Liverpool Montevideo host Progreso in the Primera División on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Our model makes Liverpool Montevideo the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Progreso at 16%.
Form and league position
Liverpool Montevideo sit 2nd of 16 with 17 points from 8 games (14 scored, 5 conceded), recent form W-L-D-W. Progreso sit 10th of 16 with 12 points from 8 games (7 scored, 9 conceded), recent form W-L-W-W.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–0.9, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 46%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Liverpool Montevideo at 1.60, the draw at 3.70 and Progreso at 4.80; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Liverpool Montevideo to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
