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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv

SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv

Result • Premier League·SK Poltava·Dynamo Kyiv

Premier League
Premier League
May 16, 2026
10:00
high Confidence
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
119.00
X9.00
21.10
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv

Away
Odds
119.00
X9.00
21.10
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
Win Probabilities
6%
SK Poltava
17%
Draw
77%
Dynamo Kyiv
Home19.006%
Draw9.0017%
Away1.1077%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clear path for Dynamo Kyiv, as the stars align with form and strength. SK Poltava's struggles deepen under the shadow of a dominant foe.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between SK Poltava and Dynamo Kyiv using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SK Poltava a 6% win probability, a 17% chance of a draw, and Dynamo Kyiv a 77% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. 3'
    Penalty: A. Yarmolenko (Penalty)Dynamo Kyiv
    Penalty: A. Yarmolenko (Penalty)
  2. 15'
    Yellow Card: A. ThiareDynamo Kyiv
    Yellow Card: A. Thiare
  3. Yellow Card: Y. Misyura
    23'
    Yellow Card: Y. MisyuraSK Poltava
  4. Substitution: B. KobzarOut: D. Sukhoruchko
    26'
    Substitution: B. KobzarSK Poltava · Out: D. Sukhoruchko
  5. 46'
    Substitution: M. MykhaylenkoDynamo Kyiv · Out: V. Brazhko
    Substitution: M. MykhaylenkoOut: V. Brazhko
  6. 46'
    Substitution: O. YatsykDynamo Kyiv · Out: M. Shaparenko
    Substitution: O. YatsykOut: M. Shaparenko
  7. 60'
    Substitution: V. BuyalskyyDynamo Kyiv · Out: O. Pikhalyonok
    Substitution: V. BuyalskyyOut: O. Pikhalyonok
  8. 60'
    Substitution: N. VoloshynDynamo Kyiv · Out: A. Yarmolenko
    Substitution: N. VoloshynOut: A. Yarmolenko
  9. Yellow Card: V. Danylenko
    66'
    Yellow Card: V. DanylenkoSK Poltava
  10. Substitution: O. PyatovOut: V. Sad
    70'
    Substitution: O. PyatovSK Poltava · Out: V. Sad
  11. 80'
    Substitution: E. GuerreroDynamo Kyiv · Out: V. Lobko
    Substitution: E. GuerreroOut: V. Lobko
  12. Substitution: D. PlakhtyrOut: V. Danylenko
    83'
    Substitution: D. PlakhtyrSK Poltava · Out: V. Danylenko
  13. Substitution: M. MarusychOut: A. Doroshenko
    83'
    Substitution: M. MarusychSK Poltava · Out: A. Doroshenko
  14. Substitution: M. BuzhynOut: I. Kotsyumaka
    83'
    Substitution: M. BuzhynSK Poltava · Out: I. Kotsyumaka
  15. 90+1'
    Goal: E. GuerreroDynamo Kyiv · Assist: N. Voloshyn
    Goal: E. GuerreroAssist: N. Voloshyn
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Y. Misyura vs Dynamo Kyiv defense: Misyura is Poltava's top scorer but faces a well-organized Kyiv backline.
2M. Ponomarenko vs SK Poltava defense: Ponomarenko's pace and finishing will test Poltava's weak defense.
3O. Yatsyk vs SK Poltava midfield: Yatsyk's creativity and high rating make him a key threat from midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SK Poltava

  • Set pieces
  • Defensive organization
  • Low scoring
  • Poor form

Dynamo Kyiv

  • Strong attack
  • Good form
  • Occasional defensive lapses
  • Inconsistent away form

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
77%
API-Football
45%
61%
Dynamo Kyiv83161

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (61%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Dynamo Kyiv is the overwhelming favorite with 85% implied probability from bookmakers, and the API-Football model also predicts a Dynamo Kyiv win. The statistical comparison heavily favors Dynamo Kyiv in form (83%), attack (75%), and overall (66.2%).

Form Analysis: SK Poltava is in poor form with 2 consecutive losses and a 2-loss streak, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per match while conceding 2.4. Dynamo Kyiv has a 1-win streak, averages 2.4 goals scored, and has kept 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: The massive league position gap (12 places, 39 points) and goal difference (-49 vs +27) highlight the disparity. SK Poltava's attack is weak (25% comparison) and defense is below average (43%). Dynamo Kyiv's key players like M. Ponomarenko (5 goals) and O. Yatsyk (avg rating 7.45) provide a significant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Dynamo Kyiv victory. SK Poltava's relegation battle form and lack of clean sheets make an upset highly unlikely.

Statistical ContextDynamo Kyiv

Combo Winner : Dynamo Kyiv and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SK PoltavaDynamo Kyiv
33%Strength66%
25%Attacking Potential75%
43%Defensive Potential57%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
67%Goals H2H33%
33%Wins the Game66%

More information

Ukraine Premier League predicted line-ups: Gameweek 118/8Head-to-headSK Poltava – Dynamo KyivInjuriesSK PoltavaInjuriesDynamo KyivLive scores

Statistical Context

SK Poltava

DLLDL
  • DMay 23, 26A · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
  • LMay 13, 26A · LNZ Cherkasy2-0
  • LMay 10, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk0-4
  • DMay 1, 26H · Kryvbas KR3-3
  • LApr 24, 26A · Kolos Kovalivka2-0

Dynamo Kyiv

WLWWW
  • WOct 23, 26H · Kudrivka3-1
  • LOct 18, 26A · Polessya3-1
  • WOct 11, 26H · Karpaty1-0
  • WSep 19, 26A · Zorya Luhansk0-2
  • WSep 14, 26H · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi3-0

Head to Head

0
SK Poltava
0
Draws
1
Dynamo Kyiv
  • Dec 1, 25Dynamo Kyiv – SK Poltava1-2

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

SK PoltavaDynamo Kyiv
Played299
Goals Scored2314
Goals Conceded749
Avg Scored0.81.6
Avg Conceded2.51.0
Clean Sheets14

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SK PoltavaDynamo Kyiv
Over 2.5 Goals7/108/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets0/102/10

SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clear path for Dynamo Kyiv, as the stars align with form and strength. SK Poltava's struggles deepen under the shadow of a dominant foe.

Dynamo Kyiv is the overwhelming favorite with 85% implied probability from bookmakers, and the API-Football model also predicts a Dynamo Kyiv win. The statistical comparison heavily favors Dynamo Kyiv in form (83%), attack (75%), and overall (66.2%).

Form Analysis: SK Poltava is in poor form with 2 consecutive losses and a 2-loss streak, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per match while conceding 2.4. Dynamo Kyiv has a 1-win streak, averages 2.4 goals scored, and has kept 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: The massive league position gap (12 places, 39 points) and goal difference (-49 vs +27) highlight the disparity. SK Poltava's attack is weak (25% comparison) and defense is below average (43%). Dynamo Kyiv's key players like M. Ponomarenko (5 goals) and O. Yatsyk (avg rating 7.45) provide a significant threat.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Dynamo Kyiv victory. SK Poltava's relegation battle form and lack of clean sheets make an upset highly unlikely.

Win Probabilities: SK Poltava: 6% · Draw: 17% · Dynamo Kyiv: 77%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: SK Poltava wins: 0 · Draws: 0 · Dynamo Kyiv wins: 1

Form (latest first): SK Poltava: DLLDL · Dynamo Kyiv: WLWWW

  • Y. Misyura vs Dynamo Kyiv defense: Misyura is Poltava's top scorer but faces a well-organized Kyiv backline.
  • M. Ponomarenko vs SK Poltava defense: Ponomarenko's pace and finishing will test Poltava's weak defense.
  • O. Yatsyk vs SK Poltava midfield: Yatsyk's creativity and high rating make him a key threat from midfield.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Nov 111:00
Polessya
17.6913%
X3.7027%
21.6760%
Premier LeagueUkraine
LNZ Cherkasy
Nov 111:00
FC Kharkiv
13.8526%
X2.9434%
22.5040%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Nov 211:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kryvbas KR
Nov 211:00
Dynamo Kyiv
19.0911%
X4.3523%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Nov 216:00
Kudrivka
11.4967%
X4.7621%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Nov 716:00
Dynamo Kyiv
11.7557%
X3.7027%
26.2516%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Nov 716:00
LNZ Cherkasy
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueUkraine
FC Kharkiv
Nov 716:00
Karpaty
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Nov 716:00
Livyi Bereh
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Nov 716:00
Kolos Kovalivka
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Polessya
Nov 716:00
Veres Rivne
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Nov 716:00
Kryvbas KR
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kudrivka
Nov 716:00
Chornomorets
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Nov 2116:00
Obolon'-Brovar
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Nov 2116:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%

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