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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Boston River vs Progreso

Boston River vs Progreso

Result • Primera División·Boston River·Progreso

Primera División
Primera División
Sep 19, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
Boston River

Boston River

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.95
X3.25
23.75
Stadium
Parque Artigas
medium Confidence
WINNER
Progreso

Progreso

Away
Odds
11.95
X3.25
23.75
Stadium
Parque Artigas
Win Probabilities
51%
Boston River
26%
Draw
23%
Progreso
Home1.9551%
Draw3.2526%
Away3.7523%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Boston River are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Boston River and Progreso using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Boston River a 51% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Progreso a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Own goal: F. Martinez (Own goal)Progreso
    Own goal: F. Martinez (Own goal)
  2. 26'
    Substitution: M. JuambeltzProgreso · Out: L. Viana
    Substitution: M. JuambeltzOut: L. Viana
  3. Substitution: A. AmadoOut: F. Saravia
    46'
    Substitution: A. AmadoBoston River · Out: F. Saravia
  4. Substitution: F. AvenattiOut: L. Vazquez
    46'
    Substitution: F. AvenattiBoston River · Out: L. Vazquez
  5. Substitution: F. ValdezOut: F. Aristegui
    46'
    Substitution: F. ValdezBoston River · Out: F. Aristegui
  6. Yellow Card: I. Fernandez
    48'
    Yellow Card: I. FernandezBoston River
  7. 56'
    Yellow Card: M. JuambeltzProgreso
    Yellow Card: M. Juambeltz
  8. 58'
    Yellow Card: A. CougoProgreso
    Yellow Card: A. Cougo
  9. 62'
    Substitution: E. AlvarezProgreso · Out: F. De Leon
    Substitution: E. AlvarezOut: F. De Leon
  10. Substitution: G. RamirezOut: I. Fernandez
    70'
    Substitution: G. RamirezBoston River · Out: I. Fernandez
  11. Goal: N. Siri
    71'
    Goal: N. SiriBoston River
  12. Substitution: L. SuarezOut: J. Acosta
    75'
    Substitution: L. SuarezBoston River · Out: J. Acosta
  13. 75'
    Substitution: L. CoutureProgreso · Out: R. Cristobal
    Substitution: L. CoutureOut: R. Cristobal
  14. 75'
    Substitution: N. AcostaProgreso · Out: G. Trasante
    Substitution: N. AcostaOut: G. Trasante
  15. 75'
    Substitution: J. Dos SantosProgreso · Out: A. Ocampo
    Substitution: J. Dos SantosOut: A. Ocampo
  16. 90'
    Goal: N. LopezProgreso
    Goal: N. Lopez
  17. 90+2'
    Yellow Card: M. SaraviaProgreso
    Yellow Card: M. Saravia
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headBoston River – ProgresoInjuriesBoston RiverInjuriesProgresoLive scores

Statistical Context

Boston River

LLWWD
  • LNov 1, 26H · Atletico Torque1-2
  • LOct 25, 26A · Cerro Largo2-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · Defensor Sporting1-0
  • WOct 10, 26A · Wanderers1-3
  • DOct 4, 26H · Juventud0-0

Progreso

LWWDL
  • LNov 1, 26H · Defensor Sporting0-2
  • WOct 25, 26A · Wanderers0-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Juventud2-0
  • DOct 10, 26A · Penarol1-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Liverpool Montevideo3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Racing Montevideo13+419WDWLL
7Progreso13-219LWWDL
8Juventud13+218LDLWD
9Cerro13-418LLDWL
10Wanderers13-516DLLLW
11Boston River13-215LLWWD
12Albion FC13-513DWWWW

Season Statistics — 2026

Boston RiverProgreso
Played6—
Goals Scored6—
Goals Conceded10—
Avg Scored1.0—
Avg Conceded1.7—
Clean Sheets1—

Boston River vs Progreso — Match Analysis

Boston River are favoured at 51%; our projected score is 1-0.

Boston River host Progreso in the Primera División on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Our model makes Boston River the favourite at 51%, with the draw at 26% and Progreso at 23%.

Form and league position

Boston River sit 8th of 16 with 8 points from 6 games (8 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-W-L-L-L. Progreso sit 11th of 16 with 6 points from 6 games (3 scored, 7 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.0, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 45%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Boston River at 1.91, the draw at 3.20 and Progreso at 3.75; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Boston River to win (51%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Boston River: 51% · Draw: 26% · Progreso: 23%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 38% · Under 2.5: 62% · BTTS: 45%

Form (latest first): Boston River: LLWWD · Progreso: LWWDL

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