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  1. Home
  2. Süper Lig
  3. Samsunspor vs Galatasaray

Samsunspor vs Galatasaray

Result • Süper Lig·Samsunspor·Galatasaray

Süper Lig
Süper Lig
May 2, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Samsunspor

Samsunspor

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.33
X4.33
21.70
Stadium
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
high Confidence
Galatasaray

Galatasaray

Away
Odds
14.33
X4.33
21.70
Stadium
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Win Probabilities
19%
Samsunspor
28%
Draw
53%
Galatasaray
Home4.3319%
Draw4.3328%
Away1.7053%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Galatasaray's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Süper Lig fixture between Samsunspor and Galatasaray using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Samsunspor a 19% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Galatasaray a 53% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Goal: Y. AkgunGalatasaray · Assist: V. Osimhen
    Goal: Y. AkgunAssist: V. Osimhen
  2. Goal: MariusAssist: Y. Kayan
    22'
    Goal: MariusSamsunspor · Assist: Y. Kayan
  3. Yellow Card: T. Coulibaly
    29'
    Yellow Card: T. CoulibalySamsunspor
  4. Yellow Card: S. Gonul
    34'
    Yellow Card: S. GonulSamsunspor
  5. 46'
    Substitution: I. GundoganGalatasaray · Out: L. Torreira
    Substitution: I. GundoganOut: L. Torreira
  6. Goal: C. NdiayeAssist: Marius
    57'
    Goal: C. NdiayeSamsunspor · Assist: Marius
  7. 63'
    Red Card: G. GuvencGalatasaray
    Red Card: G. Guvenc
  8. 66'
    Substitution: B. SenGalatasaray · Out: L. Sane
    Substitution: B. SenOut: L. Sane
  9. Goal: MariusAssist: Y. Kayan
    71'
    Goal: MariusSamsunspor · Assist: Y. Kayan
  10. Substitution: E. TavsanOut: T. Coulibaly
    72'
    Substitution: E. TavsanSamsunspor · Out: T. Coulibaly
  11. 74'
    Substitution: N. LangGalatasaray · Out: B. A. Yilmaz
    Substitution: N. LangOut: B. A. Yilmaz
  12. 74'
    Substitution: W. SingoGalatasaray · Out: A. Bardakci
    Substitution: W. SingoOut: A. Bardakci
  13. Yellow Card: Y. Kayan
    75'
    Yellow Card: Y. KayanSamsunspor
  14. Goal: C. Ndiaye
    82'
    Goal: C. NdiayeSamsunspor
  15. 84'
    Substitution: S. BoeyGalatasaray · Out: R. Sallai
    Substitution: S. BoeyOut: R. Sallai
  16. Substitution: Z. YavruOut: J. Mendes
    87'
    Substitution: Z. YavruSamsunspor · Out: J. Mendes
  17. Substitution: Y. E. CiftOut: Y. Kayan
    87'
    Substitution: Y. E. CiftSamsunspor · Out: Y. Kayan
  18. Substitution: S. GonulOut: Marius
    90+1'
    Substitution: S. GonulSamsunspor · Out: Marius
  19. Substitution: A. B. DiabbateOut: R. Van Drongelen
    90+1'
    Substitution: A. B. DiabbateSamsunspor · Out: R. Van Drongelen
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Holse vs Galatasaray defense: Holse's pace and dribbling will test the away backline, but Galatasaray's 67% defense rating suggests he will be contained.
2V. Osimhen vs Samsunspor defense: Osimhen's physicality and finishing (avg rating 8.93) pose a major threat to a defense that has conceded 41 goals.
3Midfield battle: Samsunspor's midfield must disrupt Galatasaray's rhythm, but the visitors' overall strength (62.8%) gives them the edge.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Samsunspor

  • Recent 3-match winning streak
  • Home advantage with 0.55 rating
  • Poor head-to-head record (0 wins in last 7)
  • Defensive vulnerability (33% defense rating)

Galatasaray

  • League leaders with 74 points
  • Best attack (72 goals) and defense (23 conceded)
  • Slight dip in form (1 win in last 3)
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
53%
API-Football
45%
49%
Galatasaray153749

Moderate agreement on away win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Galatasaray is the clear favorite to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give them a 56% chance, and the API-Football model also predicts a Galatasaray victory, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Samsunspor is on a 3-match winning streak, showing strong momentum. However, Galatasaray's form is also solid (WWDWL) and they have a superior goal difference (+49 vs -2). The API comparison shows Galatasaray with a 62.8% overall strength advantage.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Galatasaray, with 7 consecutive wins. Galatasaray's defense is rated 67% vs Samsunspor's 33%, and they have the league's top attack (72 goals). Samsunspor has 4 doubtful players, while Galatasaray has only 1. The weather (rain, 9.7°C) may favor a physical style, but Galatasaray's quality should prevail.

Conclusion: Galatasaray's superior quality, dominant H2H record, and strong defensive stats make them the likely winners. Samsunspor's recent form could keep it competitive, but the odds and model agree on an away victory.

Statistical ContextGalatasaray

Double chance : draw or Galatasaray

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SamsunsporGalatasaray
37%Strength62%
50%Attacking Potential50%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
30%Goals H2H70%
37%Wins the Game62%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SamsunsporInjuries · GalatasarayLive scores →

Statistical Context

Samsunspor

LLLLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Erzurumspor FK1-0
  • LSep 12, 26H · Çorum FK1-5
  • LSep 6, 26A · Kocaelispor1-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Fenerbahçe0-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Rizespor0-2

Galatasaray

LWLWW
  • LSep 19, 26A · Trabzonspor4-0
  • WSep 13, 26H · Kocaelispor1-0
  • LSep 9, 26A · Sporting CP3-1
  • WSep 4, 26A · Başakşehir2-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · Göztepe3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Galatasaray6+313LWWWW
2Beşiktaş5+812WWWLW
14Konyaspor6-44DWLLL
15Samsunspor5-54LLLWD
16Erzurumspor FK5-94LWDLL

Head to Head

0
Samsunspor
0
Draws
7
Galatasaray
  • Dec 5, 25Galatasaray – Samsunspor3-2
  • Apr 11, 25Samsunspor – Galatasaray0-2
  • Nov 10, 24Galatasaray – Samsunspor3-2
  • Feb 2, 24Samsunspor – Galatasaray0-2
  • Sep 16, 23Galatasaray – Samsunspor4-2

Season Statistics — 2026

SamsunsporGalatasaray
Played55
Goals Scored613
Goals Conceded116
Avg Scored1.22.6
Avg Conceded2.21.2
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SamsunsporGalatasaray
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored7/106/10
Clean Sheets3/102/10

Samsunspor vs Galatasaray — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Galatasaray's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Galatasaray is the clear favorite to win this match. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give them a 56% chance, and the API-Football model also predicts a Galatasaray victory, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Samsunspor is on a 3-match winning streak, showing strong momentum. However, Galatasaray's form is also solid (WWDWL) and they have a superior goal difference (+49 vs -2). The API comparison shows Galatasaray with a 62.8% overall strength advantage.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Galatasaray, with 7 consecutive wins. Galatasaray's defense is rated 67% vs Samsunspor's 33%, and they have the league's top attack (72 goals). Samsunspor has 4 doubtful players, while Galatasaray has only 1. The weather (rain, 9.7°C) may favor a physical style, but Galatasaray's quality should prevail.

Conclusion: Galatasaray's superior quality, dominant H2H record, and strong defensive stats make them the likely winners. Samsunspor's recent form could keep it competitive, but the odds and model agree on an away victory.

Win Probabilities: Samsunspor: 19% · Draw: 28% · Galatasaray: 53%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Samsunspor wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Galatasaray wins: 7

Form (latest first): Samsunspor: LLLLW · Galatasaray: LWLWW

  • C. Holse vs Galatasaray defense: Holse's pace and dribbling will test the away backline, but Galatasaray's 67% defense rating suggests he will be contained.
  • V. Osimhen vs Samsunspor defense: Osimhen's physicality and finishing (avg rating 8.93) pose a major threat to a defense that has conceded 41 goals.
  • Midfield battle: Samsunspor's midfield must disrupt Galatasaray's rhythm, but the visitors' overall strength (62.8%) gives them the edge.

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Süper Lig

Süper Lig

Turkey15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Süper LigTurkey
Galatasaray
Oct 917:00
Kasımpaşa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1010:30
Amed
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Süper LigTurkey
Alanyaspor
Oct 1013:00
Erzurumspor FK
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Süper LigTurkey
Samsunspor
Oct 1013:00
Trabzonspor
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Süper LigTurkey
Rizespor
Oct 1016:00
Fenerbahçe
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Süper LigTurkey
Konyaspor
Oct 1110:30
Başakşehir
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
Süper LigTurkey
Gaziantep FK
Oct 1113:00
Çorum FK
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Süper LigTurkey
Beşiktaş
Oct 1116:00
Kocaelispor
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Süper LigTurkey
Eyüpspor
Oct 1217:00
Göztepe
Early projection
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
Süper LigTurkey
Çorum FK
Oct 1617:00
Rizespor
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Süper LigTurkey
Erzurumspor FK
Oct 1710:30
Eyüpspor
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Süper LigTurkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Oct 1713:00
Galatasaray
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.2619%
21.5963%
Süper LigTurkey
Amed
Oct 1713:00
Konyaspor
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Süper LigTurkey
Fenerbahçe
Oct 1716:00
Alanyaspor
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Süper LigTurkey
Kasımpaşa
Oct 1810:30
Samsunspor
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%

Betting Tips

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