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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Danubio vs Cerro Largo

Danubio vs Cerro Largo

Result • Primera División·Danubio·Cerro Largo

Primera División
Primera División
Oct 4, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Danubio

Danubio

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.10
23.60
Stadium
Gardens of the Hippodrome
medium Confidence
Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.10
23.60
Stadium
Gardens of the Hippodrome
Win Probabilities
46%
Danubio
28%
Draw
26%
Cerro Largo
Home2.0046%
Draw3.1028%
Away3.6026%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Danubio are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Primera División fixture between Danubio and Cerro Largo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Danubio a 46% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Cerro Largo a 26% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 32%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 32%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Tomas Bernardo Cavanagh
    1'
    Yellow Card: Tomas Bernardo CavanaghDanubio
  2. Goal: Mateo peralta
    15'
    Goal: Mateo peraltaDanubio
  3. 26'
    Yellow Card: Pedro GonzalezCerro Largo
    Yellow Card: Pedro Gonzalez
  4. Penalty: Mateo peralta (Penalty)
    27'
    Penalty: Mateo peralta (Penalty)Danubio
  5. 30'
    Yellow Card: Santiago Marcel·PerezCerro Largo
    Yellow Card: Santiago Marcel·Perez
  6. 42'
    Goal: Alexis Sebastián SegoviaCerro Largo
    Goal: Alexis Sebastián Segovia
  7. Substitution: Gonzalo RodríguezOut: Tomas Bernardo Cavanagh
    46'
    Substitution: Gonzalo RodríguezDanubio · Out: Tomas Bernardo Cavanagh
  8. 46'
    Substitution: Lukas gonzalezCerro Largo · Out: Pedro Gonzalez
    Substitution: Lukas gonzalezOut: Pedro Gonzalez
  9. 59'
    Substitution: Diego DaguerreCerro Largo · Out: Lucas Piriz
    Substitution: Diego DaguerreOut: Lucas Piriz
  10. 60'
    Yellow Card: Diego DaguerreCerro Largo
    Yellow Card: Diego Daguerre
  11. Substitution: Sebastián FernándezOut: Benjamin Azambuja
    61'
    Substitution: Sebastián FernándezDanubio · Out: Benjamin Azambuja
  12. Substitution: J. MillánOut: Ivan Rossi
    61'
    Substitution: J. MillánDanubio · Out: Ivan Rossi
  13. 61'
    Yellow Card: alexis piegasCerro Largo
    Yellow Card: alexis piegas
  14. Substitution: Enzo CabreraOut: Sebastián Rodriguez
    68'
    Substitution: Enzo CabreraDanubio · Out: Sebastián Rodriguez
  15. Yellow Card: J. Millán
    70'
    Yellow Card: J. MillánDanubio
  16. 71'
    Substitution: Robert ErgasCerro Largo · Out: nicolas ramos
    Substitution: Robert ErgasOut: nicolas ramos
  17. 71'
    Substitution: Mario GarciaCerro Largo · Out: Alexis Sebastián Segovia
    Substitution: Mario GarciaOut: Alexis Sebastián Segovia
  18. 83'
    Substitution: Borys BaroneCerro Largo · Out: Santiago Marcel·Perez
    Substitution: Borys BaroneOut: Santiago Marcel·Perez
  19. Yellow Card: Gonzalo Rodríguez
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: Gonzalo RodríguezDanubio
  20. Goal: Goal
    90+4'
    Goal: GoalDanubio
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headDanubio – Cerro LargoInjuriesDanubioInjuriesCerro LargoLive scores

Statistical Context

Danubio

LLWLL
  • LNov 1, 26H · Club Nacional1-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · Deportivo Maldonado2-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · Central Espanol1-0
  • LOct 9, 26A · Atletico Torque1-0
  • LSep 27, 26A · Defensor Sporting1-0

Cerro Largo

LWDLL
  • LOct 31, 26A · Racing Montevideo3-1
  • WOct 25, 26H · Boston River2-0
  • DOct 16, 26A · Cerro1-1
  • LOct 11, 26H · Albion FC0-1
  • LSep 26, 26H · Club Nacional0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Defensor Sporting13-712WDLLL
14Danubio13-810LLWLW
15Cerro Largo13-79LWDLL
16Central Espanol13-148WLLLL

Danubio vs Cerro Largo — Match Analysis

Danubio are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Danubio host Cerro Largo in the Primera División on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Our model makes Danubio the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 30% and Cerro Largo at 30%.

Form and league position

Danubio sit 15th of 16 with 4 points from 8 games (2 scored, 9 conceded), recent form L-D-D-L. Cerro Largo sit 13th of 16 with 5 points from 8 games (5 scored, 10 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.8, about 1.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams to score at 32%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Danubio at 2.30, the draw at 2.90 and Cerro Largo at 3.15; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Danubio to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Danubio: 46% · Draw: 28% · Cerro Largo: 26%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.2% chance)

Over 2.5: 22% · Under 2.5: 78% · BTTS: 32%

Form (latest first): Danubio: LLWLL · Cerro Largo: LWDLL

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro Largo
Nov 1223:00
Progreso
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Atletico Torque
Nov 1320:00
Racing Montevideo
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Central Espanol
Nov 1413:00
Boston River
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Deportivo Maldonado
Nov 1419:30
Cerro
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Club Nacional
Nov 1423:00
Albion FC
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Danubio
Nov 1519:30
Liverpool Montevideo
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Defensor Sporting
Nov 1523:00
Penarol
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Wanderers
Nov 1623:00
Juventud
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%

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