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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC

Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC

Result • MLS·Chicago Fire·Atlanta United FC

MLS
MLS
Apr 12, 2026
00:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.57
X4.33
25.25
Stadium
Soldier Field
high Confidence
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

Away
Odds
11.57
X4.33
25.25
Stadium
Soldier Field
Win Probabilities
56%
Chicago Fire
28%
Draw
16%
Atlanta United FC
Home1.5756%
Draw4.3328%
Away5.2516%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's defensive fortress holding strong, while Atlanta's struggles cast shadows on their path. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum as the key, favoring the home side in this clash.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United FC using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Chicago Fire a 56% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Atlanta United FC a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 3'
    Yellow Card: T. JacobAtlanta United FC
    Yellow Card: T. Jacob
  2. Yellow Card: P. Zinckernagel
    8'
    Yellow Card: P. ZinckernagelChicago Fire
  3. Goal: M. Haile-SelassieAssist: J. Bamba
    13'
    Goal: M. Haile-SelassieChicago Fire · Assist: J. Bamba
  4. Yellow Card: L. Barroso
    49'
    Yellow Card: L. BarrosoChicago Fire
  5. 66'
    Substitution: S. AlzateAtlanta United FC · Out: C. Sanchez
    Substitution: S. AlzateOut: C. Sanchez
  6. Substitution: J. DeanOut: L. Barroso
    68'
    Substitution: J. DeanChicago Fire · Out: L. Barroso
  7. Substitution: M. PinedaOut: D. D'Avilla
    68'
    Substitution: M. PinedaChicago Fire · Out: D. D'Avilla
  8. 78'
    Substitution: P. AmadorAtlanta United FC · Out: E. Baez
    Substitution: P. AmadorOut: E. Baez
  9. 78'
    Substitution: C. TogashiAtlanta United FC · Out: E. Latte Lath
    Substitution: C. TogashiOut: E. Latte Lath
  10. 78'
    Substitution: L. BrennanAtlanta United FC · Out: S. Lobjanidze
    Substitution: L. BrennanOut: S. Lobjanidze
  11. Substitution: P. DithejaneOut: J. Bamba
    89'
    Substitution: P. DithejaneChicago Fire · Out: J. Bamba
  12. Substitution: J. ShokalookOut: P. Zinckernagel
    89'
    Substitution: J. ShokalookChicago Fire · Out: P. Zinckernagel
  13. 89'
    Substitution: A. FortuneAtlanta United FC · Out: M. Galarza
    Substitution: A. FortuneOut: M. Galarza
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1H. Cuypers vs Atlanta defense: Cuypers' goal-scoring ability against Atlanta's leaky defense could be decisive.
2A. Miranchuk vs Chicago defense: Miranchuk's attacking threat will test Chicago's strong defensive line.
3Midfield control: The battle in midfield between Chicago's 4-4-2 and Atlanta's 4-3-3 will influence possession and chances.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Chicago Fire

  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Current 3-game winning streak boosting confidence
  • Multiple key players doubtful due to injuries (6 players out)
  • Limited recent form data for win rate and detailed stats

Atlanta United FC

  • A. Miranchuk as a key attacking threat with 3 goals
  • 4-3-3 formation allows for offensive flexibility
  • 2-game losing streak indicating poor form
  • High goals conceded rate (1.6 per game in last 5)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
56%
API-Football
45%
51%
Chicago Fire503713

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the structured data, Chicago Fire is predicted to win this match, with a 58% probability, aligning closely with the market probabilities and supported by recent form and defensive strength.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire is on a 3-game winning streak, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals conceded per game. Atlanta United FC is on a 2-game losing streak, averaging 1.6 goals conceded per game and failing to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1) Chicago Fire's strong defensive form and home advantage (rating 0.55) provide a solid foundation. 2) Atlanta United FC's recent struggles and higher goals conceded rate weaken their chances. 3) The head-to-head record is balanced, but current momentum favors Chicago Fire.

Conclusion: The data indicates Chicago Fire as the favorite, with a higher likelihood of a win or draw, consistent with the market and API model predictions.

Statistical ContextChicago Fire

Double chance : Chicago Fire or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Chicago FireAtlanta United FC
58%Strength41%
54%Attacking Potential46%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
44%Goals H2H56%
58%Wins the Game41%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Chicago FireInjuries · Atlanta United FCLive scores →

Statistical Context

Chicago Fire

LDDDD
  • LSep 13, 26H · New England Revolution1-2
  • DSep 10, 26H · Inter Miami1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Toronto FC4-4
  • DAug 29, 26A · Seattle Sounders2-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · New York Red Bulls1-1

Atlanta United FC

DLDLW
  • DSep 12, 26A · DC United0-0
  • LSep 9, 26H · Orlando City SC2-3
  • DSep 5, 26A · Inter Miami2-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · Charlotte0-2
  • WAug 23, 26H · Sporting Kansas City2-1

Head to Head

2
Chicago Fire
4
Draws
4
Atlanta United FC
  • Jul 16, 25Atlanta United FC – Chicago Fire2-2
  • May 10, 25Chicago Fire – Atlanta United FC2-1
  • Apr 28, 24Chicago Fire – Atlanta United FC0-0
  • Mar 31, 24Atlanta United FC – Chicago Fire3-0
  • May 21, 23Chicago Fire – Atlanta United FC3-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Chicago FireAtlanta United FC
Played2425
Goals Scored4529
Goals Conceded3543
Avg Scored1.91.2
Avg Conceded1.51.7
Clean Sheets62

Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's defensive fortress holding strong, while Atlanta's struggles cast shadows on their path. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum as the key, favoring the home side in this clash.

Based on the structured data, Chicago Fire is predicted to win this match, with a 58% probability, aligning closely with the market probabilities and supported by recent form and defensive strength.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire is on a 3-game winning streak, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals conceded per game. Atlanta United FC is on a 2-game losing streak, averaging 1.6 goals conceded per game and failing to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1) Chicago Fire's strong defensive form and home advantage (rating 0.55) provide a solid foundation. 2) Atlanta United FC's recent struggles and higher goals conceded rate weaken their chances. 3) The head-to-head record is balanced, but current momentum favors Chicago Fire.

Conclusion: The data indicates Chicago Fire as the favorite, with a higher likelihood of a win or draw, consistent with the market and API model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Chicago Fire: 56% · Draw: 28% · Atlanta United FC: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Chicago Fire wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Atlanta United FC wins: 4

Form (latest first): Chicago Fire: LDDDD · Atlanta United FC: DLDLW

  • H. Cuypers vs Atlanta defense: Cuypers' goal-scoring ability against Atlanta's leaky defense could be decisive.
  • A. Miranchuk vs Chicago defense: Miranchuk's attacking threat will test Chicago's strong defensive line.
  • Midfield control: The battle in midfield between Chicago's 4-4-2 and Atlanta's 4-3-3 will influence possession and chances.

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 2023:00
San Diego
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Sep 2401:30
Real Salt Lake
12.7836%
X3.2331%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
Philadelphia Union
Sep 2623:30
Orlando City SC
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
New York Red Bulls
Sep 2623:30
St. Louis City
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Sep 2623:30
New York City FC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
CF Montreal
Sep 2623:30
FC Cincinnati
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
MLSUSA
Charlotte
Sep 2623:30
Chicago Fire
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Seattle Sounders
Sep 2700:30
Minnesota United FC
12.3842%
X3.7027%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 2700:30
Los Angeles FC
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
MLSUSA
Houston Dynamo
Sep 2700:30
Sporting Kansas City
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Sep 2700:30
Toronto FC
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
MLSUSA
Austin
Sep 2700:30
San Diego
12.3842%
X3.2331%
23.7027%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 2701:30
New England Revolution
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 2702:30
Portland Timbers
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 2702:30
DC United
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%

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