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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. New York City FC vs Nashville SC

New York City FC vs Nashville SC

Prediction • MLS·New York City FC·Nashville SC

MLS
MLS
Sep 4, 2026
23:30
PREDICTED WINNER
New York City FC

New York City FC

Home
VS
VS
Odds
12.28
X3.60
22.82
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Away
Odds
12.28
X3.60
22.82
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
Win Probabilities
40%
New York City FC
26%
Draw
34%
Nashville SC
Home2.2840%
Draw3.6026%
Away2.8234%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Nashville SC are clear favourites given their three-game winning streak and top-of-table form, but the odds suggest a narrow edge. The main risk is New York's home advantage and their historical head-to-head dominance.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0New York City FC
/10
8.0Nashville SC
New York City FC
FormLatest first
DDLLD
Win Rate0%
Nashville SC
FormLatest first
WWWWD
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantageNashville SC+8.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

19°
Clear
Wind
17 km/h
Humidity
75%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

New York City FC
Home

New York City FC

Form
DLLDD
Latest first
5
Pos
56
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 21 matches)

Clean Sheets314%
Goal Diff+5
  • Home advantage at Yankee Stadium
  • Key scorer N. Fernández Mercau with 10 goals
  • Historical head-to-head edge with 3 wins in last 5

Key Players

N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
7.9
Goals
10
Assists
3
M. Moralez
M. Moralez
6.9
Goals
1
Assists
6
T. Gray
Red Card
Suspended
N. Mercau
Yellow Cards
Suspended
K. O'Toole
Leg Injury
Injured
A. O'Neill
Ankle Injury
Injured
Raul Gustavo
Leg Injury
Injured
K. Trewin
Ankle Injury
Injured
Thiago Martins
Leg Injury
Injured
M. Murray
Injury
Injured
M. Jones
Fracture
Injured
A. Martinez
Knee Injury
Injured
D. Baiera
Knee Injury
Injured
H. Wolf
Leg Injury
Injured
M. Moralez
Knee Injury
Injured
K. Parks
Groin Injury
Injured
A. Perea
Leg Injury
Injured
A. Farnos
Injury
Injured
Talles Magno
Muscle Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 9
New York City FC
New York City FC
3Wins
2
Draws
Nashville SC
4Wins
Nashville SC
33%22%44%

Recent Matches

Last 9
May242026
Nashville SCNashville SC
2-1
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC
Aug172025
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-1
Win
Nashville SCNashville SC
May312025
Nashville SCNashville SC
2-2
Draw
New York City FCNew York City FC
Oct62024
New York City FCNew York City FC
3-1
Win
Nashville SCNashville SC
Jun232024
Nashville SCNashville SC
1-0
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC
Apr152023
New York City FCNew York City FC
2-1
Win
Nashville SCNashville SC
Feb252023
Nashville SCNashville SC
2-0
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC
Oct32021
New York City FCNew York City FC
0-0
Draw
Nashville SCNashville SC
Sep32021
Nashville SCNashville SC
3-1
Loss
New York City FCNew York City FC

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Nashville SC 2 - 1 New York City FC

May 24, 2026

35% / 33% / 32%

New York City FC4-4-2vs4-4-2Nashville SCPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Traditional setup. Set pieces and counter-attacks key.

Nashville SCNashville SC4-4-2
New York City FCNew York City FC4-4-2
Nashville SCBenchNashville SC4
New York City FCBenchNew York City FC7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

New York City FC

17Out

15 key players

Nashville SC

15Out

13 key players

New York City FC

Team

New York City FC

Players Out

17(15 key)
T. Gray

T. Gray

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Mercau

N. Mercau

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
K. O'Toole

K. O'Toole

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. O'Neill

A. O'Neill

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Raul Gustavo

Raul Gustavo

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

K. Trewin

K. Trewin

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Thiago Martins

Thiago Martins

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Murray

M. Murray

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Jones

M. Jones

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Martinez

A. Martinez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Baiera

D. Baiera

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

H. Wolf

H. Wolf

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Moralez

M. Moralez

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

K. Parks

K. Parks

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Perea

A. Perea

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Farnos

A. Farnos

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Talles Magno

Talles Magno

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Nashville SC

Team

Nashville SC

Players Out

15(13 key)
M. Corcoran

M. Corcoran

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
E. Tagseth

E. Tagseth

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

A. Najar

A. Najar

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Espinoza

C. Espinoza

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Mohammed

S. Mohammed

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Qasem

A. Qasem

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

W. Madrigal

W. Madrigal

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Muyl

A. Muyl

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Willis

J. Willis

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Surridge

S. Surridge

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

C. Applewhite

C. Applewhite

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Baker-Whiting

R. Baker-Whiting

MODERATE
Injury:Lower-Body Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Williams

T. Williams

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Yazbek

P. Yazbek

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

X. Valdez

X. Valdez

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

MLS

League Statistics

MLS • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
2113444818+3043
1
Nashville SC
Nashville SCAway
2216424717+3052
2
Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
2212373026+439
2
Inter Miami
Inter Miami
2212645641+1542
3
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2310673622+1436
3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
2111463928+1137
4
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
2210483933+634
4
Charlotte
Charlotte
2210574032+835
5
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
219663834+433
5
New England Revolution
New England Revolution
2110473326+734
6
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
219663027+333
6
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
228774951-231
7
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
22101113128+331
7
New York City FC
New York City FCHome
227783631+528
8
San Diego
San Diego
228684033+730
8
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
2275103246-1426
9
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
227873032-229
9
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
2274113754-1725
10
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
218493433+128
10
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
2251073238-625
11
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
2284103939028
11
DC United
DC United
2251072836-825
12
Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders
217592429-526
12
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
2266103439-524
13
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
236892835-726
13
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
2263132538-1321
14
Austin
Austin
2266102841-1324
14
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
2256113046-1621
15
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
2243152054-3415
15
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
2155113036-620
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

New York City FC

Confidence

Win Probabilities

40%New York City FC
26%Draw
34%Nashville SC

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·22.28 · 3.60 · 2.82
KickoffFri, Sep 4 · 23:30
StadiumYankee Stadium
League StatsMLS

Statistical Context

New York City FC

DDLLD
  • DAug 29, 26A · Toronto FC1-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · New England Revolution1-1
  • LAug 19, 26A · FC Cincinnati2-1
  • LAug 16, 26H · Philadelphia Union2-3
  • DJul 31, 26H · Toronto FC1-1

Nashville SC

WWWWD
  • WAug 30, 26H · FC Cincinnati4-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Columbus Crew3-2
  • WAug 19, 26A · New York Red Bulls0-1
  • WAug 16, 26H · Inter Miami4-1
  • DAug 1, 26A · DC United2-2

Head to Head

3
New York City FC
2
Draws
4
Nashville SC
  • May 24, 26Nashville SC – New York City FC2-1
  • Aug 17, 25New York City FC – Nashville SC2-1
  • May 31, 25Nashville SC – New York City FC2-2
  • Oct 6, 24New York City FC – Nashville SC3-1
  • Jun 23, 24Nashville SC – New York City FC1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

New York City FCNashville SC
Played2121
Goals Scored3543
Goals Conceded3017
Avg Scored1.72.0
Avg Conceded1.40.8
Clean Sheets39

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

New York City FC

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 49GM. Freese
  2. 2DNico Cavallo
  3. 23DMaxwell Murray
  4. 22DK. O'Toole
  5. 35DM. Ilenič
  6. 15MK. Pierre
  7. 32MJ. Shore
  8. 26MA. Ojeda
  9. 9MB. Traoré
  10. 7AN. Fernández Mercau
  11. 20ALuighi Hanri

Coach: P. Jansen

Nashville SC

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 99GB. Schwake
  2. 22DJ. Bauer
  3. 2DD. Lovitz
  4. 5DJ. Maher
  5. 4DJ. Palacios
  6. 6MB. Acosta
  7. 12MC. Brunet
  8. 26MF. Camara
  9. 10AH. Mukhtar
  10. 11AE. Saad
  11. 26AZ. Yañez

Coach: G. Smith

New York City FC vs Nashville SC — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Nashville SC are clear favourites given their three-game winning streak and top-of-table form, but the odds suggest a narrow edge. The main risk is New York's home advantage and their historical head-to-head dominance.

This MLS clash sees New York City FC hosting Nashville SC at Yankee Stadium, with the visitors arriving as the league's pacesetters. Nashville's form is formidable, having won three straight and five of their last six, while New York has managed just one win in five.…

Win Probabilities: New York City FC: 40% · Draw: 26% · Nashville SC: 34%

H2H: New York City FC wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Nashville SC wins: 4

Form (latest first): New York City FC: DDLLD · Nashville SC: WWWWD

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USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Aug 3023:00
FC Dallas
12.1347%
X3.8526%
23.7027%
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Orlando City SC
Sep 523:30
San Diego
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
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Philadelphia Union
Sep 523:30
CF Montreal
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
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Toronto FC
Sep 523:30
Chicago Fire
13.8526%
X3.5728%
22.1746%
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Columbus Crew
Sep 523:30
Colorado Rapids
12.2245%
X3.4529%
23.8526%
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FC Cincinnati
Sep 523:30
DC United
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
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Inter Miami
Sep 523:30
Atlanta United FC
11.5465%
X4.5522%
27.6913%
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Charlotte
Sep 523:30
Houston Dynamo
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
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Seattle Sounders
Sep 600:30
New York Red Bulls
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
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FC Dallas
Sep 600:30
Sporting Kansas City
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
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Austin
Sep 600:30
San Jose Earthquakes
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
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Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 601:30
New England Revolution
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
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Real Salt Lake
Sep 601:30
Los Angeles FC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
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Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 602:30
St. Louis City
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
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Portland Timbers
Sep 602:30
Minnesota United FC
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
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