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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Penarol vs Boston River

Penarol vs Boston River

Result • Primera División·Penarol·Boston River

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 26, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Penarol

Penarol

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.44
X4.00
26.00
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
high Confidence
Boston River

Boston River

Away
Odds
11.44
X4.00
26.00
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
Win Probabilities
68%
Penarol
19%
Draw
13%
Boston River
Home1.4468%
Draw4.0019%
Away6.0013%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Penarol are favoured at 71%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Penarol and Boston River using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Penarol a 68% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Boston River a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. Goal: L. Ferreira
    11'
    Goal: L. FerreiraPenarol
  2. Yellow Card: L. Ferreira
    32'
    Yellow Card: L. FerreiraPenarol
  3. Yellow Card: E. Remedi
    38'
    Yellow Card: E. RemediPenarol
  4. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: L. VazquezBoston River
    Yellow Card: L. Vazquez
  5. 45+2'
    Yellow Card: M. GonzalezBoston River
    Yellow Card: M. Gonzalez
  6. Substitution: N. HerreraOut: G. Pezzella
    46'
    Substitution: N. HerreraPenarol · Out: G. Pezzella
  7. Substitution: F. RomeroOut: L. Ferreira
    46'
    Substitution: F. RomeroPenarol · Out: L. Ferreira
  8. 51'
    Goal: F. BonfiglioBoston River
    Goal: F. Bonfiglio
  9. 56'
    Yellow Card: L. SuhrBoston River
    Yellow Card: L. Suhr
  10. Substitution: Lucas HernandezOut: J. Cabrera
    60'
    Substitution: Lucas HernandezPenarol · Out: J. Cabrera
  11. 66'
    Substitution: F. AristeguiBoston River · Out: L. Suhr
    Substitution: F. AristeguiOut: L. Suhr
  12. Substitution: A. HernandezOut: T. N. Espinosa Dovat
    74'
    Substitution: A. HernandezPenarol · Out: T. N. Espinosa Dovat
  13. 78'
    Substitution: F. SaraviaBoston River · Out: L. Vazquez
    Substitution: F. SaraviaOut: L. Vazquez
  14. 86'
    Substitution: J. S. O'Neill LopezBoston River · Out: F. Martinez
    Substitution: J. S. O'Neill LopezOut: F. Martinez
  15. 86'
    Substitution: N. SiriBoston River · Out: F. Bonfiglio
    Substitution: N. SiriOut: F. Bonfiglio
  16. Substitution: I. AlegreOut: C. Jaime
    89'
    Substitution: I. AlegrePenarol · Out: C. Jaime
  17. Goal: A. Hernandez
    90+2'
    Goal: A. HernandezPenarol
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Penarol 2-1 Boston River
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-0chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headPenarol – Boston RiverInjuriesPenarolInjuriesBoston RiverLive scores

Statistical Context

Penarol

DDLDW
  • DOct 31, 26H · Wanderers1-1
  • DOct 23, 26A · Juventud0-0
  • LOct 18, 26A · Liverpool Montevideo1-0
  • DOct 10, 26H · Progreso1-1
  • WOct 4, 26A · Racing Montevideo0-1

Boston River

LLWWD
  • LNov 1, 26H · Atletico Torque1-2
  • LOct 25, 26A · Cerro Largo2-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Defensor Sporting1-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · Wanderers1-3
  • DOct 4, 26H · Juventud0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Deportivo Maldonado13+822DWLDW
5Penarol13+822DDLDW
6Racing Montevideo13+419WDWLL
7Progreso13-219LWWDL
8Juventud13+218LDLWD
9Cerro13-418LLDWL
10Wanderers13-516DLLLW
11Boston River13-215LLWWD
12Albion FC13-513DWWWW

Season Statistics — 2026

PenarolBoston River
Played36
Goals Scored26
Goals Conceded510
Avg Scored0.71.0
Avg Conceded1.71.7
Clean Sheets01

Penarol vs Boston River — Match Analysis

Penarol are favoured at 71%; our projected score is 1-0.

Penarol host Boston River in the Primera División on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes Penarol the favourite at 71%, with the draw at 17% and Boston River at 12%.

Form and league position

Penarol sit 4th of 16 with 12 points from 6 games (11 scored, 4 conceded), recent form D-L-W-W-W. Boston River sit 11th of 16 with 8 points from 7 games (9 scored, 10 conceded), recent form W-L-L-L-L.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.0, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Penarol at 1.40, the draw at 4.25 and Boston River at 6.70; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Penarol to win (71%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Penarol: 68% · Draw: 19% · Boston River: 13%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 50% · Under 2.5: 50% · BTTS: 53%

Form (latest first): Penarol: DDLDW · Boston River: LLWWD

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro Largo
Nov 1223:00
Progreso
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Atletico Torque
Nov 1320:00
Racing Montevideo
12.0449%
X4.0025%
23.8526%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Central Espanol
Nov 1413:00
Boston River
13.3330%
X3.5728%
22.3842%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Deportivo Maldonado
Nov 1419:30
Cerro
11.6760%
X4.5522%
25.5618%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Club Nacional
Nov 1423:00
Albion FC
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Danubio
Nov 1519:30
Liverpool Montevideo
16.6715%
X4.7621%
21.5664%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Defensor Sporting
Nov 1523:00
Penarol
15.5618%
X4.5522%
21.6760%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Wanderers
Nov 1623:00
Juventud
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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