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  1. Home
  2. Primera División
  3. Penarol vs Progreso

Penarol vs Progreso

Prediction • Primera División·Penarol·Progreso

Primera División
Primera División
Oct 10, 2026
21:00
PREDICTED WINNER
Penarol

Penarol

Home
VS
VS
Progreso

Progreso

Away
Win Probabilities
66%
Penarol
17%
Draw
17%
Progreso
Home1.5266%
Draw5.8817%
Away5.8817%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Penarol are favoured at 66%; our projected score is 1-0.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Penarol vs Progreso.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Penarol
/10
6.0Progreso
Penarol
FormLatest first
DWWWW
Win Rate80%
Progreso
FormLatest first
LWWLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantagePenarol+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Penarol
Home

Penarol

Form
WWWWD
Latest first
4
Pos
16
Pts
-3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-3
Progreso
Away

Progreso

Form
WLWWL
Latest first
10
Pos
12
Pts
-3
Goal Diff

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Primera División

League Statistics

Primera División • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Liverpool Montevideo
9621177+1020
2
Atletico Torque
8611198+1119
3
Deportivo Maldonado
9522135+817
4
PenarolHome
8521146+816
5
Club Nacional
8422119+214
6
Cerro
842299014
7
Juventud
8341106+413
8
Racing Montevideo
833297+212
9
Wanderers
83321011-112
10
ProgresoAway
9405912-312
11
Boston River
82241012-28
12
Defensor Sporting
9225916-78
13
Cerro Largo
8053510-55
14
Central Espanol
9126516-115
15
Danubio
804429-74
16
Albion FC
9108918-93
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Penarol

Confidence

Win Probabilities

66%Penarol
17%Draw
17%Progreso

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 21:00
League StatsPrimera División
Head-to-head →Injuries · PenarolInjuries · ProgresoLive scores →

Statistical Context

Penarol

DWWWW
  • DSep 30, 26A · Atletico Torque1-1
  • WSep 26, 26H · Boston River2-1
  • WSep 19, 26A · Cerro1-2
  • WSep 13, 26H · Albion FC3-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Danubio0-4

Progreso

LWWLW
  • LOct 3, 26A · Liverpool Montevideo3-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · Racing Montevideo2-1
  • WSep 19, 26A · Boston River1-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Cerro1-3
  • WSep 7, 26A · Albion FC0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Deportivo Maldonado9+817WWWLW
4Penarol8+816DWWWW
5Club Nacional8+214WWDDW
6Cerro8014DLWWD
7Juventud8+413DWDDW
8Racing Montevideo8+212LDWLW
9Wanderers8-112WDDLW
10Progreso9-312LWWLW
11Boston River8-28LLLLD

Season Statistics — 2026

PenarolProgreso
Played3—
Goals Scored2—
Goals Conceded5—
Avg Scored0.7—
Avg Conceded1.7—
Clean Sheets0—

Penarol vs Progreso — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Penarol are favoured at 66%; our projected score is 1-0.

Penarol host Progreso in the Primera División on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Penarol the favourite at 66% , with the draw at 17% and Progreso at 17%. Form and league position Penarol sit 3rd of 16 with 15 points from 7 games (13 scored, 5 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-W.…

Win Probabilities: Penarol: 66% · Draw: 17% · Progreso: 17%

Form (latest first): Penarol: DWWWW · Progreso: LWWLW

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Primera División

Primera División

Uruguay9 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Racing Montevideo
Oct 422:30
Penarol
13.4529%
X3.4529%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Club Nacional
Oct 523:00
Atletico Torque
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Deportivo Maldonado
Oct 923:00
Liverpool Montevideo
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Defensor Sporting
Oct 1014:00
Cerro
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Juventud
Oct 1017:30
Racing Montevideo
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Atletico Torque
Oct 1100:30
Danubio
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Wanderers
Oct 1113:00
Boston River
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Cerro Largo
Oct 1118:00
Albion FC
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Primera DivisiónUruguay
Central Espanol
Oct 1121:30
Club Nacional
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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