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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

Prediction • MLS·Atlanta United FC·New York City FC

MLS
MLS
Sep 26, 2026
23:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
New York City FC

New York City FC

Away
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Win Probabilities
38%
Atlanta United FC
27%
Draw
35%
New York City FC
Home2.6338%
Draw3.7027%
Away2.8635%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atlanta United FC have a narrow edge at home, backed by better recent form and home advantage, but New York City FC's higher league position and the prolific N. Fernández Mercau make this a tight contest. The main risk is Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities, which could allow the visitors to score.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Atlanta United FC
/10
0.0New York City FC
Atlanta United FC
FormLatest first
LWWWL
Win Rate60%
New York City FC
FormLatest first
DDLLD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageAtlanta United FC+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Atlanta United FC
Home

Atlanta United FC

Form
LWWWL
Latest first
14
Pos
28
Pts
-13
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 22 matches)

Clean Sheets15%
Goal Diff-13
  • Home advantage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Recent winning form (3 wins in last 5)
  • Key attacking player A. Miranchuk in form

Key Players

A. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
7.4
Goals
5
Assists
2
E. Mihaj
Red Card
Suspended
E. Baez
Yellow Cards
Suspended
T. Jacob
Yellow Cards
Suspended
M. Edwards
Hamstring Injury
Injured
E. Latte Lath
Transfer negotiations
Injured
P. Amador
Achilles Injury
Injured
A. Fortune
Hamstring Injury
Injured
Sergio Santos
Calf Injury
Injured
S. Alzate
Groin Injury
Injured
P. Diaz
Transfer negotiations
Injured
D. Chong-Qui
Knee Injury
Injured
W. Reilly
Ankle Injury
Injured
F. Picault
Hamstring Injury
Injured
C. Sanchez
International duty
Injured
L. Brennan
Injury
Injured
J. Berrocal
Hamstring Injury
Injured
M. Galarza
Injury
Injured
B. Embolo
Inactive
Injured
M. Amaro
Inactive
Injured
M. Almiron
Knee Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
1Wins
6
Draws
New York City FC
3Wins
New York City FC
10%60%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jun122025
New York City FCNew York City FC
4-0
Loss
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Mar292025
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
4-3
Win
New York City FCNew York City FC
Jul172024
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
2-2
Draw
New York City FCNew York City FC
Apr62024
New York City FCNew York City FC
1-1
Draw
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Jun212023
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
2-2
Draw
New York City FCNew York City FC
Apr82023
New York City FCNew York City FC
1-1
Draw
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Oct92022
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1-2
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC
Jul32022
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-2
Draw
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Nov212021
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-0
Loss
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Oct202021
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1-1
Draw
New York City FCNew York City FC
Atlanta United FC4-3-3vs4-4-2New York City FCPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Wide wingers can exploit narrow midfield. Expect home team to dominate flanks.

New York City FCNew York City FC4-4-2
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC4-3-3
New York City FCBenchNew York City FC7
Atlanta United FCBenchAtlanta United FC7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Atlanta United FC

20Out

17 key players

New York City FC

17Out

15 key players

Atlanta United FC

Team

Atlanta United FC

Players Out

20(17 key)
E. Mihaj

E. Mihaj

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Baez

E. Baez

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
T. Jacob

T. Jacob

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
M. Edwards

M. Edwards

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

E. Latte Lath

E. Latte Lath

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Amador

P. Amador

MODERATE
Injury:Achilles Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Fortune

A. Fortune

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Sergio Santos

Sergio Santos

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Alzate

S. Alzate

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Diaz

P. Diaz

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Chong-Qui

D. Chong-Qui

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

W. Reilly

W. Reilly

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

F. Picault

F. Picault

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Sanchez

C. Sanchez

MODERATE
Injury:International duty

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Brennan

L. Brennan

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Berrocal

J. Berrocal

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Galarza

M. Galarza

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Embolo

B. Embolo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Amaro

M. Amaro

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

M. Almiron

M. Almiron

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

New York City FC

Team

New York City FC

Players Out

17(15 key)
T. Gray

T. Gray

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Mercau

N. Mercau

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
K. O'Toole

K. O'Toole

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. O'Neill

A. O'Neill

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Raul Gustavo

Raul Gustavo

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

K. Trewin

K. Trewin

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Thiago Martins

Thiago Martins

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Murray

M. Murray

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Jones

M. Jones

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Martinez

A. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Baiera

D. Baiera

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

H. Wolf

H. Wolf

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Moralez

M. Moralez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

K. Parks

K. Parks

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Perea

A. Perea

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Farnos

A. Farnos

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Talles Magno

Talles Magno

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

MLS

League Statistics

MLS • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
2113444818+3043
1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
2216424717+3052
2
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2212373026+439
2
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2212645641+1542
3
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2310673622+1436
3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
2111463928+1137
4
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
2210483933+634
4
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
2211473627+937
5
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
229764137+434
5
Charlotte
Charlotte
2210574032+835
6
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
229763330+334
6
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
228774951-231
7
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
22101113128+331
7
New York City FC
New York City FCAway
227783631+528
8
San Diego
San Diego
228684033+730
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
2275103246-1426
9
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
227873032-229
9
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
2274113754-1725
10
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
218493433+128
10
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
2251073238-625
11
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
2284103939028
11
DC United
DC United
2251072836-825
12
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
217592429-526
12
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
2266103439-524
13
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
236892835-726
13
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FCHome
2263132538-1321
14
Austin
Austin
2266102841-1324
14
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2256113046-1621
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
2243152054-3415
15
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
2255123139-820
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

38%Atlanta United FC
27%Draw
35%New York City FC

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 26 · 23:30
StadiumMercedes-Benz Stadium
League StatsMLS

Statistical Context

Atlanta United FC

LWWWL
  • LAug 29, 26H · Charlotte0-2
  • WAug 23, 26H · Sporting Kansas City2-1
  • WAug 20, 26A · Minnesota United FC1-2
  • WAug 15, 26H · New York Red Bulls2-1
  • LAug 1, 26A · Philadelphia Union3-2

New York City FC

DDLLD
  • DAug 29, 26A · Toronto FC1-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · New England Revolution1-1
  • LAug 19, 26A · FC Cincinnati2-1
  • LAug 16, 26H · Philadelphia Union2-3
  • DJul 31, 26H · Toronto FC1-1

Head to Head

1
Atlanta United FC
6
Draws
3
New York City FC
  • Jun 12, 25New York City FC – Atlanta United FC4-0
  • Mar 29, 25Atlanta United FC – New York City FC4-3
  • Jul 17, 24Atlanta United FC – New York City FC2-2
  • Apr 6, 24New York City FC – Atlanta United FC1-1
  • Jun 21, 23Atlanta United FC – New York City FC2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Atlanta United FCNew York City FC
Played2221
Goals Scored2535
Goals Conceded3830
Avg Scored1.11.7
Avg Conceded1.71.4
Clean Sheets13

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Atlanta United FC

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 42GJayden Hibbert
  2. 6DJ. Alonso
  3. 3DE. Báez
  4. 27DP. Díaz
  5. 47DMatthew Edwards
  6. 20ML. Brennan
  7. 16MAdrian Gill
  8. 8MT. Muyumba
  9. 59AA. Miranchuk
  10. 10AM. Almirón
  11. 39AA. Kovac

Coach: R. Deila

New York City FC

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 49GM. Freese
  2. 2DNico Cavallo
  3. 23DMaxwell Murray
  4. 22DK. O'Toole
  5. 35DM. Ilenič
  6. 15MK. Pierre
  7. 32MJ. Shore
  8. 26MA. Ojeda
  9. 9MB. Traoré
  10. 7AN. Fernández Mercau
  11. 20ALuighi Hanri

Coach: P. Jansen

Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atlanta United FC have a narrow edge at home, backed by better recent form and home advantage, but New York City FC's higher league position and the prolific N. Fernández Mercau make this a tight contest. The main risk is Atlanta's defensive vulnerabilities, which could allow the visitors to score.

Based on the data, this is a tightly contested MLS match with a slight edge for Atlanta United FC, who are playing at home. The baseline probabilities and the API model both give Atlanta a narrow adva…

Win Probabilities: Atlanta United FC: 38% · Draw: 27% · New York City FC: 35%

H2H: Atlanta United FC wins: 1 · Draws: 6 · New York City FC wins: 3

Form (latest first): Atlanta United FC: LWWWL · New York City FC: DDLLD

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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X3.8526%
22.9434%
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Sep 523:30
San Diego
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23.0333%
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Philadelphia Union
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CF Montreal
11.5664%
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28.3312%
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Sep 523:30
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Colorado Rapids
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23.8526%
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FC Cincinnati
Sep 523:30
DC United
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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Inter Miami
Sep 523:30
Atlanta United FC
11.5465%
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27.6913%
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Charlotte
Sep 523:30
Houston Dynamo
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
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Seattle Sounders
Sep 600:30
New York Red Bulls
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
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FC Dallas
Sep 600:30
Sporting Kansas City
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
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Austin
Sep 600:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
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Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 601:30
New England Revolution
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
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Real Salt Lake
Sep 601:30
Los Angeles FC
12.5040%
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22.9434%
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