceding 1.2 avg vs 1.6) and they have a better defensive rating (64% vs 36%).

Key Factors: 1) Samsunspor has 5 doubtful players, including key attackers like Ntcham and Ceesay, which could weaken their attack. 2) Alanyaspor has a strong home record and a 3-4-3 formation that can be solid defensively. 3) Head-to-head is even (3 wins each, 3 draws in last 10), but Samsunspor won the last meeting.

Conclusion: The match is too close to call with confidence. Alanyaspor's home advantage and defensive strength slightly offset Samsunspor's form and attacking potential. A draw is a very likely outcome given the balanced odds and similar overall strength.

Win Probabilities: Alanyaspor: 35% · Draw: 33% · Samsunspor: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Alanyaspor wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Samsunspor wins: 3

Form (latest first): Alanyaspor: WDWLW · Samsunspor: LLLLW

  • Alanyaspor defense vs C. Holse: Holse's pace and finishing will test the home backline.
  • Midfield battle: Alanyaspor's midfield vs Samsunspor's double pivot will be crucial for control.
  • Set pieces: Both teams have similar aerial threats; defending set pieces could decide the match.

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Süper Lig

Süper Lig

Turkey15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Süper LigTurkey
Galatasaray
Oct 917:00
Kasımpaşa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1010:30
Amed
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Süper LigTurkey
Alanyaspor
Oct 1013:00
Erzurumspor FK
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Süper LigTurkey
Samsunspor
Oct 1013:00
Trabzonspor
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Süper LigTurkey
Rizespor
Oct 1016:00
Fenerbahçe
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Süper LigTurkey
Konyaspor
Oct 1110:30
Başakşehir
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Süper LigTurkey
Gaziantep FK
Oct 1113:00
Çorum FK
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Beşiktaş
Oct 1116:00
Kocaelispor
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Süper LigTurkey
Eyüpspor
Oct 1217:00
Göztepe
Early projection
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Süper LigTurkey
Çorum FK
Oct 1617:00
Rizespor
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Süper LigTurkey
Erzurumspor FK
Oct 1710:30
Eyüpspor
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1713:00
Galatasaray
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.2619%
21.5963%
Süper LigTurkey
Amed
Oct 1713:00
Konyaspor
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Süper LigTurkey
Fenerbahçe
Oct 1716:00
Alanyaspor
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Süper LigTurkey
Kasımpaşa
Oct 1810:30
Samsunspor
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%

Betting Tips

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