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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk

SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Result • Premier League·SK Poltava·Shakhtar Donetsk

Premier League
Premier League
May 10, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-3
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 0-3
Odds
141.00
X15.00
21.03
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Away
Odds
141.00
X15.00
21.03
Stadium
Zirka Stadium
Win Probabilities
2%
SK Poltava
15%
Draw
83%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home41.002%
Draw15.0015%
Away1.0383%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a storm gathering over Zirka Stadium, with Shakhtar's golden tide overwhelming Poltava's fragile dam. The numbers whisper a clear path to victory for the league leaders.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier League fixture between SK Poltava and Shakhtar Donetsk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns SK Poltava a 2% win probability, a 15% chance of a draw, and Shakhtar Donetsk a 83% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-3. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: D. Sukhoruchko
    19'
    Yellow Card: D. SukhoruchkoSK Poltava
  2. Substitution: I. KotsyumakaOut: O. Veremiyenko
    44'
    Substitution: I. KotsyumakaSK Poltava · Out: O. Veremiyenko
  3. 45+3'
    Goal: D. KryskivShakhtar Donetsk · Assist: L. Traore
    Goal: D. KryskivAssist: L. Traore
  4. 53'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - video reviewShakhtar Donetsk
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - video review
  5. 55'
    Goal: Isaque SilvaShakhtar Donetsk
    Goal: Isaque Silva
  6. 61'
    Goal: Isaque SilvaShakhtar Donetsk · Assist: A. Bondarenko
    Goal: Isaque SilvaAssist: A. Bondarenko
  7. Substitution: D. GalenkovOut: V. Odaryuk
    65'
    Substitution: D. GalenkovSK Poltava · Out: V. Odaryuk
  8. Substitution: M. MarusychOut: V. Sad
    65'
    Substitution: M. MarusychSK Poltava · Out: V. Sad
  9. Substitution: D. PlakhtyrOut: A. Doroshenko
    65'
    Substitution: D. PlakhtyrSK Poltava · Out: A. Doroshenko
  10. 67'
    Goal: L. TraoreShakhtar Donetsk
    Goal: L. Traore
  11. 69'
    Substitution: A. GhramShakhtar Donetsk · Out: P. Henrique
    Substitution: A. GhramOut: P. Henrique
  12. 69'
    Substitution: Luca MeirellesShakhtar Donetsk · Out: P. Obah
    Substitution: Luca MeirellesOut: P. Obah
  13. 76'
    Substitution: Y. NazarynaShakhtar Donetsk · Out: D. Kryskiv
    Substitution: Y. NazarynaOut: D. Kryskiv
  14. 76'
    Substitution: PedrinhoShakhtar Donetsk · Out: A. Bondarenko
    Substitution: PedrinhoOut: A. Bondarenko
  15. Substitution: O. PyatovOut: V. Danylenko
    81'
    Substitution: O. PyatovSK Poltava · Out: V. Danylenko
  16. 83'
    Substitution: O. OcheretkoShakhtar Donetsk · Out: L. Traore
    Substitution: O. OcheretkoOut: L. Traore
  17. 87'
    Yellow Card: Isaque SilvaShakhtar Donetsk
    Yellow Card: Isaque Silva
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Eguinaldo vs SK Poltava defense: Shakhtar's top scorer (6 goals) will test a defense that has conceded 66 goals this season.
2Kauã Elias vs SK Poltava midfield: The creative midfielder will look to unlock the defense with through balls and late runs.
3Y. Misyura vs Shakhtar defense: Poltava's main goal threat (2 goals) will have limited opportunities against a solid backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

SK Poltava

  • Set pieces
  • Physical play
  • Defensive organization
  • Lack of goalscoring

Shakhtar Donetsk

  • Attacking depth
  • Possession play
  • Defensive lapses
  • Overconfidence

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
83%
API-Football
50%
67%
Shakhtar Donetsk13366

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (67%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

The predicted outcome is a comfortable away win for Shakhtar Donetsk, given their overwhelming superiority in form, standings, and head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk are in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (WWWWD), while SK Poltava have failed to win in their last 5 (DLDLD). Shakhtar average 1.8 goals scored per game and have a +44 goal difference, compared to Poltava's 1.4 goals scored and -43 goal difference.

Key Factors: The 51-point gap in the standings and 15-place difference highlight a massive class disparity. Shakhtar have won the only recent head-to-head meeting. Poltava have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games and have no clean sheets in that period. The weather (rain, strong wind) may favor Shakhtar's physical style.

Conclusion: All data points to a dominant Shakhtar performance. Poltava's relegation-threatened status and poor form make an upset highly unlikely.

Statistical ContextShakhtar Donetsk

Combo Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
SK PoltavaShakhtar Donetsk
22%Strength78%
41%Attacking Potential59%
28%Defensive Potential72%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength100%
13%Goals H2H88%
22%Wins the Game78%
Head-to-head →Injuries · SK PoltavaInjuries · Shakhtar Donetsk

Statistical Context

SK Poltava

DLLDL
  • DMay 23, 26A · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-0
  • LMay 16, 26H · Dynamo Kyiv0-2
  • LMay 13, 26A · LNZ Cherkasy2-0
  • DMay 1, 26H · Kryvbas KR3-3
  • LApr 24, 26A · Kolos Kovalivka2-0

Shakhtar Donetsk

WDWLW
  • WSep 14, 26H · Chornomorets2-0
  • DSep 10, 26A · PSV Eindhoven1-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Karpaty1-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Polessya0-2
  • WAug 16, 26A · FC Kharkiv0-1

Head to Head

1
SK Poltava
0
Draws
0
Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Nov 9, 25Shakhtar Donetsk – SK Poltava7-1

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

SK PoltavaShakhtar Donetsk
Played295
Goals Scored2310
Goals Conceded744
Avg Scored0.82.0
Avg Conceded2.50.8
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

SK PoltavaShakhtar Donetsk
Over 2.5 Goals7/108/10
Both Teams Scored5/106/10
Clean Sheets0/104/10

SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a storm gathering over Zirka Stadium, with Shakhtar's golden tide overwhelming Poltava's fragile dam. The numbers whisper a clear path to victory for the league leaders.

The predicted outcome is a comfortable away win for Shakhtar Donetsk, given their overwhelming superiority in form, standings, and head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk are in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (WWWWD), while SK Poltava have failed to win in their last 5 (DLDLD). Shakhtar average 1.8 goals scored per game and have a +44 goal difference, compared to Poltava's 1.4 goals scored and -43 goal difference.

Key Factors: The 51-point gap in the standings and 15-place difference highlight a massive class disparity. Shakhtar have won the only recent head-to-head meeting. Poltava have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games and have no clean sheets in that period. The weather (rain, strong wind) may favor Shakhtar's physical style.

Conclusion: All data points to a dominant Shakhtar performance. Poltava's relegation-threatened status and poor form make an upset highly unlikely.

Win Probabilities: SK Poltava: 2% · Draw: 15% · Shakhtar Donetsk: 83%

Predicted Score: 0-3 (25.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 75% · Under 2.5: 25% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: SK Poltava wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Shakhtar Donetsk wins: 0

Form (latest first): SK Poltava: DLLDL · Shakhtar Donetsk: WDWLW

  • Eguinaldo vs SK Poltava defense: Shakhtar's top scorer (6 goals) will test a defense that has conceded 66 goals this season.
  • Kauã Elias vs SK Poltava midfield: The creative midfielder will look to unlock the defense with through balls and late runs.
  • Y. Misyura vs Shakhtar defense: Poltava's main goal threat (2 goals) will have limited opportunities against a solid backline.

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Premier League

Premier League

Ukraine15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Sep 1810:00
Obolon'-Brovar
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Polessya
Sep 1812:30
Kryvbas KR
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
FC Kharkiv
Sep 1910:00
Bukovyna
11.6461%
X3.8526%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Zorya Luhansk
Sep 1912:30
Dynamo Kyiv
18.3312%
X4.1724%
21.5664%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Sep 1915:00
Livyi Bereh
12.3343%
X3.3330%
23.7027%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kudrivka
Sep 2010:00
Kolos Kovalivka
14.7621%
X3.1332%
22.1347%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Karpaty
Sep 2012:30
Veres Rivne
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sep 2015:00
LNZ Cherkasy
11.5963%
X4.1724%
27.6913%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Dynamo Kyiv
Oct 1015:00
Karpaty
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Chornomorets
Oct 1015:00
FC Kharkiv
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Kolos Kovalivka
Oct 1015:00
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Obolon'-Brovar
Oct 1015:00
Kryvbas KR
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Bukovyna
Oct 1015:00
Polessya
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.2619%
21.5963%
Premier LeagueUkraine
Veres Rivne
Oct 1015:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Premier LeagueUkraine
LNZ Cherkasy
Oct 1015:00
Kudrivka
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%

Betting Tips

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