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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Maroons vs Lugazi

Maroons vs Lugazi

Result • Premier League·Maroons·Lugazi

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 7, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Maroons

Maroons

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.83
X3.10
24.10
Stadium
Mutesa II Stadium
medium Confidence
Lugazi

Lugazi

Away
Odds
11.83
X3.10
24.10
Stadium
Mutesa II Stadium
Win Probabilities
48%
Maroons
28%
Draw
24%
Lugazi
Home1.8348%
Draw3.1028%
Away4.1024%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Maroons are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Maroons and Lugazi using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Maroons a 48% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Lugazi a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. Goal: F. Amaku
    57'
    Goal: F. AmakuMaroons
  2. Goal: D. Niwamanya
    75'
    Goal: D. NiwamanyaMaroons
  3. Goal: M. Ogama
    78'
    Goal: M. OgamaMaroons
  4. 82'
    Red Card: F. OdongLugazi
    Red Card: F. Odong
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headMaroons – LugaziInjuriesMaroonsInjuriesLugaziLive scores

Statistical Context

Maroons

DWDLL
  • DOct 28, 26A · Entebbe UPPC0-0
  • WOct 20, 26H · Kataka4-1
  • DOct 11, 26A · Vipers1-1
  • LSep 17, 26A · UPDF1-0
  • LSep 8, 26H · Blacks Power1-2

Lugazi

LDDLW
  • LOct 28, 26A · KCCA2-1
  • DOct 21, 26H · Express0-0
  • DOct 13, 26H · BUL0-0
  • LSep 16, 26H · Police0-2
  • WSep 9, 26A · Entebbe UPPC0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Vipers7+1011LDWDW
8Maroons8+511DWDWL
9Police8-411WDLLW
10Kitara4+28WWDD
11UPDF7-28LLWWD
12Mbarara City7-28WLWLD
13Lugazi8-68LDDLL
14Express8-27DDLDD

Head to Head

2
Maroons
0
Draws
0
Lugazi
  • May 23, 26Lugazi – Maroons0-1
  • Nov 25, 25Maroons – Lugazi3-0

Maroons vs Lugazi — Match Analysis

Maroons are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-0.

Maroons host Lugazi in the Premier League on Wednesday, 7 October 2026. Our model makes Maroons the favourite at 45%, with the draw at 29% and Lugazi at 26%.

Form and league position

Maroons sit 12th of 18 with 3 points from 4 games (5 scored, 6 conceded), recent form W-L-W-L-L. Lugazi sit 7th of 18 with 6 points from 4 games (4 scored, 6 conceded), recent form L-W-L-W-L.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Maroons won 2, Lugazi won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.2, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 55%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Maroons at 1.92, the draw at 3.00 and Lugazi at 3.92; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Maroons to win (45%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Maroons: 48% · Draw: 28% · Lugazi: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (8.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 49% · Under 2.5: 51% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Maroons wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Lugazi wins: 0

Form (latest first): Maroons: DWDLL · Lugazi: LDDLW

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Premier League

Premier League

Uganda15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 3013:00
Police
15.2619%
X4.3523%
21.7258%
Premier LeagueUganda
Blacks Power
Oct 3113:00
NEC
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Oct 3113:00
Entebbe UPPC
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Maroons
Oct 3113:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 3113:00
KCCA
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUganda
Lugazi
Oct 3113:00
SC Villa
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Premier LeagueUganda
UPDF
Oct 3114:00
Kitara
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Premier LeagueUganda
URA
Oct 3117:00
Vipers
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueUganda
Ntugasaze
Nov 113:00
Express
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Nov 313:00
SC Villa
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Police
Nov 313:00
Kitara
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Premier LeagueUganda
NEC
Nov 313:00
UPDF
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Nov 413:00
URA
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier LeagueUganda
KCCA
Nov 417:00
Maroons
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUganda
Express
Nov 513:00
Blacks Power
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%

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