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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. NEC vs URA

NEC vs URA

Result • Premier League·NEC·URA

Premier League
Premier League
Sep 15, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
NEC

NEC

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X2.90
23.75
Stadium
MTN Omondi Stadium
medium Confidence
URA

URA

Away
Odds
11.95
X2.90
23.75
Stadium
MTN Omondi Stadium
Win Probabilities
50%
NEC
27%
Draw
23%
URA
Home1.9550%
Draw2.9027%
Away3.7523%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

NEC are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between NEC and URA using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns NEC a 50% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and URA a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 43%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 43%

Match Events

  1. 2'
    Goal: I. MugulusiURA · Assist: M. Ssenyonga
    Goal: I. MugulusiAssist: M. Ssenyonga
  2. Goal: J. JariekoAssist: E. Ajo
    14'
    Goal: J. JariekoNEC · Assist: E. Ajo
  3. Goal: R. BasangwaAssist: E. Lubwama
    42'
    Goal: R. BasangwaNEC · Assist: E. Lubwama
  4. Goal: E. Lubwama
    44'
    Goal: E. LubwamaNEC
  5. Goal: R. Basangwa
    49'
    Goal: R. BasangwaNEC
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · NECInjuries · URALive scores →

Statistical Context

NEC

LWDDW
  • LOct 21, 26A · BUL2-1
  • WOct 14, 26A · Kigezi HomeBoyz0-2
  • DOct 8, 26H · Express0-0
  • DSep 11, 26A · Mbarara City0-0
  • WSep 1, 26H · Lugazi3-1

URA

LDLLW
  • LOct 24, 26A · Blacks Power3-2
  • DOct 15, 26H · Entebbe UPPC0-0
  • LOct 9, 26H · KCCA0-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · SC Villa0-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Maroons1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2SC Villa7+1317WWDWW
3NEC7+814LWDWD
4Entebbe UPPC7+514WDWDL
14Mbarara City6-35LWLDD
15URA6-54LDLLL
16Ntugasaze6-103LWLLL

Head to Head

1
NEC
1
Draws
0
URA
  • Apr 9, 26NEC – URA1-0
  • Oct 2, 25URA – NEC1-1

NEC vs URA — Match Analysis

NEC are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 1-0.

NEC host URA in the Premier League on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. Our model makes NEC the favourite at 51%, with the draw at 28% and URA at 21%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 2 times in our records: NEC won 1, URA won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–0.9, about 2.1 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 43%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price NEC at 1.91, the draw at 2.95 and URA at 4.10; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

NEC to win (51%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: NEC: 50% · Draw: 27% · URA: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 43%

H2H: NEC wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · URA wins: 0

Form (latest first): NEC: LWDDW · URA: LDLLW

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Premier League

Premier League

Uganda15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUganda
SC Villa
Oct 2713:00
Blacks Power
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Police
Oct 2713:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Premier LeagueUganda
UPDF
Oct 2713:00
URA
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Premier LeagueUganda
NEC
Oct 2713:00
Ntugasaze
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
Premier LeagueUganda
Express
Oct 2716:00
Kataka
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 2813:00
Vipers
13.0333%
X4.0025%
22.3842%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kitara
Oct 2813:00
BUL
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
Premier LeagueUganda
Entebbe UPPC
Oct 2813:00
Maroons
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Premier LeagueUganda
KCCA
Oct 2817:00
Lugazi
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
Kataka
Oct 3013:00
Police
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Premier LeagueUganda
Blacks Power
Oct 3113:00
NEC
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Premier LeagueUganda
BUL
Oct 3113:00
Entebbe UPPC
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUganda
Maroons
Oct 3113:00
Kigezi HomeBoyz
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Premier LeagueUganda
Mbarara City
Oct 3113:00
KCCA
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Premier LeagueUganda
Lugazi
Oct 3113:00
SC Villa
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

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