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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk

Result • Premier League·Karpaty·Zorya Luhansk

Premier League
Premier League
May 23, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
Karpaty

Karpaty

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X3.40
23.30
Stadium
Ukraina Stadium
medium Confidence
WINNER
Zorya Luhansk

Zorya Luhansk

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.40
23.30
Stadium
Ukraina Stadium
Win Probabilities
37%
Karpaty
31%
Draw
32%
Zorya Luhansk
Home1.9537%
Draw3.4031%
Away3.3032%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Karpaty's home fortress may finally break the historical curse. Ancient wisdom reveals a low-scoring affair with defensive discipline prevailing.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between Karpaty and Zorya Luhansk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Karpaty a 37% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Zorya Luhansk a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Yellow Card: B. KushnirenkoZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: B. Kushnirenko
  2. Goal: BruninhoAssist: Y. Kostenko
    30'
    Goal: BruninhoKarpaty · Assist: Y. Kostenko
  3. 37'
    Yellow Card: JordanZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: Jordan
  4. Yellow Card: D. Miroshnichenko
    58'
    Yellow Card: D. MiroshnichenkoKarpaty
  5. 60'
    Substitution: JuninhoZorya Luhansk · Out: D. Jelavic
    Substitution: JuninhoOut: D. Jelavic
  6. 60'
    Substitution: P. MicinZorya Luhansk · Out: D. Popara
    Substitution: P. MicinOut: D. Popara
  7. 60'
    Substitution: A. JanjicZorya Luhansk · Out: Jordan
    Substitution: A. JanjicOut: Jordan
  8. Substitution: Y. KarabinOut: Bruninho
    63'
    Substitution: Y. KarabinKarpaty · Out: Bruninho
  9. Substitution: O. SychOut: D. Miroshnichenko
    63'
    Substitution: O. SychKarpaty · Out: D. Miroshnichenko
  10. 67'
    Substitution: K. DryshlyukZorya Luhansk · Out: B. Kushnirenko
    Substitution: K. DryshlyukOut: B. Kushnirenko
  11. 74'
    Goal: R. VantukhZorya Luhansk
    Goal: R. Vantukh
  12. Yellow Card: V. Baboglo
    77'
    Yellow Card: V. BabogloKarpaty
  13. Substitution: I. KvasnytsyaOut: X. Alkain
    80'
    Substitution: I. KvasnytsyaKarpaty · Out: X. Alkain
  14. Substitution: O. DyedovOut: Y. Kostenko
    87'
    Substitution: O. DyedovKarpaty · Out: Y. Kostenko
  15. Substitution: Jean PedrosoOut: V. Rubchynskyi
    87'
    Substitution: Jean PedrosoKarpaty · Out: V. Rubchynskyi
  16. 90'
    Goal: A. JanjicZorya Luhansk · Assist: P. Micin
    Goal: A. JanjicAssist: P. Micin
  17. 90'
    Yellow Card: A. JanjicZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: A. Janjic
  18. 90+1'
    Substitution: S. YaroshenkoZorya Luhansk · Out: A. Slesar
    Substitution: S. YaroshenkoOut: A. Slesar
  19. Yellow Card: Eriki
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: ErikiKarpaty
  20. 90+7'
    Yellow Card: I. PerdutaZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: I. Perduta
  21. 90+7'
    Yellow Card: P. BudkivskyZorya Luhansk
    Yellow Card: P. Budkivsky
  22. Yellow Card: V. Kholod
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: V. KholodKarpaty
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Bruninho vs Zorya defense: Karpaty's top scorer will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
2P. Budkivskyi vs Karpaty defense: The away team's main goal threat will test Karpaty's clean sheet record.
3Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be key.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Karpaty

  • Solid defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Home advantage
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Historical struggles against Zorya

Zorya Luhansk

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Strong head-to-head record against Karpaty
  • Lower away form
  • Recent draws indicate lack of killer instinct

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
45%
39%
Zorya Luhansk243839

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (39%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is a home win for Karpaty, based on bookmaker odds and recent form.

Form Analysis: Karpaty have won 3 of their last 5 (WDLDW) with 3 clean sheets, while Zorya Luhansk are unbeaten in 5 (DWDWW) but have drawn 2 of those. Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game, but Karpaty's defense has been slightly more solid.

Key Factors: (1) Karpaty have a strong home advantage (rating 0.55) and have kept 3 clean sheets recently. (2) Head-to-head heavily favors Zorya (8 wins in last 10), but this is a league match where form and home advantage may level the field. (3) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: While Zorya have historically dominated this fixture, Karpaty's current form and home support give them a slight edge. The odds imply a close match, but Karpaty's defensive solidity could be decisive.

Statistical ContextZorya Luhansk

Double chance : draw or Zorya Luhansk

Team Comparison

AI Powered
KarpatyZorya Luhansk
43%Strength57%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
18%Goals H2H82%
43%Wins the Game57%
Head-to-head →Injuries · KarpatyInjuries · Zorya LuhanskLive scores →

Statistical Context

Karpaty

WLDWW
  • WSep 11, 26A · Kolos Kovalivka0-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk1-2
  • DAug 29, 26A · Livyi Bereh1-1
  • WAug 15, 26H · Bukovyna3-0
  • WAug 10, 26H · LNZ Cherkasy3-0

Zorya Luhansk

DDLWL
  • DSep 13, 26A · Bukovyna1-1
  • DSep 6, 26A · Veres Rivne1-1
  • LAug 31, 26H · FC Kharkiv0-3
  • WAug 17, 26A · Polessya1-2
  • LAug 9, 26H · Kryvbas KR1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Shakhtar Donetsk6+815WWLWW
3Karpaty6+1013WLDWW
4Dynamo Kyiv5+210WDLWW
5FC Kharkiv5+69WWLLW
6Epitsentr Dunayivtsi6+18LDWDL
7LNZ Cherkasy608WDLWL
8Zorya Luhansk6-28DDLWL
9Bukovyna607DDWLD

Head to Head

8
Karpaty
2
Draws
0
Zorya Luhansk
  • Dec 5, 25Zorya Luhansk – Karpaty1-0
  • May 25, 25Karpaty – Zorya Luhansk1-3
  • Dec 2, 24Zorya Luhansk – Karpaty2-1
  • Nov 30, 19Zorya Luhansk – Karpaty2-0
  • Aug 25, 19Karpaty – Zorya Luhansk0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

KarpatyZorya Luhansk
Played66
Goals Scored147
Goals Conceded49
Avg Scored2.31.2
Avg Conceded0.71.5
Clean Sheets31

Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Karpaty's home fortress may finally break the historical curse. Ancient wisdom reveals a low-scoring affair with defensive discipline prevailing.

The predicted outcome is a home win for Karpaty, based on bookmaker odds and recent form.

Form Analysis: Karpaty have won 3 of their last 5 (WDLDW) with 3 clean sheets, while Zorya Luhansk are unbeaten in 5 (DWDWW) but have drawn 2 of those. Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game, but Karpaty's defense has been slightly more solid.

Key Factors: (1) Karpaty have a strong home advantage (rating 0.55) and have kept 3 clean sheets recently. (2) Head-to-head heavily favors Zorya (8 wins in last 10), but this is a league match where form and home advantage may level the field. (3) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: While Zorya have historically dominated this fixture, Karpaty's current form and home support give them a slight edge. The odds imply a close match, but Karpaty's defensive solidity could be decisive.

Win Probabilities: Karpaty: 37% · Draw: 31% · Zorya Luhansk: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Karpaty wins: 8 · Draws: 2 · Zorya Luhansk wins: 0

Form (latest first): Karpaty: WLDWW · Zorya Luhansk: DDLWL

  • Bruninho vs Zorya defense: Karpaty's top scorer will look to exploit any defensive lapses.
  • P. Budkivskyi vs Karpaty defense: The away team's main goal threat will test Karpaty's clean sheet record.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be key.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Sep 1810:00
Obolon'-Brovar
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Polessya
Sep 1812:30
Kryvbas KR
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
FC Kharkiv
Sep 1910:00
Bukovyna
11.6461%
X3.8526%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Sep 1912:30
Dynamo Kyiv
18.3312%
X4.1724%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Sep 1915:00
Livyi Bereh
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kudrivka
Sep 2010:00
Kolos Kovalivka
14.7621%
X3.1332%
22.1347%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Sep 2012:30
Veres Rivne
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sep 2015:00
LNZ Cherkasy
11.5963%
X4.1724%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Oct 1015:00
Karpaty
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Oct 1015:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Oct 1015:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Oct 1015:00
Kryvbas KR
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Oct 1015:00
Polessya
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.2619%
21.5963%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Veres Rivne
Oct 1015:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueUkraine
LNZ Cherkasy
Oct 1015:00
Kudrivka
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%

Betting Tips

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