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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Mbarara City vs Blacks Power

Mbarara City vs Blacks Power

Result • Premier League·Mbarara City·Blacks Power

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 11, 2026
13:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Mbarara City

Mbarara City

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 0-1
Stadium
Rwamwanja stadium
high Confidence
Blacks Power

Blacks Power

Away
Stadium
Rwamwanja stadium
Win Probabilities
24%
Mbarara City
21%
Draw
55%
Blacks Power
Home4.1724%
Draw4.7621%
Away1.8255%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Blacks Power are favoured at 55%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Mbarara City and Blacks Power using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Mbarara City a 24% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Blacks Power a 55% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 28%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 28%

Match Events

  1. Goal: R. Mugisha
    28'
    Goal: R. MugishaMbarara City
  2. Goal: E. Tumwine
    40'
    Goal: E. TumwineMbarara City
  3. 50'
    Goal: M. InnocentBlacks Power
    Goal: M. Innocent
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headMbarara City – Blacks PowerInjuriesMbarara CityInjuriesBlacks PowerLive scores

Statistical Context

Mbarara City

WLLDD
  • WOct 28, 26H · Vipers1-0
  • LOct 22, 26A · SC Villa2-0
  • LOct 7, 26A · Ntugasaze1-0
  • DSep 16, 26H · Entebbe UPPC0-0
  • DSep 11, 26H · NEC0-0

Blacks Power

DWLLW
  • DOct 27, 26A · SC Villa0-0
  • WOct 24, 26H · URA3-2
  • LOct 8, 26H · Vipers0-4
  • LSep 15, 26A · BUL2-1
  • WSep 8, 26A · Maroons1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5KCCA7+113WWWWD
6Blacks Power8-213DWLLL
7Vipers7+1011LDWDW
8Maroons8+511DWDWL
9Police8-411WDLLW
10Kitara4+28WWDD
11UPDF7-28LLWWD
12Mbarara City7-28WLWLD
13Lugazi8-68LDDLL

Mbarara City vs Blacks Power — Match Analysis

Blacks Power are favoured at 55%; our projected score is 0-1.

Mbarara City host Blacks Power in the Premier League on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Blacks Power the favourite at 55%, with the draw at 21% and Mbarara City at 24%.

Form and league position

Mbarara City sit 16th of 18 with 2 points from 4 games (0 scored, 2 conceded), recent form L-L-D-D-L. Blacks Power sit 5th of 18 with 9 points from 5 games (5 scored, 7 conceded), recent form W-W-W-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.6–0.8, about 1.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 18% and both teams to score at 28%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.

Prediction

Blacks Power to win (55%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Mbarara City: 24% · Draw: 21% · Blacks Power: 55%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (17.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 18% · Under 2.5: 82% · BTTS: 28%

Form (latest first): Mbarara City: WLLDD · Blacks Power: DWLLW

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Premier League

Premier League

Uganda15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 3013:00
Police
15.2619%
X4.3523%
21.7258%
Premier LeagueUganda
Blacks Power
Oct 3113:00
NEC
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Oct 3113:00
Entebbe UPPC
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Maroons
Oct 3113:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 3113:00
KCCA
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUganda
Lugazi
Oct 3113:00
SC Villa
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Premier LeagueUganda
UPDF
Oct 3114:00
Kitara
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueUganda
URA
Oct 3117:00
Vipers
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueUganda
Ntugasaze
Nov 113:00
Express
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Nov 313:00
SC Villa
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Police
Nov 313:00
Kitara
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Premier LeagueUganda
NEC
Nov 313:00
UPDF
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Nov 413:00
URA
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueUganda
KCCA
Nov 417:00
Maroons
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUganda
Express
Nov 513:00
Blacks Power
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%

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